The Literature review
provide brief overview regarding the previous contribution of researchers. The
literature review provides huge amount of data and provide information about
the research gap. For conducting this research extensive literature review has
been performed to provide data in detail. After collecting the data from the
literature review it would be analyzed for providing answers to the research
questions. Through literature it has been identified that many researchers have
conducted research on the impact of oil prices on exchange rate and how it
effects the overall economy. Through
literature the policies of GCC countries regarding foreign exchange rate risk
are analyzed. The gathered data is valid and reliable because it has provide
information for the research questions efficiently. The data has covered various
aspects which this study is evaluating.
Karim Eslamloueyan
& Amir Kia (2015) have conducted research to evaluate the real exchange
rate in the countries of Middle East and Africa. The researchers stated that
the real exchange rate in oil producing countries is effected or determine by
various factors. For conducting the research the data is gathered from the
period of 1985 to 2009. In the study the model is created to estimate the real
exchange rate. The finding of the study shows that the oil prices, government
expenditure, money supply and US external debt influence the real exchange rate
in the long run. In the short run the real exchange rate is influenced by US
interest rates, money supply and government expenditures. This research study
shows that various factors have major influence over the exchange rate of oil
producing countries. It means that when oil prices changes the exchange rate of
Saudi Arabia and other oil producing countries will have significant impact.
The research study has huge scope because it has discussed various factors that
influence the exchange rate of not only Middle eastern but also the North
African countries. The future researchers can use this study to further
investigate how the exchange rate is being influenced by various factors (Eslamloueyan & Kia, 2015)
In the research
study conducted by Lakshmi kalyanaraman & Basmah Al Tuwajri (2014) the
macroeconomic factors are discussed in detail with the perspective of stock
prices. The research has focused on the region of Saudi Arabia. The macro
economic factors that are discussed in the study include money supply, exchange
rate, oil prices and changes in global stock prices. In the study time series
analysis is implemented to evaluate the stock price performance. The data is
gathered for the period of 1994 to 2013. The findings of the study has shown
that the all the macroeconomic factor that have been discussed in the study
effect the stock prices (Kalyanaraman & Tuwajri, 2014)
The findings of
the study indicates that the factors like oil prices, money supply and
industrial output all effect the prices however the index such as S&P 500
does not show any impact over the stock prices. This research study has vast
scope and provide information about the economic factors in detail that have
impact not stock prices. This research is not only important for the economists
but also for the corporation which want to increase their stock prices. The
future researchers can also use this study to investigate the impact of
macroeconomic factors not just on stock prices but on other things such as
exchange rate and interest rate.
In the research
study the Tantatape Brahmasrene, Jui Chi Huang and Yaya Sissoko (2014) have
provided deep insights regarding the oil prices and exchange rates. In the
study the researchers have gathered the data from 1996 to 2009 to investigate
the relation between the exchange rates and oil prices. In the study the data regarding the oil
prices is gathered from the five countries from which United States import oil.
The study investigate the impact of oil prices on exchange rate in short run
and in the long run which increases the credibility of the research. The data
is analyzed to check its reliability and validity (Brahmasrene, Huang, & Sissoko, 2014)
The findings of
the research indicate that the oil price changes have significant impact on the
exchange rate changes. When the prices of oil increase the exchange rate also
appreciates as a result. However when the oil prices decreases the exchange
rate also decline. In other stability in the oil prices cause less fluctuation
in the exchange rate through which the currencies become more stable. The
research provide brief information regarding the oil prices changes and their
impact on the exchange rate. Therefore this research study has huge
significance for traders, economists and industrialists. It means that the
study can be used by future researchers for further research.
A study conducted
by Mohamed El Hedi Arouri and Christophe Rault (2010) have discussed the oil
prices and the stock markets of the GCC (Gulf Corporation Council Countries). In
the study the researchers have discussed that the previous studies have not
discussed the relationship between the oil prices and stock market in detail.
The researchers have stated that the oil prices impact on stock prices in the
perspective of oil producing countries is not research inn detail. The data is
gathered from the period of 1996 to 2008 to investigate the impact in detail. After gathering the data the data is analyzed
for the formation of results (Arouri & Rault, 2010).
The results of the
findings show that the oil price changes do have impact on the stock price
changes. The stock prices changes however does not show any impact on the oil
prices. It means that the investors who are investing in the oil sector should
look at the stock price changes to evaluate any change in prices. This research
study has huge significance for the investors because through this they can
make better or rational investment decision. Moreover the future researchers
can use this study for further investigation of the phenomenon. In short it can
be said that the oil prices changes have significant impact on oil producing
countries.
