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Understanding Arguments
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Understanding Arguments
An Introduction to Informal Logic
NINTH EDITION
Walter Sinnott-Armstrong Duke University
Robert J. Fogelin Dartmouth College
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v i i
CONTENTS
Preface XV
Part I How to Analyze Arguments 1
Chapter 1 Uses of Arguments 3
What Arguments Are 3
Justifications 4
Explanations 7
Combinations: An Example 10
Chapter 2 The Web of Language 17
Language and Convention 17
Linguistic Acts 19
Speech Acts 22 Performatives 23
Kinds of Speech Acts 26
Conversational Acts 28 Conversational Rules 31
Conversational Implication 33
Rhetorical Devices 36
Summary 38
Chapter 3 The Language of Argument 41
Argument Markers 41 If . . . , then . . . 43
Arguments in Standard Form 45
A Problem and Some Solutions 47 Assuring 48
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v i i i
Contents
Guarding 49
Discounting 51
Evaluative Language 54
Chapter 4 The Art of Close Analysis 59
An Extended Example 59 Clerk Hire Allowance, House of Representatives 59
Chapter 5 Deep Analysis 79
Getting Down to Basics 79
Clarifying Crucial Terms 83
Dissecting the Argument 83
Arranging Subarguments 85
Some Standards for Evaluating Arguments 90 Validity 91
Truth 93
Soundness 94
Suppressed Premises 96 Contingent Facts 97
Linguistic Principles 99
Evaluative Suppressed Premises 100
Uses and Abuses of Suppressed Premises 100
The Method of Reconstruction 102
An Example of Reconstruction: Capital Punishment 105
Part II How to Evaluate Arguments: Deductive Standards 111
Chapter 6 Propositional Logic 113
The Formal Analysis of Arguments 113
Basic Propositional Connectives 114 Conjunction 114
Disjunction 122
Negation 122
Process of Elimination 125
How Truth-Functional Connectives Work 126
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i x
Contents
Testing for Validity 128
Some Further Connectives 132
Conditionals 134 Truth Tables for Conditionals 136
Logical Language and Everyday Language 142
Other Conditionals in Ordinary Language 145
Chapter 7 Categorical Logic 151
Beyond Propositional Logic 151
Categorical Propositions 152 The Four Basic Categorical Forms 154
Translation into the Basic Categorical Forms 156
Contradictories 159
Existential Commitment 161
Validity for Categorical Arguments 162 Categorical Immediate Inferences 164
The Theory of the Syllogism 166
Part III How to Evaluate Arguments: Inductive Standards 177
Chapter 8 Arguments To and From Generalizations 179
Induction versus Deduction 179
Statistical Generalizations 183 Should We Accept the Premises? 184
Is the Sample Large Enough? 185
Is the Sample Biased? 186
Is the Sampling Procedure Biased? 187
Statistical Applications 189
Chapter 9 Inference to the Best Explanation and from Analogy 195
Inferences to the Best Explanation 195 Which Explanation Is Best? 198
Context Is Crucial 200
Arguments from Analogy 204 Are Analogies Explanations? 207
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Contents
Chapter 10 Causal Reasoning 215
Reasoning About Causes 215
Sufficient Conditions and Necessary Conditions 217 The Sufficient Condition Test 220
The Necessary Condition Test 221
The Joint Test 222
Rigorous Testing 225
Reaching Positive Conclusions 226
Applying These Methods to Find Causes 228 Normality 228
Background Assumptions 229
A Detailed Example 230
Concomitant Variation 234
Chapter 11 Chances 239
Some Fallacies of Probability 239 The Gambler’s Fallacy 239
Heuristics 241
The Language of Probability 243
A Priori Probability 244
Some Rules of Probability 246 Probabilities of Negations 246
Probabilities of Conjunctions 247
Probabilities of Disjunctions 248
Probabilities in a Series 249
Permutations and Combinations 250
Bayes’s Theorem 253
Chapter 12 Choices 263
Expected Monetary Value 263
