Another example of currency
crisis can be of the Asian crisis that took place in 1997. In this case there
was macro economic shocks faced by several Asian economies thus the name Asian
crisis. These economies include Malaysia, Thailand, South Korea, Philippines
and Indonesia. This started once again due to the devaluation of currency. It
started from Thailand where the currency was actually pegged to the US dollar
but the Thai government could not keep it further pegged because of drained
foreign reserves.
The government of Thailand
allowed its currency to float. At the time this all was happening Thailand
already had borrowed a huge amount of foreign debt that made the country go
into bankruptcy even before this currency crisis could. This happened because
devaluations meant that the value of debt had increased. This is when countries
began to default on the due debt repayment. The decline in currency spread
throughout the South Asia and led to reduced import revenues along with stock
market decline.
Other economies that too were
affected to some extent due to the currency crisis in Thailand include Hong
Kong, Laos, China, Singapore, Japan and Taiwan. They suffered because the level
of demand decreased and there was a decrease in the level of confidence. The
rate of inflation in economies increased too because imports became expensive. The
graph below shows the impact of Asian financial crisis. The nominal GDP per
capita in 1997 of five countries is shown in the graph. The five countries are
Indonesia, Thailand, Malaysia, South Korea and Philippines. (Sterland, 2017)
Moreover, in four large economies
of Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) the foreign debt to GDP ratio
increased from 100% to 167%. Fortunately, the IMF stepped in with a $40 billion
program to make things stable. The World Bank helped as well. It is estimated
that around $110 billion loan was taken by these economies in order to
stabilize their economy. The result of this was that many nations believed that
protectionist policies turned out to be the best for economies. Protectionist
policies make sure that the currency of the country is stable since it is not
prone to severe currency depreciation or appreciation.
Moreover, these economies then
opted for some strict policies like decrease in government spending and
increase in tax and interest rates. By 1999 major signs of recovery from this
event were visible in some economies. In
fact it is also known as the “Asian economic miracle”. This is because the high
interest rates attracted great foreign investments and the received great
inflow of money. Some economies like Malaysia, Thailand and South Korea really
experienced an increased in GDP to double figure.
Countries like Thailand actually
had a current account deficit. Current account deficit means that they were
importing more than the levels of goods and services that they were exporting.
This was financed by hot money flows this all showed that these economies had
greater level of economic growth and consumption. Another reason for the
previously mentioned hot money flows was that these economies had fixed or semi
fixed exchange rates meaning that interest rates were being used to maintain
the specific value of a currency.
Interest rates were basically
attracting hot money flows. Furthermore, since the overall environment in the
economies was such that the government was encouraging economic growth hence,
they provided guarantees for private sector projects and incentives. This
boosted the confidence level of private sectors firms and encouraged them to
make investments since there were chances that further expansion plans could be
backed up by the government.
The lessons that were learned
from this crisis are of great importance. They can be used in the present or
the future to solve similar economic problems. Perhaps the biggest lesson that
was learnt was to be aware of the asset bubble. The government and the people
should keep an eye on issues that give a rise to the asset bubble. (KUEPPER, 2018)
References of Asian currency crisisKUEPPER,
J. (2018, August 2). The Asian Financial Crisis. Retrieved from
https://www.thebalance.com/what-was-the-asian-financial-crisis-1978997
Sterland,
B. (2017, July 2). The Asian financial crisis 20 years on: Lessons learnt
and remaining challenges. Retrieved from
https://www.brookings.edu/opinions/the-asian-financial-crisis-20-years-on-lessons-learnt-and-remaining-challenges/