Coronavirus
is the disease that has hassled towards the loss of business in number of
different sectors and that has lead towards the slowdown in an economy. As it
has been given in the question, because of the rapid rise in the cases of this
disease China was being forced to ban on the live seafood imports and it has
also taken a huge toll on the different communities of an island at a moment
when the different lobsters in Australia are bountiful. There are disastrous
effects of this coronavirus on the market for the Lobsters in Australia. Back
in the previous years they used to sell their per Lobster at almost $45-50 rate
and the month and January along with the February used to be the most busy
along with the high peak of sale as well. Now the price of this lobster has
been decreased to almost $15 and this is causing a great negative impact on the
economy of Australia as well. (Mobsby, 2020)
Economy
of the Australia was already showing some of the signs for weakness before taking
the wildfire took hold in the fourth quarter. If the things keep on going in
the same way it remains really difficult to quantify the lasting impact of this
coronavirus, economists of the Australia also believe that it will be even way
more larger than the Sars Virus which came almost 17 years ago that has cut
down the Australian GDP by only some points that is 0.1-0.2 percent. This
decrease of lobster price has given a red alert to the economy of Australia and
this is really an alarming situation. This coronavirus has spoiled the lives of
every individual and cause a great impact on the lives of every individual
along with the economy as well. From the graph below it can be easily seen that
how the scale has gone down.
Graph
Q2 (a). Use the determinants of price
elasticity of demand to analyze whether the demand for lobsters is likely to be
price elastic or inelastic.
Elasticity
of demand is the sensitivity of the demand for different services and goods
because of the change in another factor. There are different economists who
measure the demand for elasticity to know that how the consumers behave and
spending of different patterns are also being effected along with specific
factors are being considered. (Bijmolt, 2005)
Different
factors that influence the demand of elasticity,
There
are three different kind of the goods that I have analyzed by reading the case
study related to the sale of lobster in Australia along with its impact on the
economy as well and it includes three different kind of the goods that include
comfort, necessity along with the luxury good as well. It is very essential and
important to know about the taste of consumer along with their point of view as
well as one might consider it as a comfort and other may consider it as a
luxury.
Price
is the other determinant that can affect the demand elasticity of these
lobsters at their price level.
Income
effect is also another determinant, it is the income level for the population
which also impacts the demand elasticity for the different goods along with the
different services as well.
Last
one is the substitute availability, if there comes a readily available
substitute for the different variety of the lobsters then this substitute makes
the demand for a good elastic. In other words if we talk about it, this
substitute makes the demand for the different services along with the goods
towards the change of price.
Different
factors have been discussed in detail that influence all of them and it has
also been found out that the demand for the lobster is most likely to be price
elastic. The Australian market has stored a huge amount of the lobsters for
almost 3-4 weeks and this is because of the controlled temperature because if
the temperature goes up and it gets really hot then it would definitely be too
difficult to save them and now they are at least being sold out at the rate of
$15 but if they get expired or start giving smell it means they are of no use
and it would really be difficult to use them and they won’t be of any use. (Herrmann, 2004)
Q2 (b). Based on your analysis in Q2
(a) explains and illustrates graphically what will happen to the total revenue
of the lobster industry following a decrease in price of lobsters.
There
are two different kind of the general ways to assess the substitutability,
first one is by the analysis of conventional demand and the other one is the
time series of the analysis of price.
In
the conventional demand of the analysis there comes an estimation of the
specific demand relationship. Mostly this approach is the variation of models
in the sold volume of one individual product in the terms of different
variations in its own price.
In
the time series analyzation of different prices there are different patterns over
the time of different prices. Main focus here is that whether there is a
relationship between the different prices.
Graph 2
Quantity
of the lobsters are increasing in the market of Australia and the price is
falling down with the passage of time. This is not just it, with the passage of
time it is also becoming much difficult to handle these ample amount of the
lobsters with the rice in temperature.
Q3. Using the demand and supply
model, explain and illustrate how the changes in the market price of lobster,
due to the coronavirus will change consumer and producer surplus as well as the
economic surplus?
Because
of the coronavirus outbreak it has very limited shipment to the China and the
price of the lobsters have also reduced to the great extent. Price of the
lobster has fallen to the great extent and it is to its lowest price in the
last four years for now after some of the charter flights has come to the
standstill during the onset of an outbreak of coronavirus. As its result
thousands of the pounds of surplus lobsters have been drowned in the different
markets along with the decline in their price as well. Different seafood
companies in Australia has also been dropped down in a business from the
slowdown in China. Economy is falling down and the producers are facing number
of difficulties to control the surplus amount of lobsters because it is not an easy
task to store them in an ample amount plus along with this how their price is
falling down it also gives the sellers really tough time. Consumers are
addicted to this lobster but as the supply is down and they can’t get them they
are also having different issues in their diet as it is an important part of
their diet. It is becoming really hard for the consumers to survive and skip
eating such a fancy dish in their lunch or dinner. This coronavirus outbreak
has not just disturbed the sale of lobsters but the economy of Australia is
suffering a great loss and if things remain same then it would be really
difficult and hard to cope up with the things and bring them back on track.
Producers are facing a really hard and tough time because this is there only source
of income and because of the limited supply and the decreased price of lobsters
they are also facing a difficult time. They are managing out the surplus amount
of lobsters but still because of their limited resources it is even becoming
really hard and tough for them to handle such large amount of the lobsters as
they are not being sold. This season used to be the peak season of the lobster
sale and China was the one who used to have most of them but things have
changed a lot and now for this year there is not being seen any of its solution
instead of just accepting the fact. (Leland, 2017)
Graph 3