Table of contents
Introduction. 2
Question 1. 2
Part 1. 2
Data analysis. 2
Histogram.. 2
Comment on
histogram.. 3
Graphs. 3
Graphical illustration. 3
Comment on results. 4
Part 2. 5
Regression model 5
Dependent and
independent variable. 5
Regression equation. 5
Interpretation of
p-values with recommendation. 5
Online
advertisement = 200000 euros. 5
Comment on accuracy. 6
Question 2. 6
Statistical
analysis. 6
Statistical
distribution model 6
Calculate
probability. 6
For driving traffic
towards website. 7
Sends 10 newsletter
and probability if 3 subscribers. 7
Sends 110
newsletter and exactly probability of 40 subscriber 7
Probability of
customer make a purchase. 7
How many purchases
over 100 euro. 7
Company wanted
mid-range sale boast 8
Question 3. 8
Time analysis. 8
Centred moving
average of length 12. 8
Table with
detrended monthly value for each year 9
Chart for overall
season record. 11
Comments and suggestions. 11
Comment on any
trend. 11
Suggestions and
action required for the marketing department 11
Conclusion and
recommendation. 12
References. 12
Appendices
Introduction
of Math and computing
According
to the given scenario, I am working in the advertising department of the JTT
company that is based in the UK and it is an online gift shop. This team is
involved in managing the number of advertising channels for the company. In
this case, I will analyze this report with the help of excel and perform
different operations.
Part 1
Data analysis
Histogram
bin
|
Frequency
|
Cumulative
%
|
bin
|
Frequency
|
Cumulative
%
|
600000
|
0
|
0.00%
|
900000
|
3
|
25.00%
|
700000
|
0
|
0.00%
|
1400000
|
3
|
50.00%
|
800000
|
1
|
8.33%
|
1100000
|
2
|
66.67%
|
900000
|
3
|
33.33%
|
800000
|
1
|
75.00%
|
1000000
|
0
|
33.33%
|
1200000
|
1
|
83.33%
|
1100000
|
2
|
50.00%
|
1300000
|
1
|
91.67%
|
1200000
|
1
|
58.33%
|
1500000
|
1
|
100.00%
|
1300000
|
1
|
66.67%
|
600000
|
0
|
100.00%
|
1400000
|
3
|
91.67%
|
700000
|
0
|
100.00%
|
1500000
|
1
|
100.00%
|
1000000
|
0
|
100.00%
|
More
|
0
|
100.00%
|
More
|
0
|
100.00%
|
Comment
on histogram
According to the fact, the histogram is presented in the sale amount
column. The above figure is the histogram graph of the sale amount. From that
graph, it can be noted that the amount for sale is defined according to the
given frequency. The selected bin is started from 600000 and there is about
100000 difference between the numbers. From the graph, it can be noted that the
highest frequency rate is related to the 900000 and 140000 sale amount. This
shows that in their months the sale amount is touching this target. After this,
the next thing that can be seen from this graph is that there are only two
months in which the sale amount is touching 110000 figures. Now in the analysis,
it can be noted that only one time this amount can touch 1500000 sale amount..
Graphs
Graphical illustration
Comment
on results
From the graph of the sale amount and online ads, it can be noted that
this company contains a high sales amount in the last year 2019. This is
because in three months the amount was close to 140000 euros. This means that
their sale was comprehensively improved in the last year due to the services of
the online ads. Moreover, the next thing is that the sale amount is not
increasing gradually.
Part
2
Regression model
In this part, there is complete information about the regression model
of the graph. This regression model will be made between the online
advertisement, the amount spent and the number of physical catalogs sent out and
also the sale amount.
The
dependent and independent variable
From the model, it can be noted that the sale
amount is the dependent variable. On the other hand, online ads and physical
catalogs are considered as the independent variable.
Regression
equation
From the above information the regression
equation will become like this
In the equation
Y= dependent variable that is sale amount
a= constant that is equals to dependent variable when
X=0
e= this is the error value
Interpretation
of p-values with recommendation
According to the given P-values of the graph,
it can be noted that there is a lot of change. These values are related to the
independent variables. From the table, it can be noted that the p-value of
online advertisement is about 0.00496. This shows that this value is less than
0.05. This means that online advertisement is significant. On the other hand, it
can be noted that the p-value of the number of the physical catalog is about
0.219162. This shows that the value is greater than 0.05. This means it is not
significant.
According to these results, there is only one
recommendation for the company and it is related to the online advertisements.
This company has to focus on their online ads if they wanted to increase their
sale amount for the next coming years.
Online
advertisement = 200000 euros
To find catalogues sent out
a)
Sale of 1200000
Comment
on accuracy
From the regression table, it can be noted that
the value of multiple R is about 0.8034 and it is good. On the other hand, the
value of R square is about 0.6455. This shows that the model is about 64%
dependent on the independent variable. This is because the sale amount is also
increased due to the increase in products. The sale amount of products is not
mentioned in the table. This is the reason why it is showing this value. On the
other hand, the adjusted R-value is about 0.5 only. Moreover, another fact is
that the value of standard error is also ideal. According to this fact, it can
be concluded that overall the model is accurate and also ideal. This is because
it is perfectly showing all values. Furthermore, the dependent variable is also
64% dependent on the independent variables.
