Coffee as a potential export
product within the framework of the trade policy. Coffee is an important
commodity in the world economy, accounting for a trade worth approximately US$
16.5 billion. World production in coffee year 2010/11 is estimated at 131 million
bags (7.8 million tons). While consumption in calendar year 2010 is estimated
at 135 million bags (8.1 million tons). Present work will focus on country
screening and theoretical basis of export decision within a country
Coffee Production in Sri Lanka of Coffee Brand or Plantation
Sri Lanka is famous for its coffee
cultivation. In past, it was wiped out by coffee rust fungus. The modern
cultivation system is free from fungus issues, which increased coffee demand in
international market. Local coffee brands are exporting coffee and tea in
various geographical segments. Local brands are serving excellent homegrown
coffee
Possible Countries to Export
of Coffee Brand or Plantation
Below are the 15 countries that
exported the highest dollar value worth of coffee during 2018.
·
Brazil:
US$4.4 billion (14.1% of total coffee exports)
·
Vietnam:
$3.3 billion (10.5%)
·
Germany:
$2.5 billion (8.2%)
·
Switzerland:
$2.4 billion (7.6%)
·
Colombia:
$2.3 billion (7.5%)
·
Italy:
$1.7 billion (5.4%)
·
France:
$1.2 billion (3.7%)
·
Honduras:
$1.1 billion (3.6%)
·
Belgium:
$867.9 million (2.8%)
·
United
States: $861.2 million (2.8%)
·
Ethiopia:
$856.9 million (2.8%)
·
Netherlands:
$825.9 million (2.7%)
·
Indonesia:
$817.8 million (2.6%)
·
Guatemala:
$812.4 million (2.6%)
·
Peru:
$667.9 million (2.1%)
By value, the listed 15 countries
shipped 78.9% of global coffee exports in 2018.
Among the above countries, the fastest-growing coffee exporters since 2014
were: Netherlands (up 56%), France (up 45.1%), Honduras (up 42%), and Guatemala
(up 21.6%).
Those countries that posted declines in their exported coffee sales were led by
Brazil (down -27.8%), Indonesia (down -21.3%), Belgium (down -12.8%), Peru
(down -10.9%) and United States (down -10.2%).
Advantages of Coffee Brand
or Plantation
The following countries posted
the highest positive net exports for coffee during 2018. Investopedia defines
net exports as the value of a country’s total exports, minus the value of its
total imports. Thus, the statistics below present the surplus between the value
of each country’s coffee exports and its import purchases for that same
commodity.
·
Brazil: US$4.3 billion (net export surplus down
-28.2% since 2014)
·
Vietnam: $3.2 billion (down -1.4%)
·
Colombia: $2.2 billion (down -9.7%)
·
Switzerland: $1.6 billion (up 7.2%)
·
Honduras: $1.1 billion (up 42%)
·
Ethiopia: $856.9 million (up 9.4%)
·
Guatemala: $811.8 million (up 21.6%)
·
Peru: $663.8 million (down -11.1%)
·
Indonesia: $662 million (down -33.3%)
·
Uganda: $428.2 million (up 9.1%)
·
Nicaragua: $419.7 million (up 5.4%)
·
India: $384.5 million (down -4.5%)
·
Mexico: $318.3 million (up 7.1%)
·
Costa Rica: $306 million (up 19.3%)
·
Kenya: $226.2 million (down -1.8%)
Brazil has the highest surplus in
the international trade of coffee. In turn, this positive cash flow confirms
Brazil’s strong competitive advantage for this specific product category.
Opportunities of Coffee
Brand or Plantation
The following countries posted
the highest negative net exports for coffee during 2018. Investopedia defines
net exports as the value of a country’s total exports, minus the value of its
total imports. Thus, the statistics below present the deficit between the value
of each country’s coffee import purchases and its exports for that same
commodity.
