Microsoft Corporation is one of
the biggest multinational technology companies operating around the globe. It
is an American multinational technology company and the headquarters of
Microsoft Corporation is situated in Washington, United States. Microsoft
Corporation is a public limited company and shares of the company are created at
NASDAQ. Microsoft Corporation is responsible for operating in different
industries related to Information Technology and some of these industries are
computer software, computer hardware, consumer electronics, cloud computing,
social networking service, video games, internet, and corporate venture
capital. Microsoft Corporation was incorporated approximately 44 years ago on
April 4th, 1975 in New Mexico, United States. Founder of Microsoft Corporation
is Bill Gates and Paul Allen. Company is responsible for serving customers
worldwide.
Company has employed more than
135,000 employees as of annual report 2018. Company was successfully able to
generate revenue of approximately 110 billion US dollars in 2018. Net income of
Microsoft Corporation at the end of 2018 was approximately 16 billion US
dollars. Total Assets of the company according to the 2018 annual reports of
the company are equal to approximately 259 billion US dollars. Total equity of
the company according to the 2018 annual report of the company is equal to
approximately 83 billion US dollars. These amounts clearly suggest the size of
the company. Microsoft is ranked at 30th number in the 2018 rankings of fortune
500 companies in United States. This list of companies provides the top five
hundred and largest companies of United States by total revenue.
Products of Microsoft
Corporation
Company is responsible for
providing different services to customers and offering different Information
Technology related products at global level. Some of the most prominent and
significant products offered by Microsoft Corporation are Windows, Office Package,
service, Visual Studio, Skype, dynamics, Xbox, surface, mobile, and other
related software’s. All these products manufactured by Microsoft Corporation
are available worldwide and customers around the globe are using these
products. There are also different services being provided by Microsoft
Corporation to different customers around the globe. Some of these services include
LinkedIn, Office 365 related service, onedrive, outlook.com, windows store
providing platform to customers for purchasing different types of software’s
and games, Windows update, Xbox live and other related significant services.
Competitor of Microsoft
Corporation
Microsoft Corporation is one of
the biggest companies at global level in information technology industry. As
far as primary competitors of Microsoft Corporation are concerned, companies
like Apple Corporation cover Google Corporation, Oracle, IBM, SAP and other
related companies are able to significantly compete with Microsoft Corporation
at global level. These brands are prominent brands in information technology
industry and are considered to be most prominent Technology oriented companies (SEGAL 2018).
Strategy of Microsoft
Corporation
Microsoft Corporation has
different Strategies for different products and services. One of the most
significant and common strategy of Microsoft Corporation is promotion of
Technology intensity around the globe which not only includes Technology
oriented services but Technology oriented products as well. Reports published
by the management of Microsoft leadership suggest that Microsoft Corporation is
closely associated with positively contributing towards ecosystem and other
issues related to Corporate Social Responsibility in order to become a reputed organization
around the globe. Another significant strategy of Microsoft Corporation is to
focus on expenditures related to research and development. Microsoft
Corporation is using more than 9 billion US dollars on annual basis for efforts
related to research and development. These efforts are helping the management
and leadership of Microsoft Corporation to introduce new software’s and
Technology oriented services for business community specifically around the
globe (Dudovskiy 2019).
Microsoft Corporation has a
significant and tremendous competitive advantage as compared to the competitors
when it comes to cloud services. The cloud services of Microsoft Corporation
are considered to be best among the globe. Microsoft Office 365 is software as
a service and is one of the best cloud related service around the globe as
compared to the competitors of Microsoft Corporation
(https://seekingalpha.com/article/4109614-microsoft-best-competitive-advantage-cloud).
Revenues of Microsoft
Corporation
As far as total revenue is
concerned, Microsoft Corporation was ranked as 30th largest Organization in
United States by total revenue among the list of fortune 500 companies in 2018.
Microsoft Corporation was able to generate total revenue of approximately 110
billion US dollars in 2018 according to the 2018 annual report of the company.
The following graphical representation provides the trend of total revenue
generated by Microsoft incorporation in United States, other countries and
total revenue during 2016, 2017 and 2018.
