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General mills acquisition of pillsbury from diageo plc

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UVA-F-1326 Version 2.6


This case was prepared by Professor Robert F. Bruner from public information, with research assistance by Dennis


Hall. It was written as a basis for class discussion rather than to illustrate effective or ineffective handling of an


administrative situation. Copyright  2001 by the University of Virginia Darden School Foundation, Charlottesville,


VA. All rights reserved. To order copies, send an e-mail to sales@dardenbusinesspublishing.com. No part of this


publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, used in a spreadsheet, or transmitted in any form or by


any means—electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording, or otherwise—without the permission of the Darden


School Foundation. Rev. 12/01.


GENERAL MILLS’ ACQUISITION OF PILLSBURY FROM DIAGEO PLC


On December 8, 2000, management of General Mills, Inc., recommended that its


shareholders authorize the creation of more shares of common stock and approve a proposal for


the company to acquire the worldwide businesses of Pillsbury from Diageo PLC. This


transaction called for an exchange of shares of General Mills for the Pillsbury subsidiary that


would leave Diageo as the largest shareholder in General Mills. Furthermore, it was agreed that,


just before the transaction, Pillsbury would borrow about $5 billion and pay a special dividend to


Diageo. Finally, General Mills would obtain a contingent commitment from Diageo that would


pay General Mills up to $642 million on the first anniversary of the transaction, depending on


General Mills’ stock price. The proxy statement carried the opinions of General Mills’ financial


advisers that the transaction was fairly priced. Yet shareholders and securities analysts were


puzzled by the contingent payment. What was it? Why was it warranted in this transaction?


Would this deal create value for General Mills’ shareholders? In light of answers to these


questions, should General Mills’ shareholders approve this transaction?


General Mills, Inc.


Headquartered in Minneapolis, Minnesota, General Mills was a major manufacturer and


marketer of consumer foods, with revenues of about $7.5 billion in fiscal-year 2000. The firm’s


market capitalization was about $11 billion. It was the largest producer of yogurt and the second-


largest producer of ready-to-eat breakfast cereals in the United States. The firm’s segments


included Big G cereals, Betty Crocker desserts, baking and dinner-mix products, snack products,


and yogurt marketed under the Yoplait and Colombo brands. Each of these businesses in the


United States was mature and offered relatively low organic growth. The firm pursued expansion


opportunities overseas through company-owned businesses and through a cereal joint venture


with Nestlé and a snack joint venture with PepsiCo. Through a program of aggressive share


repurchases in the 1990s, the firm had increased its book value debt-to-equity ratio dramatically


compared with its peers.


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Diageo PLC


Diageo, headquartered in the United Kingdom, had been formed in 1997 through the


merger of GrandMet and Guinness, making it one of the world’s leading consumer-goods


companies. Its product portfolio consisted of prominent alcoholic-beverage brands such as


Smirnoff, Johnnie Walker, Guinness, J&B, Gordon’s, and Tanqueray, as well as the Burger King


fast-food chain and Pillsbury. Pillsbury had been acquired by GrandMet, acting as a “white-


knight” acquirer to save Pillsbury from acquisition by Sir James Goldsmith, a well-known raider.


The Pillsbury Company


Pillsbury produced and marketed refrigerated dough and baked goods under the familiar


Dough Boy character, canned and frozen vegetables under the familiar Green Giant brand, Old


El Paso Mexican foods, Progresso soups, Totino’s frozen pizzas, and other food products.


Pillsbury had been headquartered in Minneapolis, Minnesota, as an independent company, and


still had significant administrative operations there. Revenues for the company in fiscal-year


2000 were about $6.1 billion.


Origin of the Transaction


Seeking to build growth momentum, General Mills studied areas of potential growth and


value creation in the spring of 1998. This had generated some smaller acquisitions and a general


receptivity to acquisition proposals by the firm. In early 2000, the firm’s financial advisers


suggested that Diageo might be interested in selling Pillsbury, in an effort to focus Diageo on its


beverage business, and that Pillsbury would complement General Mills’ existing businesses. In


March 2000, Diageo’s chief operating officer contacted General Mills’ chairman and CEO to


explore a possible sale of Pillsbury. General Mills submitted its proposed deal terms to Diageo in


June 2000—the total proposed payment was $10.0 billion. Diageo submitted an asking price of


$10.5 billion. The two sides would budge no further, and it looked as if the negotiations would


founder. General Mills did not want to issue more than one-third of its post-transaction shares to


Diageo, and believed that its shares were undervalued in the stock market. Diageo believed it


was necessary to value General Mills’ shares at the current trading prices. In an effort to bridge


the difference in positions, the two firms agreed upon including in the terms of the deal a


contingent payment on the first anniversary of the transaction that would depend on General


Mills’ share price. James Lawrence, chief financial officer of General Mills, said, “We genuinely


believe this is a way in which they could have their cake and we could eat it, too. There’s no


question in my mind that, absent this instrument, we wouldn’t have been able to reach this deal.”


