Chapter
1
Introduction of Moscow
state institute of international relations (MGIMO-UNIVERSITY), The ministry of
foreign affairs of Russia
The 70 years of diverse inter-state and internal
conflicts in South Asia generates various way of settling them. From one side
the governments of both states are able to find solutions for some disputes
issues and prevent the escalating of local conflict into the regional one. And
from another side the past unresolved mutual claims of states to each other
cannot lead to a peaceful dialogue between states however it can transform the
South Asian region into one of the hottest spots on the world map. The
high level of conflict between states intensifies the threat in a region as a
whole by taking into account the presence of nuclear weapons in India and
Pakistan which shows a sign that it needs a reign interaction as well as the
regional and international cooperation involvement to solve the conflict. At
the same time reducing the conflict potential is a condition for the state to
stay stable politically, which determines the economic growth of a state as
well as their own security.
Significance of the
chosen problem for Contemporary IR
In this it has been investigated that the effect of entity
leaders could have on international relations. As well as it mainly focuses on
the psychological characteristics of political leaders impact political
procedures and findings, mainly in foreign policies. In this it can also be
said that significance of leaders in international relations and the pathways in
which the leader experiences, personalities and beliefs has been affected
through their conduct in the foreign policy and some of the other behaviors
which is essential in the international politics. As well as in the recent
times it has been observed that information, technology and academic
flexibility have been attained importance in international relations as in the
form of power in the universal information society which has been based on the low
on territory, natural resources and military power mainly.
The problems of systematizing South Asia’s conflict
potential as well as finding different ways to address them requires in-depth
research and analysis. It should be taken into consideration that
the current differences between countries of the region are directly related to
the partition of the continent in 1947 and the formation of the newly
independent state on the world map. By mentioning the partition of a State into
2 it is important to underline the historical fact speeches which divided the
region. Mahandas Karamchad Ghandi with his “Quit India” speech and from the
Muslim League leader Muhammad Ali Jinnah “It is a high time that the British
Government applied their mind definitely to the division of India, the
establishment of Pakistan and Hindustan (India) which means freedom for both”
Jinnah said in 1945. In addition to all
Pakistan and India got their freedom from 200 years of British ruling. However,
their interstate conflict between themselves has not been solved completely
since then this interstate conflict represented a timebomb for the next
generations. The conflict on a territory of Jammu and Kashmir between India and
Pakistan is one of the longest unresolved conflicts in South Asia.
Maharaja
( The Prince) of the Principality of Jammu and Kashmir Hari Singh decided to
join India after the declaration of independence in 1947, which exasperated the
situation not only on the territory of Maharaja itself, but also on the borders between new sovereign
states of India and Pakistan. Belokrenistky V.Y mentions that the main problem
remained the special status of Jammu and Kashmir. In the case of absence of the
special status and if Britain renounced its ownership of India by setting
territorial borders, this could have more likely led the Principality to
Pakistan since the vast majority of the population in Jammu and Kashmir were
Muslims even tho the Prince believed in Hinduism. As a result by the end of
November 1947, the territory of Principality had disintegrated due to armed
tribesmen from Pakistan which forced the Maharaja to seek military assistance
from India in order to defend his land. However, in return for military
assistance, he handed over the land to New Delhi. New Delhi also began to
control the Jammu region and eastern Ladakh and on the other hand, Pakistani
troops were able to occupy most of the Punch region where the main population was
Muslim. Moreover, the government “Azad Kashmir” (Free Kashmir) was formed on a
new land of Pakistan. Subsequently, in the Gilgit region who’s population had
mutinied against the Hindu ruler by forming into groups, declared that they
will join Pakistan.
Conclusion of Moscow
state institute of international relations (MGIMO-UNIVERSITY), The ministry of
foreign affairs of Russia
In
this it has been concluded that the 70 years of diverse inter-state and
internal conflicts in South Asia generates various way of settling them. From
one side the governments of both states are able to find solutions for some
disputes issues and prevent the escalating of local conflict into the regional
one. The problems of systematizing South Asia’s conflict potential as well as
finding different ways to address them requires in-depth research and analysis.
