BACKGROUND
How does one convert a $1.2 billion project into a $5.0 billion project? It’s easy. Just build a new airport in Denver. The decision to replace Denver’s Stapleton Airport with Denver International Airport (DIA) was made by well-intentioned city officials. The city of Denver would need a new airport eventually, and it seemed like the right time to build an airport that would satisfy Denver’s needs for at least fifty to sixty years. DIA could become the benchmark for other airports to follow.
A summary of the critical events is listed below:
1985: Denver Mayor Federico Pena and Adams County officials agree to build a replacement for Stapleton International Airport. Project estimate: $1.2 billion
1986: Peat Marwick, a consulting firm, is hired to perform a feasibility study in- cluding projected traffic. Their results indicate that, depending on the sea- son, as many as 50 percent of the passengers would change planes. The new airport would have to handle this smoothly. United and Continental object to the idea of building a new airport, fearing the added cost burden.
May 1989: Denver voters pass an airport referendum. Project estimate: $1.7 billion
Denver International Airport (DIA)
517
1321.ch14 11/3/05 9:28 AM Page 517
Kerzner, H. (2008). Project management. Retrieved from http://ebookcentral.proquest.com Created from erau on 2018-09-28 10:15:03.
C op
yr ig
ht ©
2 00
8. J
oh n
W ile
y &
S on
s, In
co rp
or at
ed . A
ll rig
ht s
re se
rv ed
.
March 1993: Denver Mayor Wellington Webb announces the first delay. Opening day would be postponed from October, 1993 to December 1993. (Federico Pena becomes Secretary of Transportation under Clinton). Project estimate: $2.7 billion
October 1993: Opening day is to be delayed to March 1994. There are problems with the fire and security systems in addition to the inoperable baggage han- dling system. Project estimate: $3.1 billion
December 1993: The airport is ready to open, but without an operational baggage handling system. Another delay is announced.
February 1994: Opening day is to be delayed to May 15, 1994 because of bag- gage handling system.
May 1994: Airport misses the fourth deadline.
August 1994: DIA finances a backup baggage handling system. Opening day is delayed indefinitely. Project estimate: $4 billion plus.
December 1994: Denver announces that DIA was built on top of an old Native American burial ground. An agreement is reached to lift the curse.
AIRPORTS AND AIRLINE DEREGULATION
Prior to the Airline Deregulation Act of 1978, airline routes and airfare were es- tablished by the Civil Aeronautics Board (CAB). Airlines were allowed to charge whatever they wanted for airfare, based on CAB approval. The cost of additional aircraft was eventually passed on to the consumer. Initially, the high cost for air- fare restricted travel to the businessperson and the elite who could afford it.
Increases in passenger travel were moderate. Most airports were already un- derutilized and growth was achieved by adding terminals or runways on existing airport sites. The need for new airports was not deemed critical for the near term.
Following deregulation, the airline industry had to prepare for open market competition. This meant that airfares were expected to decrease dramatically. Airlines began purchasing hoards of planes, and most routes were “free game.” Airlines had to purchase more planes and fly more routes in order to remain prof- itable. The increase in passenger traffic was expected to come from the average per- son who could finally afford air travel.
Deregulation made it clear that airport expansion would be necessary. While airport management conducted feasibility studies, the recession of 1979–1983
518 DENVER INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT (DIA)
1321.ch14 11/3/05 9:28 AM Page 518
Kerzner, H. (2008). Project management. Retrieved from http://ebookcentral.proquest.com Created from erau on 2018-09-28 10:15:03.
C op
yr ig
ht ©
2 00
8. J
oh n
W ile
y &
S on
s, In
co rp
or at
ed . A
ll rig
ht s
re se
rv ed
.
occurred. Several airlines, such as Braniff, filed for bankruptcy protection under Chapter 11 and the airline industry headed for consolidation through mergers and leveraged buyouts.
Cities took a wait-and-see attitude rather than risk billions in new airport de- velopment. Noise abatement policies, environmental protection acts, and land ac- quisition were viewed as headaches. The only major airport built in the last twenty years was Dallas–Ft. Worth, which was completed in 1974.
DOES DENVER NEED A NEW AIRPORT?
In 1974, even prior to deregulation, Denver’s Stapleton Airport was experiencing such rapid growth that Denver’s Regional Council of Governments concluded that Stapleton would not be able to handle the necessary traffic expected by the year 2000. Modernization of Stapleton could have extended the inevitable problem to 2005. But were the headaches with Stapleton better cured through modernization or
Does Denver Need a New Airport? 519
Exhibit I. Current service characteristics: United Airlines and Continental Airlines, December 1993 and April 1994
Average Enplaned Scheduled Boarding Scheduled Seats per passengersa Seatsb Load Factor Departuresb Departure
December 1993________________
United Airlines 641,209 1,080,210 59% 7,734 140 United Express 57,867 108,554 53% 3,582 30 Continental Airlines 355,667 624,325 57% 4,376 143 Continental Express 52,680 105,800 50% 3,190 33 Other 236,751 357,214 66% 2,851 125________ ________ ______
Total 1,344,174 2,276,103 59% 21,733 105
April 1994________________
United Airlines 717,093 1,049,613 68% 7,743 136 United Express 44,451 92,880 48% 3,395 27 Continental Airlines 275,948 461,168 60% 3,127 147 Continental Express 24,809 92,733 27% 2,838 33 Other 234,091 354,950 66% 2,833 125________ ________ ______
Total 1,296,392 2,051,344 63% 19,936 103
a Airport management records. b Official Airline Guides, Inc. (on-line database), for periods noted.