David Van Benschoten, General Mills’ treasurer, added that the contingent payment was another


example of the “development of the use of [options] in the past 20 years as finance has come to


first understand, and work with, the constructs of optionality.”1


1 Steven Lipin, “First Roll out a Tool to Save Doughboy Deal,” Wall Street Journal, July 21, 2000, C1.


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On July 16, 2000, the boards of General Mills and Diageo approved the final terms. On


July 17, the two firms issued press releases announcing the deal. In the week following the


announcement, the shares of General Mills lost 8% of their value, net-of-market. But in late


August, investors began to bid upward the General Mills share price, perhaps in response to the


publication of the merger proxy statement and prospectus, and on news that the operating losses


at Pillsbury had narrowed further than analysts had expected in fiscal-year 2000. That fall,


General Mills was the subject of several “buy” recommendations. Exhibit 1 gives the recent


trading history of shares in General Mills.


Motives for the Transaction


In its proxy statement, General Mills declared that acquiring Pillsbury would create value


for shareholders by providing opportunities for accelerated sales and earnings growth. These


opportunities would be exploited through product innovation, channel expansion, international


expansion, and productivity gains. The resulting product portfolio would be more balanced. The


combined firm would rank fifth in size among competitors, based on global food sales.


In addition to growth, the deal would create opportunities to save costs. Management


expected pretax savings of $25 million in fiscal 2001, $220 million in 2002, and $400 million by


2003. Supply-chain improvements (i.e., consolidation of activities and application of best


practices in purchasing and logistics); efficiencies in selling, merchandising, and marketing; and,


finally, the streamlining of administrative activities would generate these savings.


Terms of the Transaction


The transaction proposed that an acquisition subsidiary of General Mills would merge


with the Pillsbury Company, with Pillsbury surviving as a wholly owned subsidiary of General


Mills. The agreement outlined several features:


 Payment of shares. General Mills would issue 141 million shares of its common stock to


Diageo shareholders. After the transaction, Diageo would own about 33% of General


Mills’ outstanding shares. When the board of directors approved the merger in July, the


company’s shares traded at around $34.00–$37.00. In the first week of December, the


company’s shares traded at around $40.00–$42.00.


 Assumption of Pillsbury debt. General Mills agreed to assume the liabilities of Pillsbury


at the closing, an amount expected to be $5.142 billion of debt. The Pillsbury debt would


consist of about $142 million in existing debt and $5.0 billion in new borrowings, which


Pillsbury would distribute to Diageo before closing. Terms of the new debt were


conditional upon the consent of General Mills, for which a primary concern was that it


should not lose its investment-grade bond rating.


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Page 3 of 13


UVA-F-1326


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 Contingent payment by Diageo to General Mills. At the closing, Diageo would establish


an escrow fund of $642 million. Upon the first anniversary of the closing, Diageo was


required to pay from this fund an amount to General Mills depending on General Mills’


share price:


o $642 million, if the average daily share price for 20 days were $42.55 or more.


o $0.45 million, if the average daily share price were $38.00 or less. This price reflected


the price at which General Mills was trading at the time the deal was negotiated.


o Variable amount, if the average daily share price were between $38.00 and $42.55.


Diageo would retain the amount by which $42.55 would exceed the average daily


share price for 20 days, times the number of General Mills shares held by Diageo.


Some financial professionals called this a “claw-back” provision because it would reclaim some


value for General Mills if its share price rose. Still other professionals referred to this as a


“contingent value right” (CVR), a kind of collar that lived beyond the closing of the deal. CVRs


were unusual corporate-finance devices that were used to give the seller confidence in the value


of the buyer’s shares.


Merrill Lynch estimated that the transaction costs for this deal would amount to $55


million.


Conclusion


In evaluating this proposal, analysts considered current capital-market conditions (see


Exhibit 2). Exhibit 3 presents a calculation of the historical share-price volatility of General


Mills from the past year’s weekly stock prices, ending December 8, 2000—this volatility was


0.248. Using the same method to estimate the historical volatility for the year ending July 17,


2000 (the date of announcement of the deal) yielded an estimate of 0.249. Analysts knew that it


would be possible to estimate the implied volatility from traded options on General Mills’ shares


(prices on these options are given in Exhibit 4). Exhibit 5 presents the volatilities and financial


characteristics of General Mills’ peer firms. Contingent payments of the sort used in this


transaction were rare; Exhibit 6 outlines some prominent transactions where they had been used


previously, mainly in combinations of pharmaceutical firms.


Analysts wondered why the contingent payment was used in this deal, and why it would


be attractive to either side. Most importantly, they puzzled over the implications of the


contingent payment for the cost of the deal to General Mills’ shareholders. Finally, they sought


to determine whether the total deal was fairly priced from the standpoint of shareholders of


General Mills. The financial advisers of General Mills presented valuation analyses of Pillsbury


and General Mills as a foundation for an assessment of the deal terms (see Exhibit 7 for a


summary of the valuation analyses). Nevertheless, some securities analysts remained uncertain


about the deal:


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Page 4 of 13


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-5-


The deal is dilutive … we are concerned with the company’s expectations that the


acquisition will be dilutive to earnings until fiscal 2004. GIS notes the deal will


be accretive to EBITDA by fiscal 2002, suggesting the investment community


focus on this metric. However, we prefer to monitor traditional earnings growth in


order to track a company’s progress.

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