The crashes in
the stock market have impacted directly the American financial system from the
last 1000 years. The great depression decreased the stock prices. In 1987
crash, each day the overall market for stock and shares fell by the percentage
of 20.
Selling After a Crash in the stock market:
Lack of
understanding towards the stock market causes to decrease the wealth of the
investors. The capital gain of the stock decrease when prices of the stock
fall. An investor who purchased t stock of $1000 worth will only get $250 worth
stock by the decrease of 75% in value. The remaining 750 are the loss because
of price changes.
Buying on Margin in the stock market:
Buying on margin
is the strategy that can cause loss of huge amounts of money. The buying on
margin is to get loans from the bank on interest to purchase some securities.
In this strategy the buyer invests his own saving also with the borrowed money.
For instance an investor wants to purchase securities of 1000. He will add his
saving of $1 with the borrowed amount of 999 on 5% interest. The yield of 6% on
ROI will be 11 that is the profit of the owner. The yield generated from the
investment goes to the investor and he pays back only amount of loan and
interest to the bank.
The buying on
margin strategy is good for the investor when the market rates are increasing.
While in market crashes investors face loss. For a similar example if the
investment drops to $100 the investor will face the loss of 1000. He will not
only face the loss of $1 but also $950 that he has to pay back to the investor.
Thus the buying on margin generate the loss for investors.
The investors
take positions on margin to earn more return on investment. Therefore they take
large amounts from the banks to purchase such securities. When the market
prices go down or financial crisis occurs it turns into the large opportunity
for loss. Investor not only loss there personal assets but also cause for
bankruptcy. Therefore security exchange commission is setting new rules to
overcome this issue.
Avoid Losing Money in the Stock Market
A number of
times we meet the people who asked that how they can avoid loss in the stock
market. What the investors should do to earn a profit margin?
The question is valid. People usually keep
portfolios with 50 companies stock recommended by their friends or family. They
even invest in the companies that have poor fundamentals and weak business. My
working experience with Russin for the portfolio management of $40000 supported
me to learn portfolio management. We were used to reviewing the stock in
details to select the stock that we should keep or sell out. In three year
short duration we earned the 2.3 million through this portfolio.
Through this
experience in the investment we find out the major techniques and rules for
investment that results in benefit. There are five things mentioned that
investors should do to overcome the continuous loss in stock market.
Compound you winners not your losers:
Investors face
losing because they hold on the losers. The losers are the companies that have
poor fundamentals and weak business. The investment is a game. We can predict
that the companies with strong fundamental will generate more profit in
comparison to loser companies. Therefore to earn high profit margin the
investors should invest in companies having strong fundamentals.
At the first
investors should classify the companies in four categories.
1.
Recurring earnings
2.
Non recurring earnings
3.
Weak business model
4.
Strong business model
The investor
should prefer the companies having strong business model on weak business model
companies. They should select the companies with recurring earning and strong
business models. Thus they can increase the chances of high return on
investment.
Always invest in good companies
Avoid repeating
the same mistake by investing in the loser companies again. Invest in the good
companies that have dominant market position and have the potential to earn
recurring profits. Such companies generate strong cash flows and pay to the
shareholder large amount of dividend. Purchasing the stock of the good companies
is not easy as they sell out their stock on the high prices. Thus paying too
much to have such stock is only not a good idea. Therefore the investor should
value the company properly and avoid paying extra money on high prices shares.
Diversify but don’t over-diversity
Diversification
of portfolio reduces the risk factor for the investors. The investor cannot
control the market risk they have only control on the non-market risk. There
are the factors as recessions, natural disasters, and interest rate fluctuation
that increases or decreases the market risk. Investors sometimes over diversify
the portfolio and increase the number of companies that also increase the risk
factor. New investors cannot review in detail the portfolio if the companies
are more than 50 therefore they take wrong decision.
A book “Modern Portfolio Theory and Investment
Analysis” is written by the authors Edwin J. Elton and Martin J. Gruber. The book claims that non-market risk can be
reduced to 80% by investing only in 20 companies. The best diversification is
to invest in just 10 to 20 successful and good companies.
Give your tree time to grow
The investment
process is similar to growing a tree. The investor needs to let the tree grow
and deep rooted. The investor should give time to the tree and then after the
growth he can enjoy the shade and fruits of the tree. The investor should not
expect a sudden shoot up in the market value of the stock. Rather than this the
investor should wait to let the market prices increase with the time. Investors
should focus on the long term results. They should consider the economic
conditions and yearly growth of the companies.
Opportunity is key
Investors
sometimes deploy their money quickly when they get the sizeable cash board
because of the fear of loss. However to attain success in the investment the
investor should focus on the opportunity as opportunity is key to success. The
investors should take the advantage from the opportunity. When the prices go
down because of temporary crises they should purchase the stock. Attempt to own
a stock on discount prices and wait for the maximization of the return on
investment. Understand the market and seek the opportunities to maximize the
profit.