Table 1: Mock Data Set and Population
mean of 30 nuts
Peanuts
|
Almonds
|
Brazil Nuts
|
0.6
|
1.74
|
4.7
|
1.09
|
1.8
|
3.3
|
0.98
|
1.9
|
3.6
|
1.15
|
2.5
|
4.09
|
1
|
1.7
|
3.6
|
0.94
|
2.03
|
3.08
|
1.2
|
1.7
|
4.7
|
0.7
|
1.8
|
|
0.65
|
2.13
|
|
1.12
|
|
|
0.9
|
|
|
0.6
|
|
|
1.05
|
|
|
1.3
|
|
|
x̄ = 0.185918367
|
x̄ = 1.922222222
|
x̄ = 3.867142857
|
μ = 1.921666667
|
Table 2: Radom Sampling Data Set and Sample
means
Nuts
|
Peanuts
|
Almonds
|
Brazil Nuts
|
4-2-1
|
1
|
1.2
|
2.03
|
3.08
|
0.65
|
1.8
|
1.05
|
2.5
|
4.7
|
1
|
1.3
|
0.65
|
1.8
|
3.6
|
0.9
|
1.8
|
1
|
1.8
|
4.7
|
0.6
|
0.6
|
0.9
|
1.7
|
4.7
|
1.7
|
1.15
|
0.6
|
1.8
|
4.7
|
2.13
|
1.05
|
0.6
|
1.7
|
3.3
|
3.3
|
2.13
|
1.2
|
2.13
|
|
|
0.94
|
0.6
|
1.8
|
|
|
0.9
|
1.05
|
|
|
|
1.3
|
0.65
|
|
|
|
0.65
|
1
|
|
|
|
1.7
|
1.2
|
|
|
|
3.6
|
1.15
|
|
|
|
1.7
|
|
|
|
|
0.6
|
|
|
|
|
1.09
|
|
|
|
|
4.7
|
|
|
|
|
3.08
|
|
|
|
|
1.8
|
|
|
|
|
1.8
|
|
|
|
|
1.09
|
|
|
|
|
3.6
|
|
|
|
|
0.98
|
|
|
|
|
1.3
|
|
|
|
|
1.15
|
|
|
|
|
1.05
|
|
|
|
|
0.65
|
|
|
|
|
0.94
|
|
|
|
|
1.2
|
|
|
|
|
x̄ = 1.555
|
x̄ = 0.917857143
|
x̄ = 1.917777778
|
x̄ = 4.111428571
|
x̄ = 1.468571429
|
Part I
Sample Mean Related to Population Mean
The calculation for this
assignment is performed on Microsoft Excel. A mean weight is calculated for all 30 nuts in table 1 that represents the population
mean, i.e. 1.92. The sample means for nuts i.e.
peanuts, almonds, and Brazil nuts are 0.19, 1.92, and 3.87 respectively. The computation
procedure is same for both population mean and the
sample mean
i.e. dividing the summation of numeric
values to a number of total values. However,
notations for both means are different than each other, i.e. μ for the population
mean and x̄ for sthe ample mean. To
inferences, the formula for sthe ample mean
and population mean is sthe ame with
different notations that improves the population mean’s accuracy through increasing
a number of the observations. Hence, both population and sample mean are sthe ame for the same data.
Sampling Strategy Impact Uncertainty
A point estimate of the parameter is
evaluated by statistical estimation; whereas variability
related to the estimation is quantified by the interval estimation. Sampling
plan implementation is useful to organize the data process, and it helps to improve the correctness of uncertainty
aspects’ in a null hypothesis as well. A risk of
uncertainty is improved by a sampling strategy by utilizing both statistical
population and target population so that loops could get close between collecting,
evaluating, and storing the data of sample population (Banerjee & Chaudhury, 2010). The probability of
rejecting the null and confidence interval of the observations is included in this.
Target Population
|
Requirements for eligibility
|
Peanuts
|
14
peanuts (weights of peanuts ranging from 0.6 grams to 1.3 grams)
|
Almonds
|
Nine
almonds (weights of almonds ranging from 1.8 grams to 2.5 grams)
|
Brazil Nuts
|
7
Brazil nuts (weights of brazil nuts ranging from 3.6 grams to 4.7 grams)
|
One other way that sampling strategy
can affect an uncertainty related to using samples to generate inference about
the population is improving correctness of the process of assessment (Surbhi, 2016). The random samples’
feasibility can be biased when the population
in unidentified. The estimate of the parameters of random samples needs to be
generated to get the unbiased result.
For example, Microsoft Excel is used to
generate random sampling in table 2 of the paper regardless of the nuts’ type,
then mean for each sample is calculated as well as the population means. This
information is useful for inference the harvesting nuts’ unbiased probability in
a selected geographic location. Randomization
could be further conducted to narrow down the nuts’ type that has the best chance to yield a harvest that is highly profitable with an unbiased statistical methodology.
Sampling strategy affects a true mean effect
connected with quantifying an estimated inference population sample’s
variability (Taylor, 2017). Determining a
sampling plan that is best to analyze a sample from the whole population would be more efficient.
Part II
Confidence
Interval and Confidence Levels
The mean of the sample of
all peanuts represents the mean of the whole population. Scale: 5
The mean of the sample of
all Brazil nuts represents the mean of the whole population. Scale: 5
The mean of the last
sample with a combination of types of nuts represents the mean of the whole
population. Scale: 10
The mean, +/- 2.3 grams,
of the last sample with a combination of types of nuts represents the mean of the whole population. Scale: 10
For this exercise, it is assumed
that the random dataset is being used; a
sample mean (x̄ = Σ xᵢ / n) is used in
the case where x̄ represents sample mean = Σ (summation) of xᵢ+x₂+x₃+…..+ x14 divided by n (n represents the total number of observations).
Hence, 14 random peanut sampling’s x̄ = .91; 9 random almond sampling x̄ = 1.91;
and 7 random Brazil nut sampling x̄ = 4.11 for a population mean. The entire
population is calculated by formula i.e., m = Σ xᵢ/N.
The sampling accuracy’s confidence interval would be lowered by this. This is
why, 5-poithe nt confidence level is used
for the two statements i.e., the sampling
mean for the peanut and sampling mean for Brazil nut represents the entire
population’s mean. The population mean is estimated by calculating a sample
mean. Then, an estimation is used for null hypothesis test and determine the sample
population’ actual parameter. If all nuts are combined; it can be assumed that
sampling mean will be calculated of the nuts’ whole population in a dataset. The
mean, +/- 2.3 grams, of the last sample with types
of nuts’ combination represent the entire population’s mean comprises of
a confidence interval that is interpretable as testing the confidence interval
of the H₀ (null hypothesis). It is assumed that no relation exits between
the nuts’ group randomized in a sample dataset. Testing a theory is allowed by
this via statistical testing to accept or reject the hypothesis. Hence, it can
be assumed without any calculation that confithe dence level is higher for these statements.
References
Generate Samples by Using Probability and Defining Variables
Banerjee, A., & Chaudhury, S. (2010). Statistics
without tears: Populations and samples. Industrial Psychiatry Journal, 19(1),
60-65. doi:10.4103/0972-6748.77642
Surbhi, S. (2016, May 9). Difference between
descriptive and inferential statistics. Key Differences. n.d. Retrieved
March 7, 2018, from
https://ncuone.ncu.edu/d2l/le/content/48143/fullscreen/316062/View
Taylor, C. (2017, May 23). What Level of Alpha Determines
Statistical Significance? Retrieved March 5, 2018, from ThoughtCo.:
https://www.thoughtco.com/inferential-statistics-4133531