The economic condition of a
country represents its strength towards development. Countries having a stable
and strong economic condition are progressing rapidly in the world. The
economic condition of a country can be measured through the use of economic
indicators. In the present work, some economic indicators are used to measure
the economic condition of two GCC countries Kuwait and Saudi Arabia from 2006
to 2016. Present work also emphasis on oil market of both countries.
Kuwait Overview of Understanding to Oil Market
Kuwait is the region of GCC
located in Southwest Asia. While in Arab it is located in the Northeastern
portion of the Arab Peninsula. The total population of Kuwait is around
2595628. Somehow, the overall geographical area covered by Kuwait is around
6,879 square miles. In the financial industry, Kuwait has a leading and strong
position because of its geographic position in the world. Kuwait is situated
among the countries that have a strong economic condition in the world. The
neighboring countries of Kuwait are Iraq, Saudi Arabia, and the Persian Gulf.
Like other Arab countries, Kuwait is also involved in oil production and
selling the business. In fact, the main source of income is also considered as
oil and petroleum trade.
In accordance to the CIA
report, almost 92% of the expert revenue in Kuwait is supported by petroleum
trade with European countries and other Eastern countries. Furthermore, income
generated by the petroleum trade of the country is more than 90% of the
government income (Export.gov, 2018). The official
currency of Kuwait is known as Kuwait dinar (symbol: KWD). Kuwait dinar is
considered as the world strongest currency. Continuously growing rate with
stable condition indicates the strength of the Kuwait currency. High expert and
exchange rate is the major cause of currency strength. In 2006, the currency
was at its all-time high value. The highest value was 0.31. While on the
current value of the currency in the Kuwait market is stable at 0.30. Currency strength is also presented below in
bar chat.
The wages level is high in
Kuwait. The average gross salary gives in Kuwait is almost KWD 21,141 that is
even more than some developed countries in Europe. Somehow, the average net
salary recorded in the Kuwait organizations is above KWD 18,109. While on the
other hand, the cost of living in Kuwait (for a single person) is only KWD
512.11.
Economic Indicators of Understanding to Oil Market
The section economic
indicator is consist of information about the main economic indicators of
Kuwait for a 10-year duration (from 2006 to 2016). The economic indicators
include Real GDP, GDP per capita, Inflation (GDP deflator annual %), Unemployment
rate, and Oil rent (as % of GDP).
Real GDP of Understanding to Oil Market
Real GDP is the economic indicator
that represents the real GDP of an economy after the adjustment of inflation. The
presented below chart shows that real GDP is declining in Kuwait. It was
recorded as 100 billion in 2006. But from 2010 to 2012 it was increased up to
the all-time high value of 170 billion (data.worldbank.org, 2019).
GDP per capita of Understanding to Oil Market
GDP per capita represents the
economic output of the country with respect to the population. GDP per capita
is decreasing in Kuwait which may cause economic issues in the future. In 2006
it was around 43 thousand per capita while records of 2016 indicate 27 thousand
per capita.
Inflation (GDP deflator annual %)
Inflation represents the
changes occurred in the price index of Kuwait (Dransfield, 2013). The high rate of
change indicates the changes in the money supply. Inflation recorded in 2006
was around 14%. While in 2016 inflation is recorded as below -5%.
Unemployment rate presented
below in the graph shows the percentage of the jobless population. In
accordance with this data, the unemployment rate was increased in part but now
it's going towards decrease continuously.
The Rationale behind Changes of Understanding to Oil
Market
The above-mentioned graphs
and data of economic indicators are projecting continuous change in the values
and percentages from 2006 to 2016. The changes are caused by some rationales
that are discussed here in this section. At first, the rationale behind changes
in Real GDP is that economic output and the inflation rate of Kuwait is
changing over the selected period of time that directly draw impact on overall
real GDP of the country. Increase in real GDP is caused by an increase in
output. Somehow, decreasing real GDP after growth in 2012 and 2013 shows that
inflation and decrease in economic output are the main causes of change in real
GDP of Kuwait. The analysis presents that GDP per capita is also decreasing
over the selected duration which is caused by an increase in population. The
rationale behind the fluctuating inflation rate changes occurred in interest
rate, money supply, and uncertainties. While on the other hand, the
unemployment rate is also changing with the passage of time. Increase in the
unemployment rate is because of limited job opportunities, limited private
project, an increasing number of expat and an increasing population of Kuwait.