Lutz Kilian (2007)
have discussed the effect of oil supply on the inflation and output of the
G& countries. In the study the researchers have stated that the oil
production have significant impact on the GDP growth and inflation of the
countries. When the oil production decreases the GDP also decreases as a
result. In other words it can be said that the oil production is related with
the growth and other factors. Large amount of data is gathered for conducting
the research and evaluating the impact of oil production on inflation and
growth of the countries (Kilian, 2007)
The findings of
the research study shows that the oil production decline have significant
impact on the GDP growth of the countries. Due to low oil production the speed
of the growth reduces. The findings of the study further discuss that when the
oil production decline it effects on the inflation rate as well. This study has
huge significance for the economists and policy makers. Various industrialists
can also use this study to enhance their knowledge and understanding regarding
GDP growth. The future researchers can utilize this study to further
investigate the impact of oil production on various factors. Therefore it can
be said that this study has huge scope.
In the study
Shawkat Hammoudeh and Kyongwook Choi (2006) have discussed the stock market of
the GCC countries and how the US oil prices effect the GCC market. For
conducting this study huge amount of data is gathered regarding the GCC stock
market. The GCC countries are rich in oil reserves and most of their export and
economy relies on the oil related products. The changes in US market do have
impact on the GCC stock markets. The data is analyze for checking its validity
and then the results are formulated (Hammoudeh & Choi, 2006)
The findings of
the research shows that the changes in stock market in the US do have impact on
the stock market of the GCC countries. When the stock market of US experience
growth the market of GCC countries also experience growth as a result. This
research has huge significance for industrialists, organizations and even the
academic institutions. The research has provided brief information and tries to
fill the research gap. However this research have some limitation and in future
through further research this research gap can be removed. Overall through this
research significant amount of data can be gathered.
In the research
study which is conducted by Jia Liao, Yu Shi and Xiangyuun Xu (2018) have discussed the oil prices and exchange
rate relationship in detail. Huge amount of data is gathered for the research
study and the researchers try to evaluate the correlation. The researchers have
discussed that over the years the correlation between oil prices and exchange
rate have become negative or weekend over time. In the study those factors are
discussed which play mediating role in the relationship of oil prices and
exchange rate. The data is gathered in detail and then verified to check its authentication
(Liao, Shi, & Xu, 2018)
The findings of
the study shows that the financial market factors play significant role as
mediating factors between the oil prices and exchange rate changes. These
financial market play the mediating role during the global financial crises.
After that the study has found no mediating factor between the relationships.
The study has provided brief information and filled the research gap. There are
few studies who have focused on the mediating factor between oil prices and
exchange rate. Therefore in future such research studies are required who
provide information in detail. This study has huge scope and provide the
information in abundance.
If all the above
literature review is summarized than it can be said that Due to low oil
production the speed of the growth reduces. The findings of the studies further
discuss that when the oil production decline it effects on the inflation rate
as well. This study has huge significance for the economists and policy makers.
Various industrialists can also use this study to enhance their knowledge and
understanding regarding GDP growth. The results of the findings show that the
oil price changes do have impact on the stock price changes. The stock prices changes
however does not show any impact on the oil prices. It means that the investors
who are investing in the oil sector should look at the stock price changes to
evaluate any change in prices. These research studies has huge significance for
the investors because through this they can make better or rational investment
decision.
The literature
review has discussed that various factors have major influence over the
exchange rate of oil producing countries. It means that when oil prices changes
the exchange rate of Saudi Arabia and other oil producing countries will have
significant impact. The research studies has huge scope because it has
discussed various factors that influence the exchange rate of not only Middle
eastern but also the North African countries. The future researchers can use
these studies to further investigate how the exchange rate is being influenced
by various factors.
References of Exchange Rate of Saudi Arabia & Its Impact on United States
Arouri, Mohamed El Hedi, and Christophe Rault. 2010.
"Oil Prices and Stock Markets: What Drives what in the Gulf Corporation
Council Countries?" 1-23.
Brahmasrene, Tantatape, Jui-Chi Huang, and Yaya
Sissoko. 2014. "Crude oil prices and exchange rates: Causality, variance
decomposition and impulse response." 44: 407–412.
Christoffersen, Peter. 2011. Elements of
Financial Risk Management. Academic Press.
Eslamloueyan, Karim, and Amir Kia. 2015.
"Determinants of the Real Exchange Rate in Oil-Producing Countries of
the Middle East and North Africa: A Panel Data Investigation." 51:
842–855.
García, Francisco Javier Población. 2017. Financial
Risk Management: Identification, Measurement and Management. Springer.
Hammoudeh, Shawkat, and Kyongwook Choi. 2006.
"Behavior of GCC stock markets and impacts of US oil and financial
markets." 20: 22–44.
Kalyanaraman, Lakshmi, and Basmah Al Tuwajri. 2014.
"Macroeconomic Forces and Stock Prices: Some Empirical Evidence from
Saudi Arabia." 5: 81-92.
Kilian, Lutz. 2007. "A Comparison of the
Effects of Exogenous Oil Supply Shocks on Output and Inflation in the G7
Countries." 1-50.
Liao, Jia, Yu Shi, and Xiangyun Xu. 2018. "Why
Is the Correlation between Crude Oil Prices and the US Dollar Exchange Rate
Time-Varying?— Explanations Based on the Role of Key Mediators." 6:
1-13.