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PROBABILITY AND STATISTICAL INFERENCE Ninth Edition

Robert V. Hogg

Elliot A. Tanis

Dale L. Zimmerman

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Editor in Chief: Deirdre Lynch Acquisitions Editor: Christopher Cummings Sponsoring Editor: Christina Lepre Assistant Editor: Sonia Ashraf Marketing Manager: Erin Lane Marketing Assistant: Kathleen DeChavez Senior Managing Editor: Karen Wernholm Senior Production Editor: Beth Houston Procurement Manager: Vincent Scelta Procurement Specialist: Carol Melville Associate Director of Design, USHE EMSS/HSC/EDU: Andrea Nix Art Director: Heather Scott Interior Designer: Tamara Newnam Cover Designer: Heather Scott Cover Image: Agsandrew/Shutterstock Full-Service Project Management: Integra Software Services Composition: Integra Software Services

Copyright c⃝ 2015, 2010, 2006 by Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. Manufactured in the United States of America. This publication is protected by Copyright, and permission should be obtained from the publisher prior to any prohibited reproduction, storage in a retrieval system, or transmission in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording, or likewise. To obtain permission(s) to use material from this work, please submit a written request to Pearson Higher Education, Rights and Contracts Department, One Lake Street, Upper Saddle River, NJ 07458, or fax your request to 201-236-3290.

Many of the designations by manufacturers and seller to distinguish their products are claimed as trademarks. Where those designations appear in this book, and the publisher was aware of a trademark claim, the designations have been printed in initial caps or all caps.

Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data Hogg, Robert V.

Probability and Statistical Inference/ Robert V. Hogg, Elliot A. Tanis, Dale Zimmerman. – 9th ed.

p. cm. ISBN 978-0-321-92327-1

1. Mathematical statistics. I. Hogg, Robert V., II. Tanis, Elliot A. III. Title. QA276.H59 2013 519.5–dc23

2011034906

10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 EBM 17 16 15 14 13

www.pearsonhighered.com ISBN-10: 0-321-92327-8 ISBN-13: 978-0-321-92327-1

http://www.pearsonhighered.com
Contents Preface v

Prologue vii

1 Probability 1 1.1 Properties of Probability 1

1.2 Methods of Enumeration 11

1.3 Conditional Probability 20

1.4 Independent Events 29

1.5 Bayes’ Theorem 35

2 Discrete Distributions 41 2.1 Random Variables of the Discrete Type 41

2.2 Mathematical Expectation 49

2.3 Special Mathematical Expectations 56

2.4 The Binomial Distribution 65

2.5 The Negative Binomial Distribution 74

2.6 The Poisson Distribution 79

3 Continuous Distributions 87 3.1 Random Variables of the Continuous

Type 87

3.2 The Exponential, Gamma, and Chi-Square Distributions 95

3.3 The Normal Distribution 105

3.4* Additional Models 114

4 Bivariate Distributions 125 4.1 Bivariate Distributions of the Discrete

Type 125

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