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Brad Co. is evaluating a project with the following cash flows. The firm does not have any debt and all the required financing for the project is through stockholders.

Category: Accounting & Finance Paper Type: Online Exam | Quiz | Test Reference: APA Words: 1300

Table 1: Cash flows of the project

Year

Cash flow (£)

0         

(45,000)

1

14,000

2

16,000

3

17,000

4

20,000

 

Table 2: Risk and Return

Expected Return

Standard Deviation

Beta

Brad Co.

16. 30 %

30%

1.3

FTSE 500

13%

12%

 

Risk Free Asset

2%

0%

 

 

 

 

 

Using the provided information in Table 2 and assuming that CAPM holds:

1-      Calculate the expected return of the firm.  

 

Using the CAPM model the expected return of the firm is calculated:


Calculation suggests that expected return for Brad Co. is around 16.30%.

2-      Using the estimated expected return, evaluate the project using the following criteria (Table 3) and decide if you accept/reject the project based on each criterion (the last column of Table 3).               

Table 3: Project criteria

Criteria

Value

Managers’ Threshold

Accept/Reject

NPV

0

 

Reject

IRR

17%

 

Reject

Payback Period (PB)

 

2.5 year

Accept

Discounted Payback Period (DPB)

 

4 year

Accept

Profitability Index (PI)

 

0.5

Reject

                                                           

3-      Please provide the NPV profile of the project.                                                           (5 marks)

The following graph and table represent the NPV profile of the project.

3)

NPV Profile

Year

Cash Flow

DR

NPV of Project

0

-45,000

1

14,000

5%

94643

2

16,000

10%

36718

3

17,000

15%

32535

4

20,000

20%

34775

 


4-      Considering the estimated criteria, provide your insight about this project as an independent analyst.                                                                                     (5 marks)

Based on the calculation of expected return it can be said that the project is beneficial for the company as it can generate a higher return. While the NPV value is “0” that should be greater than “0”. Moreover, the IRR value is 17% as calculated by the use of project cash flows. While an ideal IRR should be between 12 %-15%. Thus, considering this internal rate of the return value is greater than the requirement. Although, the Payback period is short so the project is acceptable. Similarly, the discounted payback period is also less than 5 so it's good it accepts it. Somehow, the probability index is just limited to 0.5 only. It is lower than the lowest acceptable measure of probability index value "1.0".

Question 2                                                                                                          (15 marks)

You work as a financial analyst in Brad Co. Mr John Merton is a new client who is interested to invest for his future. He wants some help in terms of personal financing. He is risk-taker, 35-year-old, and has 25 years to retirement.

a)      Explain to him what are the main processes of personal finance planning?  (5 marks)

The personal finance planning is a process through which a person can manage his money in such a way that return him a better return in future. Any person having extra money as the saving can invest his amount in various investment products and money market opportunities to increase this amount and earn a return on his investment. Keeping money in safe and lockers cannot be double. While a wise investment of this saving can sometimes double it in a short time period. Personal finance planning enables a person to find such attractive opportunities which can be considered as safe investment opportunities with lower risk factor and higher expected return in future.

b)     Considering the characteristics of Mr Merton, what are your suggestion as investments options for investment in the money market and capital market? (10 marks)

Considering the characteristics of Mr Merton I would suggest them to invest money in the money market and capital market instead of keeping it as saving in his locker. Mr Merton is not retired yet, therefore, he still has the opportunity to invest this money in higher return generating investment products even some of these have a higher risk factor.  Following my experience, a  person with a saving of his retirement pension should invest his money in the money market especially banks to have a fixed return or income for daily requirements and expenditures. However, people eager for risky investment and interested in higher return should invest int the capital markets.

  Considering his characteristics I would suggest him to buy shares of a higher return generating company. However, he should also analysis the stock price volatility and previous return calculations before making an investment in any company. Although, rather than investing all amount in a single company he should invest in different companies thus he can diversify risk factor from his investment portfolio.  Moreover,     I would also suggest him to buy some corporate bonds with a higher interest rate and treasury bills with a lower risk factor to have better investment return.

Question 3                                                  
Company1: Merck & Co. Inc.
Company 2: Microchip Technology Incorporated                                   (50 marks)

a)      Collect the weekly share price data (adjusted close) of companies assigned to you and the price data for the S&P500 market index for the period of one year. Calculate the weekly returns and graph the returns of the share prices and the index over the period (assume no dividends). Interpret the graph.                                                                                                                            


In the above-represented graph, the blue line is representing the weekly return of the S&P 500 index. While orange and white colours are projecting the weekly return values of Merck & Co. Inc. (MRK) and Microchip Technology Incorporated (MCHP) respectively.  The data used to calculate weekly return is obtained from yahoo finance (from May 2019 to May 2020). According to the graph, the weekly return of both companies is almost aligned with the industry return which indicates that companies are working well. However, Microchip Technology Incorporated is comparatively performing better than Merck & Co. Inc and the overall market. At some points [week 42 to 29] company generated return many times greater than the market average return and weekly return of Merck & Co. Inc.

b)      Is there any market or industry-specific factors that you think explain the share price movement of your companies over the period of one year?             (10 marks)

 

Industry and external environmental factors draw impact on the share prices movement of a company over some specific time duration. However, in this case, it seems that the external environment and industry-specific factors were favourable for both of these companies. The weekly return values are overall increased over the one-year duration. Even the external environmental factor spread of COVID 19 have not drawn a negative impact on the share prices of these companies.

c)      Calculate the average weekly returns and the standard deviation of the 2 companies and the index over the last year. Which of the companies has a higher risk? Which factors specific to that company might explain the fact that the company has a higher risk? (You need to do the procedure in excel and them to the word file) (20 marks) 

The following table represents the average weekly return and standard deviation of the companies over the one-year duration.

Average Weekly Return

S&P 500

0.000882919

MRK

0.001161575

MCHP

0.001368314

Standard Deviation

S&P 500

0.039388323

MRK

0.03344554

MCHP

0.06528641

Based on the above table, the average weekly return of Merck & Co. Inc. (MRK) is greater than the average weekly returns of Microchip Technology Incorporated and S&P 500 market index. While standard deviation value is highest for Microchip Technology Incorporated. Such a situation indicates that return values highly fluctuate for Microchip Technology Incorporated over the selected time period. High volatility and frequently changing share prices represent a greater risk factor for investors. Conclusively, Microchip Technology Incorporated (MCHP) have a greater risk factor than Merck & Co. Inc. (MRK) and S&P 500 market index.              

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