Chapter
Two
Literature Review of
Moscow state institute of international relations (MGIMO-UNIVERSITY), The
ministry of foreign affairs of Russia
One of the first attempts to resolve the conflict was
made by the Indian leader Pandit Jawaharlal Nehru in order to avoid open
conflict with Pakistan, India lodged a complaint against Pakistan for
aggression against India through the invasion of Kashmir to United Nations
invoking article 35 of UN Charter. This means that India
internationalized the conflict in order to decide the future of Kashmir by
holding a referendum. However, the international community efforts to hold a
referendum failed and the outbreak of the Indo-Pakistani war after getting
independence was a forceful attempt to solve the crisis.
On
January 1, 1949, an agreement between New Delhi and Islamabad was taken into
consideration to the ceasefire. However, on the 27th of July 1949, the Karachi
agreement was signed by both states to a ceasefire in the region of Kashmir
under the supervision of Truce Subcommittee of the United Nations Commission
for India and Pakistan (UNCIP). In which India gained back the area of
principality where the Muslims and Hindus lived due to which Kashmir fell under
the jurisdiction of New Delhi. The emergence of the new state of Jammu and
Kashmir at the borders with Pakistan and China as well as it is under the
special status of the Indian constitution “Article 370” led to further
escalation of the conflict. After Jammu and Kashmir joining India and taking a
special status in the constitution of Indian left no hopes to Pakistan for
revenge by recognizing the fact that they did not have the required resources
politically and economically to withstand the Indian army if they attacked. Due
to the thought of threat that India could bring to Pakistan. The government of
Pakistan started to move closer to Washington in order to have an alliance in
case if India attacked. Subsequently, it led Pakistan to sign a mutual defense
treaty in 1954 with the United States, which allowed Pakistan to begin the
process of rearming the army and substantially increase its strength. at the
same time, India focused on enhancing the industries and manufacturies.
The forceful method of bringing back the Kashmir
crisis became relevant again during the second Indo-Pakistani war in 1965
whereas operation was called “Gibraltar”. Despite the escalation of the
conflict between 2 states did not end up by total nature of war and the
agreement signed in Tashkent in January 1966 with the participation of the
USSR, temporarily closed the Kashmir issue among 2 states.
However, in 1971, the war between Islamabad and New Delhi broke out again with
further on led to new negotiations, between 2 states and in conclusion the
states signed a Simla agreement in June 1972 in which India agreed to withdraw
their troops from occupied Pakistan territories, Moreover, this time a new
dividing line was drawn on the territory of Kashmir which in comparison with
the agreement in 1949 best served the interest of New Delhi.
At
this point, it will be important to mention the division of Pakistan. When
India and Pakistan were split into 2 parts. One was West Pakistan and the other
one was East Pakistan, during the 1970s the civil war took place between West
and East Pakistan because of less ruling power was given to East Pakistan in
which East Pakistan wanted to use its own resources and become independent.
With the help of India’s intervention, East Pakistan was able to gain its own
Independence in 1971. Since then after getting independence the country is
called Bangladesh. Moreover the intervention of India increased the tension
between Indian Pakistan relations.
In
the 1980s was firstly characterized for India by a flash of manifestation of
separatist sentiments that have also engulfed Kashmir and in 1989 uprising
began in the country in which Pakistan took advantage of sending military
troops of USSR which participated in the Afghan war, specifically once again
triggered the round of tension not only at the level of interstate relations
between Islamabad and New Delhi but also at the level of the region to add on
it is important to consider that both nations had their own nuclear weapons.
Testing of nuclear weapons by both states aggravated the tension between the
states on the conflict, New Delhi and Islamabad defacto received the status of
nuclear powers. Belokrenistky V.Y considers that in the new reality that the
counter escalation of the conflict with nuclear weapons involved is possible.
On the other hand the continuing Indian-Pakistan conflict may follow the way of
Soviet-American confrontation.
After
the following event in New York on 11 September 2001, The United States
government took unprecedented measures and organized a worldwide anti-terrorist
campaign, according to the experts Islamabad once again was able to transport
the active members of Mukhaddist group to Indian Kashmir and beyond, which not
only have destabilized the situation in India and the territories bordering
with Pakistan but Pakistan also attacked the parliament building in New Delhi
on 13th December 2001. In which New Delhi openly accused Islamabad of
supporting terrorist groups aiding extremists and terrorist activities by
directing to India. This once again increased the tension of the situation on
the border when New Delhi concentrated its own half-million army there.