Question
2
Statistical
analysis
According to the given scenario, the company is operated online and
there is requirement to learn basic understanding of the website traffic.
Statistical
distribution model
For measuring and calculating the
level of website traffic, I will use the exponential distribution model. This
is because the website traffic will be gradual increases at the time. Moreover,
another fact is that due to this model it is easy to predict future traffic on
the website. This is the reason why this model fits perfectly for statistical
distribution.
Calculate
probability
Given data
The value of visits is about 30 in every 20
minutes
This can be explained through the help of
formula
This value is almost approaches to zero. This means
that there will be 0 probability that there will be 30 visits in every 20
minutes.
For
driving traffic towards website
Given
data
There will be 36% probability that recipient of the
letter will check the link
43% for the customers that is going to click on the
link and will purchase
Sends
10 newsletter and probability if 3 subscribers
At least
probability will be
Sends
110 newsletter and exactly probability of 40 subscriber
Exact probability
formula
Probability
of customer make a purchase
For that case
there is need to calculate at least probability
There will be
maximum chance that the customer who receive the newsletter will make a
purchase
It can be noted that there about 55% chance come
through the online ads
The value is about 3357 of online ad
Paper catalogue purchases will be
Company
wanted mid-range sale boast
a. According to the given table the company
should focus on online ads
b. This is because its sales probability is
high
This shows that
the company has to focus on the online ads because due to this sale amount is
increases in the mid-range
Question
3
Time
analysis
Centred
moving average of length 12
According to above graph it can be noted
that the blue line is showing actual sale amount over the four year. On the
other hand, orange line is showing the forecasted value of the data.
Table
with detrended monthly value for each year
Chart
for overall season record
Comments and suggestions
Comment
on any trend
According to the
graph of 2017, it can be noted that the sale amount of the company was at
1000000 in the month of January. Then after this it is gradually decreasing.
Then after this in the month of July its stars growing again but not able to
reach the actual target of this year. After this in the month of September
there is again some loss in the sale’s amount. Moreover, after this this value
is increasing again after October again. In the end of the December this
company is able to manage the sale amount up to 1000000 euros
Suggestions
and action required for the marketing department
It
can be noted that it is an online gift shop then for then there are some
important marketing suggestion that will help them to promote their business in
an effective way. The first one is related to the offering deals on regular
basis. It can be noted from the trend there sale amount is decreased in the off
season time. Therefore, this company is required to offer deals during the off
season time. Due to this they can easily manages sales during such time period.
Conclusion
and recommendation
Summing
up all the discussion from above, it is concluded that this report discusses
the complete market analysis of the JTT Company. According to this fact, there
are some recommendations for the company. According to the analysis, online ads
are more effective because they are increasing sale amount for about 54%. The
company should focus on the video tutorial advertising, due to this they can
easily attract their customers towards their products. The facts are showing
that in winter season for every year, the sale amount of the company is
increased at high amount. This can be seen in all four years of this company.
This is because they are in the season. But for off season they have to make
new strategies.
References
Beamish, K., 2012. CIM Coursebook 03/04 Marketing Planning. s.l.:Routledge.
Chernev, A., 2018. The
Marketing Plan Handbook, 5th Edition. s.l.:Cerebellum Press.
Cohen, W. A., 2005. The
Marketing Plan. s.l.:John Wiley & Sons,.
Mas, S., 2018. The
Seven P’s of the Apple Watch’s Marketing-Mix. s.l.:GRIN Verlag.
O. C. Ferrell, M. H., 2013. Marketing Strategy, Text and Cases. s.l.:Cengage Learning.
O. C. Ferrell, M. H., 2019. Marketing Strategy. s.l.:Cengage Learning,.
Robert E. Stevens, D. L. L. B. W., 2006. Marketing Planning Guide. s.l.:Psychology
Press.
Appendices
SUMMARY OUTPUT
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Regression
Statistics
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Multiple R
|
0.803475
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
R Square
|
0.645573
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Adjusted R Square
|
0.566811
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Standard Error
|
152426
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Observations
|
12
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
ANOVA
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
df
|
SS
|
MS
|
F
|
Significance
F
|
|
|
|
Regression
|
2
|
3.81E+11
|
1.9E+11
|
8.196545
|
0.009394
|
|
|
|
Residual
|
9
|
2.09E+11
|
2.32E+10
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total
|
11
|
5.9E+11
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Coefficients
|
Standard
Error
|
t Stat
|
P-value
|
Lower
95%
|
Upper
95%
|
Lower
95.0%
|
Upper
95.0%
|
Intercept
|
828352.4
|
238187.7
|
3.47773
|
0.006963
|
289534.4
|
1367170
|
289534.4
|
1367170
|
Online Ads (£)
|
2.505474
|
0.678238
|
3.694093
|
0.004966
|
0.971194
|
4.039755
|
0.971194
|
4.039755
|
Number of paper catalogues
|
-23.901
|
18.09576
|
-1.32081
|
0.219162
|
-64.8365
|
17.03445
|
-64.8365
|
17.03445
|