The unemployment rate is now decreasing in Kuwait which is caused by the
support of government and other private industries to create maximum job
opportunities. The rationale behind changing oil rent is changing political
interests and demand changes in the international oil market.
Comparison with Saudi Arabia of Understanding to Oil
Market
Saudi Arabia is also a GCC
country located in Western Asia of the Arabian Peninsula. Saudi Arabia is also
a neighboring country of Kuwait. Comparative analysis of Saudi Arabia and
Kuwait will represent the economic condition and strength of both countries in
GCC countries. The comparative analysis is based on economic indicators such as
real GDP, GDP per capita, unemployment, oil rent, and inflation in the country.
Real GDP of Understanding to Oil Market
Comparative analysis of Real
GDP from 2006 to 2016 in Kuwait as well as Saudi Arabia represents that real
GDP was showing almost the same trend. The similarity is because of the same
circumstance both had in the Middle East. In addition, real GDP of Saudi Arabia
remained higher as compared to the real GDP of Kuwait from 2006 to 2016.
Oil Market Dependency of Understanding to Oil Market
Saudi Arabia and Kuwait both
are mainly generating revenue from the export of oil and petroleum products. In
the oil market, Saudi Arabia is considered as 2nd largest oil
reverser country in the world. Saudi Arabia and Kuwait export billions of
gallon oils and petroleum annually to the other countries of the world in
Europe, US and Middle Eastern countries. The presented below table presents the
oil renting in Saudi Arabia and Kuwait during 2006 and 2016.
Country
|
2006
|
2007
|
2008
|
2009
|
2010
|
2011
|
2012
|
2013
|
2014
|
2015
|
2016
|
Kuwait
|
54.76
|
50.75
|
55.7
|
38.1
|
49.2
|
61.2
|
61.1
|
57.4
|
54.3
|
37.1
|
31.6
|
Saudi Arabia
|
51.15
|
48.05
|
54.3
|
34.1
|
37.9
|
49.3
|
47.2
|
44.2
|
40
|
23.3
|
19.4
|
Comparative
analysis of both countries indicates that
Kuwait is relatively more dependent on oil as compared to Saudi Arabia. Kuwait
earns more than $52.87 billion annually by selling crude oil and petroleum.
Conclusion on Understanding to Oil Market
The aim of the present report
was to conduct a comparative analysis of Kuwait and Saudi Arabia. Both
neighboring companies are involved in the production and selling the business
of crude and refined oil. The major constituent of their economic growth is petroleum
trade with other countries around the globe. The analysis represented that
wages level was higher while living cost is lower in Kuwait as compared to the
Saudi Arabia. The economic indicators used in the analysis include real GDP,
inflation rate, oil rent, unemployment rate and GDP per capita. After inflation
adjustment, the real GDP and GDP per capita rate decreased for Kuwait. The
higher money supply leads to a decrease in inflation, unemployment rate, and
oil rent. Different economic indicators are projecting continuous change and
increase in the outcomes. The statistical values are mentioned in the report to
illustrate percentage increase or decrease in the indicators for Kuwait and
Saudi Arabia. In case of Saudi Arabia, GDP per capita is considered for
decreasing and increasing trend of both countries. The inflation rate is
different for both countries but depicts similar decreasing trend. The
implementation of efficient policies by government is reducing inflation rate
for both countries. The ten year statistical analysis of oil market dependency
is considered from 2006 to 2016 for Kuwait and Saudi Arabia. The results of
comparative analysis show fluctuation in statistics for both countries. The
increasing and decreasing trend have significant association with policies,
marketing, selling and production of petroleum and geographical location.
References of Understanding
to Oil Market
data.worldbank.org.
(2019). GDP (current US$). Retrieved from data.worldbank.org:
https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NY.GDP.MKTP.CD?end=2016&locations=KW&start=2006
data.worldbank.org.
(2019). Oil rents (% of GDP). Retrieved from data.worldbank.org:
https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NY.GDP.PETR.RT.ZS
Dransfield,
R. (2013). Business Economics. Routledge. Retrieved 2019
Dwivedi,
D. N. (2002). Microeconomics: Theory And Applications. Pearson
Education India.
Export.gov.
(2018, 10 30). Kuwait - Oil and Gas. Retrieved from www.export.gov:
https://www.export.gov/article?id=Kuwait-Oil-and-Gas