The International Monetary
Fund cut its development standpoint for Turkey and required a broad blend of
measures to shield the economy after ongoing business sector disturbance and
decreases in the money. With an aim to
increase the export of Turkey, the plan focus on the area that can add value
and they also emphasized to enhance the production capacity in long rum with an
aim to develop new jobs upto 2 million till 2021. Moreover, it is expected that
the economic growth would sustain as well in the coming period. However, it is
anticipated that till 2021 Turkey will receive a gradual growth increase with
5% (ADEM and VURAN 2018).
As compare to the other
developing countries that Turkey had to face great inflation such as in the
period between 2008 to 2017, Turkey inflation rate increased at great extent
with a considerable rate of 11.9%. Following this, in the start of the year
2018, the rate of the Turkish currency fall down and reached equal to USD 4
against 1 TRY but following this in March it reached to 4.5, in may it becomes
5 USD and till august it almost doubled and reached to 7USD. According to the
economic experts it is believed that the rapid down because of the Erdogan’s
change the Central Bank policies as he
introduced some adjustment in the interest rate (Moro and Beker 2015).
With weight on the lira
driving the national bank to raise loan costs and sending swelling to close to
the quickest pace since President Recep Tayyip Erdogan came to control 15 years
back, the IMF is taking an inexorably diminish perspective of Turkey's
prospects. The Washington-based moneylender presently predicts Turkey's gross
local yield will develop 3.5 percent this year - not exactly half a year ago's
7.4 percent extension - and just 0.4 percent in 2019. That is down from the
IMF's April gauges of 4.2 percent and 4 percent.
Argentina's President
Mauricio Macri has approached the International Monetary Fund for an early
arrival of assets from a $50bn arrangement to ease worries that the nation
won't have the capacity to meet its obligation commitments for 2019. Macri said
in a broadcast address that Argentina had concurred with the IMF "to
propel every single fundamental reserve to ensure consistence with one year
from now's budgetary program".
Macri said that in the
previous week there had been "articulations of an absence of trust in the
business sectors" about Argentina. He said the choice tried to scatter any
vulnerability, however he didn't indicate the sum or when the assets would be
discharged.
References of Intervention of the IMF of currency crisis
ADEM, Ali Mohammed, and Bengü VURAN. 2018. "Why
Does Turkey Have a Chronic Current Account Deficit? An Emprical
Analysis." 8: 104–118.
Aksu, Fuat, and Helin Sari Ertem, . 2017. Analyzing
Foreign Policy Crises in Turkey: Conceptual, Theoretical and Practical
Discussions. Cambridge Scholars Publishing.
ARI, ALI, and RAIF CERGIBOZAN. 2016. "A
Comparison of Currency Crisis Dating Methods: Turkey 1990-2014." 12:
19-37.
Moro, Beniamino, and Victor A. Beker. 2015. Modern
Financial Crises: Argentina, United States and Europe . Springer.
Steinberg, David A. 2017. "Interest Group
Pressures and Currency Crises: Argentina in Comparative Perspective."
50: 61-82.
Watts, William. 2018. These 7 countries are most
at risk of a currency crisis: Nomura. Market Watch.