Expected Overall Value 266
Decisions Under Ignorance 268
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Contents
Part IV Fallacies 273
Chapter 13 Fallacies of Vagueness 275
Uses of Unclarity 275
Vagueness 276
Heaps 278
Slippery Slopes 280 Conceptual Slippery-Slope Arguments 280
Fairness Slippery-Slope Arguments 282
Causal Slippery-Slope Arguments 285
Chapter 14 Fallacies of Ambiguity 291
Ambiguity 291
Equivocation 295
Definitions 299
Chapter 15 Fallacies of Relevance 307
Relevance 307
Ad Hominem Arguments 308 Inconsistency 311
Genetic Fallacies 311
Appeals to Authority 314
More Fallacies of Relevance 318 Appeals to Popular Opinion 318
Appeals to Emotion 319
Chapter 16 Fallacies of Vacuity 323
Circularity 323
Begging the Question 324
Self-Sealers 328
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Contents
Chapter 17 Refutation 333
What Is Refutation? 333
Counterexamples 334
Reductio Ad Absurdum 337
Straw Men and False Dichotomies 341
Refutation by Parallel Reasoning 343
Part V Areas of Argumentation 351
Chapter 18 Legal Reasoning 353
Components of Legal Reasoning 354 Questions of Fact 354
Questions of Law 355
The Law of Discrimination 361 The Equal Protection Clause 361
Applying the Equal Protection Clause 362
The Strict Scrutiny Test 363
The Bakke Case 364
Regents of the University of California v. Bakke 366
Legal Developments Since Bakke 368
Grutter v. Bollinger 369
Gratz v. Bollinger 375
Burden of Proof 381
Chapter 19 Moral Reasoning 383
Moral Disagreements 383
The Problem of Abortion 384 The “Pro-Life” Argument 385
“Pro-Choice” Responses 387
Analogical Reasoning in Ethics 392
Weighing Factors 394 “Abortion,” by Mary Anne Warren 397
“An Argument that Abortion Is Wrong,” by Don Marquis 409
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Contents
Chapter 20 Scientific Reasoning 423
Standard Science 423
Scientific Revolutions 425 “Molecular Machines: Experimental Support for the Design
Inference,” by Michael J. Behe 427
“Living with Darwin,” by Philip Kitcher 440
Chapter 21 Religious Reasoning 449
“Five Reasons to Believe in God,” by William Lane Craig 450
“Seven Deadly Objections to Belief in the Christian God,” by Edwin Curley 456
Chapter 22 Philosophical Reasoning 465
“Sanity and the Metaphysics of Responsibility,” by Susan Wolf 469
“A Defence of Free Will Skepticism,” by Derk Pereboom 483
Index 495
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PREFACE
Traditionally, logic has been considered the most general science dealing with arguments. The task of logic is to discover the fundamental principles for distinguishing good arguments from bad ones.
For certain purposes, arguments are best studied as abstract patterns of reasoning. Logic can then focus on these general forms rather than on particular arguments, such as your attempt to prove to the bank that they, not you, made a mistake. The study of those general principles that make certain patterns of argument valid and other patterns of argument invalid is called formal logic. Two chapters of this work are dedicated to formal logic.
A different but complementary way of viewing an argument is to treat it as a particular use of language: Presenting arguments is one of the important things we do with words. This approach stresses that arguing is a linguistic activity. Instead of studying arguments as abstract patterns, it examines them as they occur in concrete settings. It raises questions of the following kind:
What is the place of argument within language as a whole? What words or phrases are characteristic of arguments? How do these words function? What task or tasks are arguments supposed to perform?
When an approach to argument has this emphasis, the study is called informal logic. Though it contains a substantial treatment of formal logic, Understanding Arguments, as its subtitle indicates, is primarily a textbook in informal logic.