Further
escalation of the conflict was not avoided without pressure from the
international community as well as the White House which could not lead to
another round, aggravation of the Indian — Pakistan relations with nuclear
confrontation while there was a difficult situation in Afghanistan and
preparation for the war in Iraq. So in Autumn of 2002 New Delhi started to
withdraw their troops from the border, and after 6 months they entered into
another round of negotiations with Pakistan. From 2001 till 2003 skirmishes
between Inda and Pakistan troops on the border took place constantly and by Autumn
of 2003 Islamabad proposed to the ceasefire in the region of Kashmir, during
another meeting of South Asian Association of Regional Cooperation (SAARC) in
2004, the meeting of President of Pakistan Musharraf P. and Prime minister of
India Vajpayee A.B took place after that complex negotiations started between
the states.
After
2003, despite the fact of establishing a peaceful dialogue, interaction between
states and deepening the cooperation at the highest level seemed that the partnership
in a certain agreement was on track. However, a decrease in the conflict
potential was not achieved, due to the fact that it is at the state level, the
positions of both governments are incompatible and settling the Kashmir issue
by appealing both states was not achieved. New Delhi as before considers the
preservation of the status quo which consists the maintaining of the current
division of Kashmir Line Of Control (LOC), which is the only acceptable
condition for the further development of the dialogue but on the other hand,
Islamabad is crossing the line of control and legitimization which at the end
expands the conflict between states.
After
the assumption of power in India on 14th May By Narendra Modi, the experts
expressed different views on the relations between Pakistan and India, as well
as on the settlement of the conflict especially in the state of Jammu and
Kashmir. So the central question remains whether N. Modi can make out his
roadmap for a peaceful dialogue and settle the crisis like leader Atul Bihari
Vajpayee who led the “Bharatiya Janata” party in the late 90s and beginning
of 2000s. At that time according to the
University of Jammu A.B. Vajpayee was the personification of hope for the
expansion of the crisis and establishment of peace not only in Indian Kashmir
as well as in Pakistan Azad Kashmir. Despite the fact that A.B Vajpayee
represented the party which can be called cultural nationalism with reliance on
Hinduism in Kashmir where the majority of the population were Muslims, They
perceived him as a peacemaker.
Article
370 of the Indian Constitution ( which later on was abolished) gives Jammu and
Kashmir special status, which includes the acquisition of his own constitution,
restricting of applicating Indian Constitution and its legislation, but it
leaves to the central government to decide on key issues relating to defense
and law enforcement. During the A.B. Vajpayee’s rule (1999-2004) there was a peaceful
dialogue with Pakistan of a series of issues including Kashmir. Whereas in
talks, abolition of Article 370 was mentioned by it, being the traditional
position of the Bharatiya Janata Party. However, after A.B. Vajpayee resigned
from the post of Prime Minister of India in 2004. The Bharatiya Party returned
again to the question of the abolition of Article 370 in Kashmir but also
suggested to increase control in the Indian territories Bordering with
Pakistan. An act of terrorism that took
place in Mumbai in 2008 led to the serious thoughts of the Indian government to
abandon the ceasefire agreement signed with Pakistan in 1949. Since the
terrorist attack led to approximately 166 deaths. The terrorist attack
influenced India to put on hold the negotiations with Pakistan. If before they
were actively negotiating about peace. Since the government was getting
pressured by the public and also there are more than 160 million Muslims living
in India.
In
June, 2010, a young individual was killed, naming Tufail Ahmed Mattoo who was
heading home from a tution center where he was recruited as a teacher. He was
actually studying for the medical exam which was soon to happen later that year
when he became a target of the Indian armed force’s brutality. The Indian
forces opened a tear gas canister from a close range that led to the instant
death of this young student. He was later termed as martyr since he became a
victim of the brutal dispute between Pakistan and India regarding the territory
of Kashmir. Among other incidents, martyr of Tufail Ahmed is not the only one.