The above graphical representation
clearly suggests that revenue of Microsoft Corporation in United States as well
as in other countries has been experiencing increasing trend from 2016 till
2018. The this clearly suggest that the overall revenue generated by Microsoft
Corporation around the globe has experienced increasing trend from the last 3
years according to the graphical representation and data collected from the
annual reports of the company. It can be clearly seen that the amount of total
revenue generated by Microsoft Corporation from United States during 2016 till
2018 has been greater than the revenue generated from other countries during
these three years. Data representation suggest that domestic market of United
States is Greater than the Global market of the Microsoft Corporation as per as
total revenue is concerned. Company is able to extract more revenue from United
States as compared to the rest of the world.
Investment of Microsoft
Corporation
Microsoft Corporation has recently crossed Apple Corporation as the
world's most valuable company in the industry of Technology. Microsoft
investment strategy is mostly dependent upon the research and development level
implemented by the organization. Microsoft Corporation is responsible for
investing approximately 9 billion US dollars every year on research and
development. This helps the management to manufacture and introduce different
types of software’s and Technology which is then used by different organizations
around the globe. Stock price of the Microsoft has experienced consistent
performance from the last 12 years while the stock price of Apple increased by
more than 5000% (Ades 2019).
Market Risk Quantitative and
Qualitative of Microsoft Corporation
Interest Rate Risk of
Microsoft Corporation
Microsoft Corporation has been below average as far as dividend yield is
concerned. Dividend yield of Microsoft Corporation has been below average as
compared to the yield on long term government securities in United States. This
is a major concern for most of the investors in stock market. Stock performance
of the company has also been pretty consistent for Microsoft Corporation during
the last three years. This clearly suggests that the shares of Microsoft
Corporation are not beneficial for short term investment but they can be
beneficial for comparatively long term investment. Investment securities having
less amount of share price volatility are beneficial for long time investment
while investment securities having significant amount of volatility are suitable
for short term investment strategies. Microsoft Corporation shares are
comparatively less risky for the investors in market as compared to the shares
of competitors like Apple Corporation, Google Corporation and related giant
companies in information technology industry (seekingalpha 2016).
Microsoft Corporation is significantly exposed to the risk of interest
rate because Microsoft Corporation has carried out significant amount of
investment in debt instruments. That is why, interest rate risk associated with
Microsoft Corporation is very high (seekingalpha 2016).
Foreign Exchange Risk of
Microsoft Corporation
As far as foreign exchange risk is concerned, total revenue analysis of
Microsoft Corporation suggested that approximately 50% of the total revenue of
Microsoft Corporation comes United States and the remaining 50% is generated
from other countries around the globe. This clearly suggests that the revenue
and expenses of Microsoft Corporation are significantly associated with
exchange rate fluctuation and volatility. It is important for the leadership
and management of Microsoft Corporation to mitigate the risk associated with
exchange rate as approximately 50% of the Microsoft Corporation customers are
outside United States.
Investment Risk of Microsoft
Corporation
As far as equity and debt
financing of Microsoft Corporation is concerned, company management as used
equity financing sources significantly as compared to debt financing sources.
One of the most significant factors behind using equity financing significantly
as compared to debt financing is the positive image of the company in market
and good reputation of Microsoft Corporation in market. Analysis of debt
financing clearly suggest that it is following increasing trend as the
management is continuously enhancing the usage of debt financing during the
last 4 years.
