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Case 1
Medium-Scale Large-Scale
Expansion Profits Expansion Profits
Annual Profit ($1000s) P(x) Annual Profit ($1000s) P(x)
Demand Low 50 20% 0 20%
Medium 150 50% 100 50%
High 200 30% 300 30%
Expected Profit ($1000s)
Risk Analysis for Medium-Scale Expansion
Demand Annual Profit (x) $1000s Probability P(x) (x - µ) (x - µ)2 (x - µ)2 * P(x)
Low 50 20%
Medium 150 50%
High 200 30%
σ2 =
σ =
Risk Analysis for Large-Scale Expansion
Demand Annual Profit (x) $1000s Probability P(x) (x - µ) (x - µ)2 (x - µ)2 * P(x)
Low 0 20%
Medium 100 50%
High 300 30%
σ2 =
σ =
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