There have been a lot of incidents where numerous individuals have been killed
and martyred by the armed forces of India. To this, the youth replied with
throwing stones at the security forces which led to injury of 270 security
officers. Such a scenario was played out throughout the summer. In 2008,
numerous individuals and Kashmiris died everyday and the reason was termed as
the halted enhancement in the dispute between Pakistan and India. Among these,
later that year two young girls were found dead by the stream, for which the
armed forces were being accused of rape of these two women. Ever since then,
there has been extremely tight circumstances between the armed forces and the
youth of Kashmir which replied valiantly by throwing stones at the armed
forces.
In 2012, Chief Minister of Jammu and Kashmir, Omar Abdullah completely
resided the responsibility of events taking place, especially related to armed
forces on the PDP for trying to halt the partial revocation of the suspicious
Armed Forces Special Power Act (AFSPA) by saying that the state government
should take the army on board. Omar further continued his efforts in revocation
AFSPA and was of the view that the AFSPA would be revocated during this tenure.
According to Omar, he was led to believe that the PDP was doing this for
political reasoning, hence, he thought that there was a standard political
reasoning behind it and the use of armed forces were not required within the
region of Kashmir. Furthermore, considering the complexities in the political
conflicts of Jammu and Kashmir, Omar further stated that the legislature
described by the Indian Government could not provide a substantial solution.
This
was related to the Article 370 in the Indian government’s policies which
reinstated the foreign nature of the region of Kashmir. Therefore, it was led
to believe that the special status for the region of Kashmir should be
rethought, since it was the core motive for majority of the political parties,
including BJP. The reason being that Kashmir is described to be the core center
of nuclear flashpoint between the two countries; Pakistan and India. Hence,
Pakistan has been describing the independence of the state of Kashmir
peacefully for several years, ever since it came into being. India further
claims that Pakistan has been waging a proxy war through Islamic terrorists and
militants ever since 1980s which leads to a rising conflict between the two
states.
Later
in 2012, the Indian President Pranab Mukherjee decided to visit Kashmir since he
took the office in July, 2012. This led to the rising protests by the Kashmiris
against the brutality of Indian forces against local Kashmiris. During his
visit, Pranab Mukherjee decided to attend a convocation of Kashmir’s oldest
university situated in Srinagar. However, his visit was not very welcomed,
since majority of the students of the university protested against his
presence, since he was held accountable for the commandments of the armed
forces of India intruding in Kashmir and killing local citizens. The acts of
students were embarrassing for the president, since during the national anthem
of India, no student took part in it. This displayed a specific feeling of
hatred of Kashmiris towards the Indians. There had been a major source of
security for the visit of the president, however, it was also viewed that his
acts were completely for political purposes and the president had no intention
to intervene for the betterment of the state of Kashmir.
The
year of 2014 started with the initiation of votes for the state of Kashmir. The
Jammu and Kashmir Legislative Assembly political decision, 2014 was held in the
Indian territory of Jammu and Kashmir in five stages from 25 November – 20
December 2014. Voters chose 87 individuals for the Jammu and Kashmir
Legislative Assembly, which closes its six-year term on 19 January 2015. The
outcomes were announced on 23 December 2014. Voter-checked paper review trail
(VVPAT) alongside EVMs were utilized in 3 gathering seats out of 87 in Jammu
Kashmir elections. Hardline dissenter All Parties
Hurriyat Conference pioneer Syed Ali Shah Geelani had engaged individuals of
Kashmir to blacklist the 2014 Jammu and Kashmir Legislative Assembly decisions
totally, contending that "India has been holding races in the Valley
utilizing the intensity of weapon thus such an activity isn't real." He
included, "My intrigue to the young specifically is that the penances
rendered by the individuals must be defended and, consequently, not the
slightest bit should cast a ballot during elections." Separatists were
proliferating the survey blacklist crusade through video cuts on long range
interpersonal communication locales and applications, including Facebook and
WhatsApp. A four-minute video cut has circulated around the web on social
locales with messages of administrators of both hardline and moderate groups of
Hurriyat Conference and Dukhtaran-e-Millat boss Asiya Andrabi. The video
message sent through WhatsApp and shared on Facebook and Twitter requested that
the individuals blacklist the coming polls. Video likewise indicated Hurriyat
peddle Syed Ali Shah Geelani tending to a social event through telephone
encouraging youth not to subvert the strategic 'saints'. Moderate Hurriyat
administrator Mirwaiz Umar Farooq is seen modeling for the camera with the
intrigue that surveys must be boycotted 'en masse'. Regardless of these calls,
voter turnout in the 2014 races rather expanded by 4%, from generally 61% the
past political decision to 65%.