Valuation of Microsoft
Corporation
Weigh Average Cost of Capital
WACC
|
15.27%
|
|
|
Growth
Rate
|
7.9%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Present
Value of FCFF
|
$ 88,137.43
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Terminal
Value
|
$ 445,077.22
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
DCF calculation
|
Valuation ($USD)
|
|
|
NPV
of explicit period
|
88,137
|
|
|
NPV
of terminal value
|
445,077
|
|
|
Enterprise
Value
|
533,215
|
|
|
+Cash
|
133,768
|
|
|
-Debt
|
76,367
|
|
|
Equity
value
|
590,616
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Shares
Outstanding (B)
|
7.7
|
|
|
Stock
Option Value
|
|
|
|
Adjusted
Equity Value
|
590,616
|
Current
Market Cap (B)
|
921.7
|
Share
Price
|
$ 76.70
|
Current
Share Price
|
$ 119.70
|
In order to calculate the weighted average cost of capital for the
Microsoft Corporation, portion of that as compared to assets is 55% while
portion of equity as compared to the assets is 45%. The results of weighted
average cost of capital suggest that the weighted average cost of capital for
Microsoft incorporation will be 15.2 7% according to the growth rate of 7.9 %
on annual basis. The results of the discounted cash flow calculation suggest
that the calculated share price for Microsoft Corporation is $76.70 while the
current share price of Microsoft Corporation in market is $119.70. Is
difference between the calculated share price for Microsoft Corporation and
current market price of share, it can be concluded that the shares of Microsoft
Corporation being traded in stock market are overvalued because the calculation
value of the share price in books is less than the market price of the share
being traded in the market. Net present value for the future cash flows for
Microsoft Corporation is positive according to the calculation results of
discounted cash flows. It can be concluded that discounted cash flows are in
favor of future performance of Microsoft Corporation. It is important for any
business or project to have positive net present value for the discounted cash
flows in order to consider that specific project or business feasible for any
kind of project related investment or business related investment.
COMPARISON OF 5 YEAR CUMULATIVE TOTAL RETURN
|
|
|
|
6/13
|
6/14
|
6/15
|
6/16
|
6/17
|
6/18
|
|
Microsoft
Corporation
|
100
|
124.27
|
135.05
|
160.88
|
222.08
|
323.9
|
|
S&P
500
|
100
|
124.61
|
133.86
|
139.2
|
164.11
|
187.7
|
|
NASDAQ
|
100
|
142.33
|
159.76
|
164.39
|
226.91
|
297.24
|
|
The above table provides comparative performance of stock price of
Microsoft Corporation with S&P 500 and NASDAQ. The trend of the accumulated
total return clearly suggests that performance of Microsoft Corporation from
share price prospective has been better as compared to S&P 500 and NASDAQ.
Microsoft Corporation as well as S&P 500 and NASDAQ has followed increasing
trend in relation to cumulative total return but the trend followed by the
Microsoft Corporation has been highest as compared to the S&P 500 and
NASDAQ.
The above graph shows the comparison of five year cumulative total return
for Microsoft Corporation, Nasdaq and S&P 500. The graphical trend clearly
suggest that Microsoft Corporation, Nasdaq and S&P 500 has been following
increasing trend from 2013 till 2018 as far as total return is concerned in
stock market. This is a positive sign for the Microsoft Corporation because it
is moving with flow of the market and it will improve interest of investors in
Microsoft Corporation with the passage of time.
Terminal Value of Microsoft
Corporation
According to the predicted calculations by FCFE and FCFF, credited net
income of Microsoft Corporation will experience increasing trend from 2019 till
2023. As far as the actual net income of Microsoft Corporation is concerned,
company experienced fluctuation from 2014-2018.
Sensitivity Analysis:
Sensitivity analysis has been applied on the financial statements of
Microsoft Corporation from 2014 till 2018 in order to formulate the predicted
values for financial statement of Microsoft Corporation related to 2019. Results
of these predicted financial statements were further utilized in order to
calculate discounted cash flows for the Microsoft Corporation.
References of Microsoft
Corporation
Ades, Jack. 2019. Microsoft’s Investment
Strategy: Are they Making Too Many Bets? Accessed 04 09, 2019.
https://www.akaes.com/blog/microsofts-invenstment-strategy-are-they-making-too-many-bets/.
Dudovskiy,
John. 2019. Microsoft Business Strategy and Competitive Advantage.
Accessed 04 09, 2019. https://research-methodology.net/microsoft-business-strategy-and-competitive-advantage/.
seekingalpha.
2016. Microsoft: Risk Ahead. Accessed 04 09, 2019.
https://seekingalpha.com/article/4033482-microsoft-risk-ahead.
SEGAL,
TROY. 2018. Who are Microsoft's (MSFT) main competitors? 01 08.
Accessed 04 09, 2019.
https://www.investopedia.com/ask/answers/120314/who-are-microsofts-msft-main-competitors.asp.