Mark to market cash settlement of ups and downs
in the market is variation called settlement variation. Mark to market
settlement is used to the only product which relates to the future. Usually,
there are two methods to calculate mark to the market amount. One is normal
rounding and the other is special rounding. The future investment based on the
results of mark to market settlement and the value of the future cash.
Once you get involved in the future investment,
you have to keep an eye on the future market rates to overcome the risk of
loss. The value of future rates changes with two elements: changes in the spot
rate and changes in the market forces. If the rate of currency increases for a
certain period, future prices also increase, and more likely when rate
decreases the prices will remain low and supplier may face the situation of
loss (H.Hau, W., & Moore, 2002).
In the money market, all transactions based on
money and currency exchange so, there is always a risk of future ups and downs
which may lead you to the top or at the bottom. To avoid that risk, there
should be investment till a margin.
To calculate the performance bond, it is
necessary to take into consideration the following information and explanation;
Performance bond current valued at $1700, and the
next three days prices are +1%, +2% and -2% respectively. Calculate the changes
in performance bond from daily marking the market.
t
|
Future
price $
|
Changes
in $
|
Gain /
loss $
|
Cumulative
Gain/loss $
|
Margin
$
|
0
|
8
|
-
|
-
|
|
1700
|
1
|
17
|
9
|
45000
|
45000
|
46700
|
2
|
34
|
17
|
85000
|
130000
|
176700
|
3
|
(34)
|
0
|
0
|
130000
|
306700
|
Assuming that the previous year price is $8 and
the short position is at 5000 EURO.
The above calculations show that;
The t
represents the time of period after which market changes.
Day 1: Previous
year FV is $ 8 and the day first future prices are calculated as 1 % of $ 1700
= 17 and changes performance is ( 17 – 8) =
$ 9 and the estimated short position is 5000 EURO, which shows the gain
of ( 5000 * 9) = $ 45000.
Day 2: Future price
is +2% of the current price and changes performance is (34 – 17) = $17 and the
gain is (17 * 5000) = $ 85000 and cumulative margin is $ 176700.
Day 3: the price is
negative -2% of 1700, which show the negative value that may cause of loss but
previous year profit margin could cover this loss and it ends with a cumulative
profit of $ 306700. The further year prices may tend to fall but it depends
upon the whole year market situation.
The marking to market method helps to determine
the investor to decide either he should invest his money in long or short term
plans, or should go for some spendings. In most cases, the contract is sold at the
same maturity at zero. Whenever the contract sold at the same maturity, the net
position is always zero (R.Portes & H., 1998).
References
of Marking to Market Euro FX Future
H.Hau, W., K., & Moore, M. (2002). How has the euro
changed the foreign exchange market?. Economic Policy, 17 (34), 149-192.
R.Portes, & H., R. (1998). The
emergence of the euro as an international currency.