Later,
the year 2016 brought upon another catastrophe for the Kashmiris and ignited
another series of dispute between the two countries. Burhan Wani, who belonged
to a highly educated upper class of Kashmir, was beaten to death by the Indian
armed security and police for no reason. This caught the eye of the leaders and
individuals all over the world since Burhan was an active user of social media
applications and was able to broadcast various videos of police brutality
within the region of Kashmir. During those days, there was a rising movement,
and Burhan Wani, in his last video was seen warning the police for the
consequences of the resistance towards the movement, hence, this lead to the
death of Wani since he was considered to be a terrorist and a threat for the
peace of Indian people. Furthermore, it was observed by the police that recent
new militants were considered to be recruited in the People’s Democratic Party
in the elections of 2014. Various observers and individuals were of the view
that all these chaos is being caused due to the absence of a considerable
political intervention by the countries. This was a necessary intervention to
be made since this would either lead to deaths of hundreds of Kashmiris or
either a peace treaty. The killing of Burhan lead to a great wave of protest by
the Kashmiris, which lead to a seriously problematic state in the region of
Kashmir. This further led to a 50 day lockdown within Kashmir, which resulted
in the death of hundreds of Kashmiris going out as protest against the Indian
police and army.
In
2017, India launched an operation by the name of Operation All Out, which led
to killing of thousands of Kashmiris. The operation was basically designed to
fight against the armed militants in Kashmir, however, the actions of troops
went ahead and continued killing thousands of Kashmiris, including government
officials, militants and local civilians. Even before this, as discussed above,
the armed forces of India have continued massacring thousands of Kashmiris, all
in the name of peace within Kashmir. However, this certain operation led to a
devastating situation for the people of Kashmir. Other horrific acts during
this year included the events in Kulgam district in October, when an explosive
was left behind by the armed forces, which led to injuries of hundreds and
killing of round about 50 individuals. Militants decided to respond to this
brutal acts, which led to abduction and killing of unarmed police officials,
government officials and informers. However, compared to the massacre caused by
the armed forces. This operation was ultimately carried out in order to resume
peace within the region, however, this was not the fact at all. On the other
hand, it continued to violate the civil rights which had not been yet violated
by the Indian forces.
Later
in 2018, Kulgam was shut down when the Indian armed forces arrested separatist
leaders and various protestors. Later, Kulgam became a deathbed and a
playground for the armed forces of India as they continued killing hundreds of
people in Kashmir. Moreover, Kulgam became a dead city, since shops and the
entire city was under lockdown, and people continued to be killed by the armed
forces. Later, during these events, shelling resulted in killing various
civilians, 7 to be exact.
Considering
the current conditions of Kashmir, in which thousands of Kashmiris were killed
due to abolition of article 370 which provided Kashmir a separate state, Indians
and armed forces continued massacring thousands of people in Kashmir. Pakistan
was unable to take any specific actions, including the United Nations who kept
their hands to themselves rather than spreading out for help. The chain of
events taking place between India and Kashmir have always been problematic,
since Kashmir is filled with Muslim majority and wanting to be a part of
Pakistan, resistance by the Indian government is nothing but a jealousy act and
killing is their way of response. Despite the peace talks between the two
countries, which failed dramatically even though different leaders of Pakistan
and India tried to come to one common point, it however failed. Moreover, it
was also observed that the civil rights that had been violated in Kashmir,
especially during abolition of Article 370 were completely overlooked by the UN
who had been designed to keep peace between the two countries.
Conclusion of Moscow
state institute of international relations (MGIMO-UNIVERSITY), The ministry of foreign
affairs of Russia
In
the last of this chapter it has been concluded that in this the previous
history of Kashmir issue has been discussed in which it has been
mentioned that one of the first attempts to resolve the conflict was made by
the Indian leader Pandit Jawaharlal Nehru in order to avoid open conflict with
Pakistan, India lodged a complaint against Pakistan for aggression against
India through the invasion of Kashmir to United Nations invoking article 35 of
UN Charter.
