The value investing
approach advocated by Ben Graham has three basic tenets: (1) the value of assets in place, (2)
Earnings Power Value and (3) the value of growth.
The value
of assets in place is an approach that advocates assessing the most liquid, and
easy to value assets on the balance sheet; namely current assets. By focusing on those assets that are most
liquid, the analyst can gain an understanding of the value of the firm with
great precision. By avoiding fixed
assets (e.g., net plant and equipment) or goodwill, the analyst can be more
confident in the valuation assigned to the assets. Graham believed that by subtracting the value
of all the firm’s liabilities from current assets, an analyst could determine
the “net-net working capital” position of the firm. If a firm can afford to pay off all its debt
with current assets, then presumably the firm is highly liquid and worthy of
further consideration for acquisition.
If the firm can be purchased in this condition, the debt can be
reconciled and the fixed assets and productive capacity of the firm owned
outright. While there may not be many
opportunities to acquire a company in this condition, it is helpful to see how
ably the firm could remove all its liability constraints. The value of asset in
place determines the present value or fair market of asset using book values, option
pricing models or comparable, and absolute valuation model such as the analysis
of discounted cash flow. These assets include various investment kinds in marketable
securities like bonds, stocks and options; intangible assets like patents, brands,
and trademarks; or tangible assets like equipment and buildings (Cordes, Ebel and Gravelle 2005).
Earnings
Power Value (EPV) is another valuation metric promoted by Graham. Earnings Power Value looks at the value of
adjusted earnings, rather than estimating future cash flows. By focusing on current earnings and making
the assumption that if the firm has maintained a certain earnings stream, they
have a good possibility of continuing that earnings stream into the
future. Basically EPV considers the
current distributable cash flow (after adjustments for depreciation, working
capital and year over year investment in capital) as a perpetuity. Therefore, with proper consideration for the
cost of capital, an intrinsic valuation can be determined assuming the present
earnings of the firm continue into the foreseeable future. The Earnings Power
Value’s formula is based on the assumption that the firms’ current earnings are
sustainable under a scenario that there is no growth. Enterprise value is
estimated by EPV by dividing the weighted average capital cost and an earnings
measure (Greenwald, et al. 2004).
In the above equation r represents a cost of capital. The
adjusted earnings is arrived by adjusting the one-time charges earning, taxation
adjustments, capital expenditures, depreciation, and more adjustments that are based
on an economic business cycle along with the other details. It can be difficult
to find the adjusted earnings.
Earnings Power Value Technique:
The earnings power value’s valuation technique requires
the investor to carefully consider the following 3 things.
The assets’ value a will be required by competitor
to have so that the same market value of the incumbent
company could be achieved in the industry.
Earnings
power value estimated based on current financial status where the business
cycles has ignored by resulting intrinsic value.
Either
the growth is a factor or not. In this
valuation technique, growth is usually ignored, so it is better not to
go into the aspect of growth.
Value of
growth can be either net value of growth or present value of growth. Present
Value of Growth gives a different approach to analysts to equity valuation.
Graham’s
position on growth is that unless the firm has a competitive advantage in its
market, growth does not add value.
Graham believed that where an open market, with zero to few barriers to
entry exist, growth is essentially a zero sum game. In order to grow, a firm must make
investments in working capital and capital capacity to sustain that growth and
in the long run that leaves no additional cash flow available to
shareholders. Thus Graham saw growth as
the least reliable factor to consider when valuing a firm. If a firm does not have a competitive
advantage in their market, growth should be completely discounted (Gerstein 2003).
References of Value Investing Approach
Cordes,
Joseph J., Robert D. Ebel and Jane Gravelle. The Encyclopedia of Taxation
& Tax Policy. The Urban Insitute, 2005.
Gerstein,
Marc H. The Value Connection: A Four-Step Market Screening Method to Match
Good Companies with Good Stocks. John Wiley & Sons, 2003.
Greenwald,
Bruce C. N., et al. Value Investing: From Graham to Buffett and Beyond.
John Wiley & Sons, 2004.