·
United States: -US$4.9 billion (net export deficit
down -3.9% since 2014)
·
France: -$1.7 billion (down -10.1%)
·
Japan: -$1.2 billion (down -14.1%)
·
Germany: -$919.7 million (down -39.9%)
·
Spain: -$753.4 million (down -4.6%)
·
United Kingdom: -$725.1 million (up 61.2%)
·
Canada: -$702.2 million (down -16.1%)
·
South Korea: -$632.5 million (up 21%)
·
Russia: -$556.8 million (up 5.3%)
·
Netherlands: -$467 million (down -22.1%)
·
Australia: -$443.8 million (down -3.5%)
·
Austria: -$356.4 million (up 1.5%)
·
Sweden: -$274.3 million (down -23.1%)
·
Poland: -$250 million (reversing a -$4.5 million
deficit)
·
Romania: -$236.8 million (up 29.1%)
The United States of America has
the highest deficit in the international trade of coffee. In turn, this
negative cashflow confirms America’s strong competitive disadvantage for this specific
product category but also signals opportunities for coffee-supplying countries
that help satisfy the powerful consumer demand.
World map of Coffee
Consumption of Coffee Brand or Plantation
While the Scandis dominate the
business end of the coffee-drinking table, the ranking of coffee-producing
nations is very different. You can't grow coffee in northern Europe
(obviously).
Brazil is the world's biggest
exporter of coffee, shipping a truly remarkable 5.7bn pounds of grounds each
year, according to ICO. In fact, Brazil has been the world’s largest
exporter of coffee for more than 150 years. It supplied around 80 percent
of the world’s coffee in the 1920s, but that figure has fallen to around a
third.
Coffee in Finland of Coffee
Brand or Plantation
•
Finland's neighbors are just as hungry for java.
Norway, Iceland, Denmark, and Sweden also make the top 10 – it must be those
long winters.
•
The consumption of coffee in Finland averagely
is 12 kg per capita.
Coffee Consumption in Finland By Years
The coffee consumption in Finland
is shown in figure year wise. For example, least drinkers were in 2015, but in
2019, the coffee lover’s number increases.
Coffee Consumption in Norway of
Coffee Brand or Plantation
•
Coffee consumption in Norway
•
9.9 kg per capita
•
Kaffee is served black
•
Coffee is served with
•
Cakes and pastries
•
Average drinking rate is 2 cups of coffee
•
36,472,000 kg in 2012
•
Rural Norway
•
The cocktail that is weakly brewed coffee
•
Coffee with moonshine and vodka
Coffee Consumption in Norway By Years
The coffee consumption in Norway
is shown in figure years. For example, least drinkers were in 2015 but in 2019,
the coffee lover’s number increases
Country Screening
Import of Coffee of Coffee Brand or Plantation
·
Finland imports coffee beans and ready to use
coffee from many countries around the world.
·
Roasted coffee and coffee beans are imported
from Kenya, Ethiopia, and Colombia.
·
Retail prices for the import of raw coffee
material is €30 per kg to €67.70 per kg
·
Coffee import is increased from 69,000 tons to
80,000 tons from 2012 to 2016 (finnpartnership.fi, 2019).
External and Internal Environmental Analysis
·
The internal and external environmental analysis
shows competitive strength of Finland coffee market.
·
Internal analysis of local brands (in Sri Lanka)
shows that local brands are capable of delivering high-quality coffee (Fifield,
2012).
·
Sri Lankan coffee beans are world-famous because
of quality and taste.
·
Currency rate differences are also a source of attraction
for local brands
The external
environment analysis shows the opportunities for the company as well as the
threats in the market which can affect the company business and market share.
For this purpose, SWOT analysis was done to see what were the inter and
external threats or see the strength or weaknesses of the company.
PESTLE ANALYSIS of Coffee Brand or Plantation
PESTLE analysis
of Coffee export in Finland is presented below:
- Political Factors of Coffee Brand or
Plantation
The political
situation in Finland is stable. Political relations between Sri Lanka and
Finland are friendly. Political policies are supportive of international trade
(Baker & Hart, 2016).
2.
Economic Factors of Coffee Brand
or Plantation
GDP per capita is
improved from 24,000 to 45,703 USD in 10-year duration. The inflation rate was
decreased 0.84 in 2017. Consumer spending is increased to 277730 from 27482 in
2019. Thus economic condition is suitable for trade with Finland.
- Social Factors of Coffee Brand or Plantation
In Finland, the coffee
consumption trend is inclining. Population growth and tendency towards coffee
products use indicate potential for new investors and export companies to
export coffee in Finland market.
4.
Technological Factors of Coffee
Brand or Plantation
Technological
factors are in favor of Sri Lankan local brands. Brand positioning and
marketing are possible in Finland by social media and modern digital marketing
system. E-commerce platforms can be introduced for export of coffee in Finland.
