Industry Outlook
The oil and gas demand increased the market value of chemical-related industries. The natural gas
expands the key market value and revenue growth of related companies. Nowadays, the New York regulatory authority
increased the prices of gas which increases revenue streams and business
opportunities. From several years the U.S
oil production companies sweeping the oil and gas sector. The industry from the
last few years recorded low prices sales of oil and chemical sales.
Stock Valuation:
1)
Discounted
Cash Flow Method
The value of the stock
is calculated through the discounted cash flow method. The terminal value of future cash flows for the year
2022 and 2021 is calculated by previous cash flows. The free cash flows is calculated through adding depreciation and investing activities into net income including Bon-controlling
interest. The free cash flows is calculated
on the basis of the previous year as
2016 to 2017. This is considering that
perpetual growth occur over the period of Exxon company cash
flows.
Year
|
Year Number
|
Net Income
Including Non-Controlling Interest
|
Add:
Depreciation
|
Add:
Investing Activities
|
Free Cash
Flows
|
2016
|
4
|
8,375,000,000
|
22,308,000,000
|
(12,403,000,000)
|
18,280,000,000
|
2017
|
5
|
19,848,000,000
|
19,893,000,000
|
(15,730,000,000)
|
24,011,000,000
|
The discount rate is
calculated as 6.23 % by discounted
cash flows for the year 2022 and 2021. By
the previous year, free cash flows the future cash flows is calculated on the discount
rate using @ 6.23 %. The future cash flows in discounted of each year by using a
discount factor. The present value of
future cash is calculated from 2018 to 2021. The net present value is $
544,562,556,508 is calculated for the
year 2022 which is terminal value.
Year
|
Year Number
|
Future Cash
Flows
|
Discount
Factor
|
Present
Value
|
|
|
|
6.23%
|
|
2018
|
1
|
25,506,236,027
|
0.94
|
24,011,000,000
|
2019
|
2
|
27,094,584,825
|
0.89
|
24,011,000,000
|
2020
|
3
|
52,600,820,852
|
0.83
|
43,881,770,541
|
2021
|
4
|
99,215,239,106
|
0.79
|
77,917,296,890
|
2022
|
5
|
181,984,676,657
|
0.74
|
134,540,856,817
|
|
5
|
324,903,790,780
|
0.74
|
240,200,632,260
|
Terminal Value
|
|
|
|
544,562,556,508
|
By calculation, the stock value is
calculated as 128.46. Currently,
the share of ExxonMobil is traded as $
80. In 2017 the ExxonMobil financial statements show
that share price was decreased over the
period from 2013. In 2017 the share price was $ 83. Through the discounted cash flow method the future share
price is $ 128.
2)
Ratio
Analysis of Stock Recommendation Report for Exxon
Ratio
|
Formula
|
2017
|
2016
|
Figures
|
Value
|
Figures
|
Value
|
Return on Investment
|
Net Profit Before Tax
|
18,674.00
|
0.10
|
7,969.00
|
0.05
|
Net Worth
|
194,500.00
|
173,830.00
|
The return on assets increased by 0.03 ratio
which means company tends towards acquiring more assets as well as some part of
liabilities acquired in 2017. With an increase in revenue streams the
ExxonMobil acquire more assets. The return on investment structure is
significantly positive that means the company
should invest in more profitable projects. The investors are investing in a company for this purpose the capital structure is increased by equity
Profitability
Ratio of Stock Recommendation Report for Exxon
Ratio
|
Formula
|
2017
|
2016
|
Figures
|
Value
|
Figures
|
Value
|
Net Margin
|
Net Profit Before Tax
|
18,674.00
|
8%
|
7,969.00
|
4%
|
Sales
|
237,162.00
|
200,628.00
|
The profit analysis of the company is
significantly increased in 2017 as compared
to 2016. Which means the company maintained its
expenses and increased their revenue streams. The gross profit in 2017
increased by 5 % and net margin is increased by 4 % in 2017 as compared to 2016. The company revenue streams
increased as well as operating cost also increased which indicates the operations
able to generate more profits in future years.
Threats
and Competition
The chevron is considered to be the largest competitor
of ExxonMobil. According to the New York
stock exchange shows that ExxonMobil profit is
18% as Chevron registers 50%. This company ExxonMobil threat over its operations. The reason for huge market share and high-profit margins are a good operating cycle, better performance as
well as their high stock value.
Conclusion on Stock Recommendation Report for Exxon
The ExxonMobil financial growth shows that the company in the future
will be able to pay high dividends with good payout ratio. As the stock is valued
on cash flows basis that company stock price will be approx. $ 128 in 2022.
Currently, the share price is traded on $
80. Also, company ratio analyses both
Return on investment and profitability ratios are also very good. So, after
analysis, it can be said that Exxon company stock is must buy by current analysis.