The ninth edition of Understanding Arguments differs from the eighth edition in a number of ways. The most important change is simplification. Many chapters have been shortened and streamlined. Our goal was to remove tangents and complexities that confuse students so that the main points could be understood more easily. In addition, the different kinds of inductive arguments have been reordered to provide a better flow between topics. Several sections have been split up and reorganized for clarity. Some of the more difficult and confusing topics have been dropped. This edition also contains new readings on moral and philosophical reasoning in Chapters 19 and 22. These new readings make the text more accessible and relevant to popular debates. Finally, we updated many examples, exercises, and discussion questions throughout the text.
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xv i
Preface
Another major innovation that begins with this Ninth Edition is that readers of Understanding Arguments will also have free access to detailed lectures, exercises, and quizzes on all of the material in Chapters 1–17. There are over 100 mini-lectures keyed to almost 1000 corresponding questions. These supplementary materials are available for free on the Coursera website (https://www.coursera.org/) in a MOOC titled Think Again: How to Reason and Argue. We hope that these lectures and exercises help readers get the most out of this book.
This new edition has been influenced by our teaching of this material with various colleagues. In this regard, we would especially like to thank Ram Neta, who co-taught with Walter Sinnott-Armstrong on the Coursera website, as well as to many people at Coursera and in the Office of Instructional Technology at Duke University, who taught us to make these topics more accessible and lively. We received invaluable help from two student assistants—Joe Metz and Jason Bowers—in addition to the many others who helped us on previous editions. We are also indebted to the following reviewers: Dan Berger, Simpson University; William Brunson, University of Nevada–Las Vegas; Aaron Cobb, Auburn University– Montgomery; Nathaniel Goldberg, Washington and Lee University; Deke Gould, Augustana College; Robert Bruce Kelsey, Thomas College; Jung Kwon, Long Beach City College; Judith Little, SUNY–Potsdam; Diane Michelfelder, Macalester College; Rachel Mohr, University of Nebraska–Lincoln; Dennis Montgomery, Norfolk State University; Patrice Nango, Mesa Community College; Kurt Nutting, San Francisco State University; Michael Patton, University of Montevallo; Marc Pugliese, Saint Leo University; Eric Rovie, Georgia Perimeter College–Newton; and Catherine Womack, Bridgewater State University. At Cengage Learning and PreMediaGlobal, we received expert advice and assistance from Joann Kozyrev–Senior Sponsoring Editor, Debra Matteson–Product Manager, Prashanth Kamavarapu–Project Manager, Ian Lague–Development Editor, Kristina Mose-Libon–Art Director, and Joshua Duncan–Assistant Editor. Without all of these people, this book would contain many more mistakes than it undoubtedly still does.
Walter Sinnott-Armstrong Robert J. Fogelin
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1
I How to Analyze Arguments
Arguments are all around us. They bombard us constantly in advertisements; in courtrooms; in political, moral, and religious debates; in academic courses on mathematics, science, history, literature, and philosophy; and in our personal lives when we make decisions about our careers, finances, and families. These crucial aspects of our lives cannot be understood fully without understanding arguments. The goal of this book, then, is to help us understand arguments and, thereby, to understand our lives.
We will view arguments as tools. To understand a tool, we need to know the purposes for which it is used, the material out of which it is made, and the forms that it takes. For example, hammers are normally used to drive nails or to pound malleable substances. Hammers are usually made out of a metal head and a handle of wood, plastic, or metal. A typical hammer’s handle is long and thin, and its head is perpendicular to its handle. Similarly, in order to understand arguments, we need to investigate their purposes, materials, and forms.
Chapter 1 discusses the main purposes or uses of arguments. The material from which arguments are made is language, so Chapters 2 and 3 explore language in general and then the language of argument in particular. Chapters 4 and 5 use the lessons learned by then to analyze concrete examples of arguments in detail. The following chapters turn to the forms of arguments, including deductive forms in Part II (Chapters 6 and 7) and inductive forms in Part III (Chapters 8–12). Each form of argument comes with its own standards of adequacy. Part IV (Chapters 13–17) will then consider the main ways in which arguments can go astray, includ- ing fallacies of clarity, relevance, and vacuity. By the end of this journey, we should understand arguments much better.