5.
Environmental Factors of Coffee
Brand or Plantation
Environmental
standards for food quality are high in Finland. Local companies of Sri Lanka
need to consider environmental standards of food quality.
6.
Legal Factors of Coffee Brand or Plantation
Law and
regulations are strict for international trade. Brands need to consider
practical laws and tax regulation systems for trade-in Finland (www.gov.uk,
2019). Contract law and intellectual property laws are also strict for
businesses and international trade in Finland.
Porter Five Forces Analysis of
Coffee Brand or Plantation
By applying porter five forces
model the company was able to identify the bargaining power of suppliers,
buyers, threats at the time of penetration, and what kind of alternatives can
be as well as the real competition in the market.
- Bargaining Power of Suppliers: The bargaining
power of suppliers is high in Finland, as many companies from different
countries are serving coffee products. Suppliers have the strength to bargain
and change prices
- Bargaining Power of Buyers: buyers have many
alternative offers, and they are concerned with high quality and taste.
Buyers can bargain to lower prices.
- Threats of substitutes: Low __ substitutes
such as beverages, soft drinks, and tea are available, but demand for
coffee is high. The switching cost is high.
- Threats of New Entrants: Moderate_ new
international companies are developing trade relations with local
companies in Finland. High profit and sales growth are attractions for new
entrants while barriers are limited which causes to increase threats from
new entrants.
- Industry Rivalry __ High competitors have a high
level rivalry. Prices and quality standards have influence on companies'
strategies (Baker & Hart, 2016).
Pricing and Costing Problems
of Coffee Brand or Plantation
·
Poverty, inflation, and limited consumer buying
power cause pricing issues.
·
Competitive forces and substitutes also
encourage to keep prices lower
·
In Finland prices for 1kg coffee are between
28-67 euros.
·
Costing problems are linked with wastage management
practices, transportation, and inventory management.
·
Taxes on international trade will also increase the
cost of operations.
·
Cost issues are also caused by the extra testing
process to meet international standards of quality and taste (Baker & Hart,
2016).
Theoretical Model of Coffee Brand or Plantation
Theoretical
models show justification for country screening decisions. According to
Johansson 2008, international entry evaluation process includes country
identifications and market screening (Johanson, 2008). Preliminary screening includes currency
stability, economic stability, barriers to entry, domestic level consumption,
and competitor forces. Finland's country screening by PESTLE and other analysis
cover all these areas. Country policies for international and national trade
are important for decision making and understanding operational outcomes.
According to the
theory and literature review, internal and external environmental analyses are
essential for the selection of right and most suitable markets for a product.
PESTLE analysis covers important external factors that can draw impact on
business (Baker & Hart, 2016).
PESTLE analysis also represents political forces and chances of
influence on business. Economic analysis shows purchasing capability and
overall economic condition of country, which enables the companies to make
better decisions about prices.
Competitive
analysis is important to understand competitive strength of a country at the
time of investment or business start-up.
A competitive analysis shows opportunity for new business. Substitute
and alternative products can draw impact on price strategies. Porter's five
forces analysis shows risk associated with targeted market. Import and demand
analysis is important in decision making process to understand market potential
for offered products (Fifield, 2012).
Budget and
TimeLine of Coffee Brand or Plantation
The budget
consists of three possible segments including upper end, lower end, and middle-end
considerations. The price markups are based on the price of coffee, supply
chains, and final products.
The retail price
of budget divided into three segments such as Upper end (From approximately $30
per kg to $67.90 per kg)
, Middle end
(From approximately $ 12 per kg to $29 per kg ), Lower end (From approximately
$ 6 per kg to $ 12 per kg)
•
The price markups of supply chain
•
20% change in producers and exporters
•
Budget consider the exemplary coffee prices in
retail
Timeline
of Coffee Brand or Plantation
In the very
first two months, the company did complete the analysis on the market and the environments
using SWOT analysis, PESTEL and Porter five forces model. Next two months the
planning for budget was done as well as the essential budget had been assigned
to the different departments for the production and conduction of business. May
to July company had spent a large number of resources on advertising as well as
the campaign to set a new trend in the country for drinking coffee. August to
September company did also analyze what the requirements of the customers. Then
openly they did start to play in market.