1321.ch14 11/3/05 9:28 AM Page 519
Kerzner, H. (2008). Project management. Retrieved from http://ebookcentral.proquest.com Created from erau on 2018-09-28 10:15:03.
C op
yr ig
ht ©
2 00
8. J
oh n
W ile
y &
S on
s, In
co rp
or at
ed . A
ll rig
ht s
re se
rv ed
.
by building a new airport? There was no question that insufficient airport capacity would cause Denver to lose valuable business. Being 500 miles from other major cities placed enormous pressure upon the need for air travel in and out of Denver.
In 1988, Denver’s Stapleton International Airport ranked as the fifth busiest in the country, with 30 million passengers. The busiest airports were Chicago, Atlanta, Los Angeles, and Dallas–Ft. Worth. By the year 2000, Denver antici- pated 66 million passengers, just below Dallas–Ft. Worth’s 70 million and Chicago’s 83 million estimates.
Delays at Denver’s Stapleton Airport caused major delays at all other airports. By one estimate, bad weather in Denver caused up to $100 million in lost income to the airlines each year because of delays, rerouting, canceled flights, putting travelers into hotels overnight, employee overtime pay, and passengers switching to other air-
520 DENVER INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT (DIA)
Exhibit II. Airlines serving Denver, June 1994
Major/National Airlines Regional/Commuter Airlines
America West Airlines Air Wisconsin (United Express)b
American Airlines Continental Express Continental Airlines GP Express Airlines Delta Air Lines Great Lakes Aviation (United Express) Markair Mesa Airlines (United Express) Midway Airlines Midwest Expressb
Morris Aira
Northwest Airlines Cargo Airlines TransWorld Airlines United Airlines Airborne Express USAir Air Vantage
Alpine Air Charter Airlines American International Airways
Ameriflight Aero Mexico Bighorn Airways American Trans Air Burlington Air Express Casino Express Casper Air Express One Corporate Air Great American DHL Worldwide Express Private Jet Emery Worldwide Sun Country Airlines Evergreen International Airlines
EWW Airline/Air Train Foreign Flag Airlines (scheduled) Federal Express
Kitty Hawk Martinair Holland Majestic Airlines Mexicana de Aviacion Reliant Airlines
United Parcel Service Western Aviators
a Morris Air was purchased by Southwest Airlines in December 1993. The airline announced that it would no longer serve Denver as of October 3, 1994.
b Air Wisconsin and Midwest Express have both achieved the level of operating revenues needed to qualify as a national airline as defined by the FAA. However, for purposes of this report, these airlines are referred to as regional airlines.
Source: Airport management, June 1994.
1321.ch14 11/3/05 9:28 AM Page 520
Kerzner, H. (2008). Project management. Retrieved from http://ebookcentral.proquest.com Created from erau on 2018-09-28 10:15:03.
C op
yr ig
ht ©
2 00
8. J
oh n
W ile
y &
S on
s, In
co rp
or at
ed . A
ll rig
ht s
re se
rv ed
.
lines. Denver’s United Airlines and Continental comprised 80 percent of all flights in and out of Denver. Exhibit I shows the service characteristics of United and Continental between December 1993 and April 1994. Exhibit II shows all of the air- lines serving Denver as of June 1994. Exhibit III shows the cities that are serviced from Denver. It should be obvious that delays in Denver could cause delays in each of these cities. Exhibit IV shows the top ten domestic passenger origin-destination markets from Denver Stapleton.
Stapleton was ranked as one of the ten worst air traffic bottlenecks in the United States. Even low clouds at Denver Stapleton could bring delays of 30 to 60 minutes.
Stapleton has two parallel north-south runways that are close together. During bad weather where instrument landing conditions exist, the two runways are con- sidered as only one. This drastically reduces the takeoffs and landings each hour.
The new airport would have three north-south runways initially with a mas- ter plan calling for eight eventually. This would triple or quadruple instrument flights occurring at the same time to 104 aircraft per hour. Currently, Stapleton can handle only thirty landings per hour under instrument conditions with a max- imum of eighty aircraft per hour during clear weather.
The runway master plan called for ten 12,000 foot and two 16,000 foot run- ways. By opening day, three north-south and one east-west 12,000 foot runways would be in operation and one of the 16,000 foot north-south runways would be operational shortly thereafter.
Does Denver Need a New Airport? 521
SEA
PDX
BOI
BIL
DIK
RAP
PIR
ABR
FSD
LBF
MCK
GLD
GCK
LBL
OKC TUL
AMA
LBB
MAF
AUS
SAT
IAH
DFW
ICT
MCI
GRI
OFK
LNK
DMA
BIS
JAC
SBS FNL
DEN GJT
ASE
COS
LAA
PUBDRO
CEZ MTJ
GUC
TEX
GCC
MSY MCO
ATL
CLT
BNA
CVG
CMH
CLE PIT BWI
EWR
PHL JFK
LGA
BOS
BDL
IAD
DTW
IND PIA
MDW
ORD
MKE
MLI
MEM LIT
SGF
STL
DSM
MSP
CID
TPA
MIA
RIW
RKS
CPR
CYS BFF
LAR
SMF
OAK SJCSFG
SBA
LAX
SAN PSP
SNA
ONT BUR
RNO
Legend
Source: Official Airline Guides, Inc. (On-line Database), June 1994.
Denver
Served by major national airlines
Served by regional/ commuter airlines
Served by both major/national and regional/commuter airlines
SLC
TUS
ELP
ABQ
SAF
PHX
EUG
GEG
LAS
Exhibit III. U.S. airports served nonstop from Denver
1321.ch14 11/3/05 9:28 AM Page 521
Kerzner, H. (2008). Project management. Retrieved from http://ebookcentral.proquest.com Created from erau on 2018-09-28 10:15:03.