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1
Uses of Arguments
What are arguments? In our view, arguments are tools, so the first step toward understanding arguments is to ask what they are used for—what people are trying to accomplish when they give arguments. This brief chapter will propose a definition of arguments and then explore two main purposes of arguments: justification and explanation. Both justifications and explanations try to provide reasons, but reasons of different kinds. Justifications are supposed to give reasons to believe their conclu- sions, whereas explanations are supposed to give reasons why their conclusions are true. Each of these purposes is more complicated and fascinating than is usually assumed.
WHAT ARGUMENTS ARE
The word “argument” may suggest quarrels or squabbles. That is what a child means when she reports that her parents are having an argument. Arguments of that sort often include abuse, name-calling, and yelling. That is not what this book is about. The goal here is not to teach you to yell louder, to be more abusive, or to beat your opponents into submission.
Our topic is the kind of argument defined by Monty Python in their justly famous “Argument Clinic.” In this skit, a client enters a clinic and pays for an argument. In the first room, however, all he gets is abuse, which is not ar- gument. When he finally finds the right room to get an argument, the person who is supposed to give him an argument simply denies whatever the client says, so the client complains that mere denial is different from argument, be- cause “an argument is a connected series of statements to establish a definite proposition.” This definition is almost correct. As we will see, the purpose of an argument need not always be to “establish” its conclusion, both because some conclusions were established in advance and because many reasons are inconclusive. Nonetheless, Monty Python’s definition needs to be modi- fied only a little in order to arrive at an adequate definition:
An argument is a connected series of sentences, statements, or propositions (called “premises”) that are intended to give a reason of some kind for a sentence, statement, or proposition (called the “conclusion”).
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CHAPTER 1 ■ Uses of Arguments
This definition does not pretend to be precise, but it does tell us what argu- ments are made of (sentences, statements, or propositions) and what their purpose is (to give reasons).
Another virtue of this definition is that it is flexible enough to cover the wide variety of arguments that people actually give. Different arguments are intended to give reasons of very different sorts. These reasons might be justificatory reasons to believe or to disbelieve some claim. They might, in- stead, be explanatory reasons why something happened. They might even be practical reasons to do some act. Because reasons come in so many kinds, arguments are useful in a great variety of situations in daily life. Trying to determine why your computer crashed, why your friend acted the way she did, and whether it will rain tomorrow as well as trying to decide which political candidate to vote for, which play to use at a crucial point in a foot- ball game, where to go to college, and whether to support or oppose capital punishment—all involve weighing and evaluating reasons.
It is inaccurate, therefore, to think of arguments as serving only one single, simple purpose. People often assume that you always use every argument to make other people believe what you believe and what they did not be- lieve before hearing or reading the argument. Actually, however, some ar- guments are used for that purpose, but others are not. To fully understand arguments in all their glory, then, we need to distinguish different uses of argument. In particular, we will focus on two exemplary purposes: justifica- tion and explanation.
JUSTIFICATIONS
One of the most prominent uses of arguments is to justify a disputed claim. For example, if I claim that September 11, 2001, was a Tuesday, and you deny this or simply express some doubt, then we might look for a calendar. But suppose we don’t have a calendar for 2001. Luckily, we do find a calen- dar for 2002. Now I can justify my claim to you by presenting this argument: The calendar shows that September 11 was on Wednesday in 2002; 2002 was not a leap year, since 2002 is not divisible by 4; nonleap years have 365 days, which is 1 more day than 52 weeks; so September 11 must have been on Tuesday in 2001. You should now be convinced.
What have I done? My utterance of this argument has the effect of chang- ing your mind by getting you to believe a conclusion that you did not believe before. Of course, I might also be able to change your mind by hyp- notizing you. But normally I do not want to use hypnosis. I also do not want to change your mind by manufacturing a fake calendar for 2002 with the wrong dates or by fooling you with a bad argument. Such tricks would not satisfy my goals fully. This shows that changing your mind is not all that I am trying to accomplish. I want more than simply to persuade you or convince
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5