Chapter
three
Analysis of the period of
Moscow state institute of international relations (MGIMO-UNIVERSITY), The
ministry of foreign affairs of Russia
There as the broad-spread observation related to Indo-Pakistan
resentment has been rooted in the long time period of Muslims ruling in India.
The very initial piece of Hindu-Muslim aggression had said to be held in their
minds when General Muhammad Bin Qasim has been sent by Banu Umayyad occupied
the Indus delta sector in Sindh (which is now the part of Pakistan) and
accomplished Indian-Muslim state. General Muhammad bin Qasim the banner of
Islam in the area of Sindh 712 A.D and almost ten thousand of Buddhist and
Hindus has been suffered under his domination. in the main time Sindh has been
raise into an Islamic outpost where Arabs were setup trading connections with
middle east.
Moreover,
in this it has also been mentioned that there are some of the external and
internal factors have been donated to make the Kashmir problem stubborn.
Whereas it has also been observed that conflict is the main factor which has
been occurred in two of the parties and it has been occurred on the basis of non-negotiable
aims. These parties have been observed with everyone as enemy in the terms of looking
for their essential interest. Whereas when their attitudes have been become
aggressive and violent because of the presenting illogicalities, as well as conflict
intensifies and takes the form of violence. That’s it has been said that there
is no space for cooperation on the issue of Kashmir because the issue has now
become the matter of non-negotiating aims.
Conclusion of Moscow
state institute of international relations (MGIMO-UNIVERSITY), The ministry of
foreign affairs of Russia
In
this it has been concluded that The high level of conflict between states
intensifies the threat in a region as a whole by taking into account the
presence of nuclear weapons in India and Pakistan which shows a sign that it
needs a reign interaction as well as the regional and international cooperation
involvement to solve the conflict. In this it has been investigated that the
effect of entity leaders could have on international relations. As well as it
mainly focuses on the psychological characteristics of political leaders impact
political procedures and findings, mainly in foreign policies. In this it can
also be said that significance of leaders in international relations and the
pathways in which the leader experiences, personalities and beliefs has been
affected through their conduct in the foreign policy and some of the other behaviors
which is essential in the international politics.
One
of the first attempts to resolve the conflict was made by the Indian leader
Pandit Jawaharlal Nehru in order to avoid open conflict with Pakistan, India
lodged a complaint against Pakistan for aggression against India through the
invasion of Kashmir to United Nations invoking article 35 of UN Charter. despite
the fact of establishing a peaceful dialogue, interaction between states and
deepening the cooperation at the highest level seemed that the partnership in a
certain agreement was on track. However, a decrease in the conflict potential
was not achieved, due to the fact that it is at the state level, the positions
of both governments are incompatible and settling the Kashmir issue by
appealing both states was not achieved. The forceful method of bringing back
the Kashmir crisis became relevant again during the second Indo-Pakistani war
in 1965 whereas operation was called “Gibraltar”. Despite the escalation of the
conflict between 2 states did not end up by total nature of war and the
agreement signed in Tashkent in January 1966 with the participation of the
USSR, temporarily closed the Kashmir issue among 2 states.
Hardline
dissenter All Parties Hurriyat Conference pioneer Syed Ali Shah Geelani had
engaged individuals of Kashmir to blacklist the 2014 Jammu and Kashmir
Legislative Assembly decisions totally, contending that "India has been
holding races in the Valley utilizing the intensity of weapon thus such an
activity isn't real." There as the broad-spread observation
related to Indo-Pakistan resentment has been rooted in the long time period of
Muslims ruling in India. Moreover, in this it has also been mentioned that
there are some of the external and internal factors have been donated to make
the Kashmir problem stubborn. Whereas when their attitudes have been become
aggressive and violent because of the presenting illogicalities, as well as
conflict intensifies and takes the form of violence. That’s it has been said
that there is no space for cooperation on the issue of Kashmir because the
issue has now become the matter of non-negotiating aims. Whereas it has also
been observed that conflict is the main factor which has been occurred in two
of the parties and it has been occurred on the basis of non-negotiable aims.
Bibliography and the
literature that has been studied and used during the research
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