FinancialMarketsandInstitutions7thEditionbyAnthonySaunders.pdf
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Financial Markets and Institutions
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FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT Block, Hirt, and Danielsen Foundations of Financial Management Sixteenth Edition
Brealey, Myers, and Allen Principles of Corporate Finance Twelfth Edition
Brealey, Myers, and Allen Principles of Corporate Finance, Concise Second Edition
Brealey, Myers, and Marcus Fundamentals of Corporate Finance Ninth Edition
Brooks FinGame Online 5.0 Bruner, Eades, and Schill Case Studies in Finance: Managing for Corporate Value Creation Eighth Edition
Cornett, Adair, and Nofsinger Finance: Applications and Theory Fourth Edition
Cornett, Adair, and Nofsinger M: Finance Fourth Edition
DeMello Cases in Finance Third Edition
Grinblatt (editor) Stephen A. Ross, Mentor: Influence through Generations Grinblatt and Titman Financial Markets and Corporate Strategy Second Edition
Higgins Analysis for Financial Management Twelfth Edition
Ross, Westerfield, Jaffe, and Jordan Corporate Finance Eleventh Edition
Ross, Westerfield, Jaffe, and Jordan Corporate Finance: Core Principles and Applications Fifth Edition
Ross, Westerfield, and Jordan Essentials of Corporate Finance Ninth Edition
Ross, Westerfield, and Jordan Fundamentals of Corporate Finance Twelfth Edition
Shefrin Behavioral Corporate Finance: Decisions that Create Value Second Edition
INVESTMENTS Bodie, Kane, and Marcus Essentials of Investments Tenth Edition
Bodie, Kane, and Marcus Investments Eleventh Edition
Hirt and Block Fundamentals of Investment Management Tenth Edition
Jordan, Miller, and Dolvin Fundamentals of Investments: Valuation and Management Eighth Edition
Stewart, Piros, and Heisler Running Money: Professional Portfolio Management First Edition
Sundaram and Das Derivatives: Principles and Practice Second Edition
FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS AND MARKETS Rose and Hudgins Bank Management and Financial Services Ninth Edition
Rose and Marquis Financial Institutions and Markets Eleventh Edition
Saunders and Cornett Financial Institutions Management: A Risk Management Approach Ninth Edition
Saunders and Cornett Financial Markets and Institutions Seventh Edition
INTERNATIONAL FINANCE Eun and Resnick International Financial Management Eighth Edition
REAL ESTATE Brueggeman and Fisher Real Estate Finance and Investments Sixteenth Edition
Ling and Archer Real Estate Principles: A Value Approach Fifth Edition
FINANCIAL PLANNING AND INSURANCE Allen, Melone, Rosenbloom, and Mahoney Retirement Plans: 401(k)s, IRAs, and Other Deferred Compensation Approaches Twelfth Edition
Altfest Personal Financial Planning Second Edition
Harrington and Niehaus Risk Management and Insurance Second Edition
Kapoor, Dlabay, Hughes, and Hart Focus on Personal Finance: An active approach to help you achieve financial literacy Sixth Edition
Kapoor, Dlabay, Hughes, and Hart Personal Finance Twelfth Edition
Walker and Walker Personal Finance: Building Your Future Second Edition
THE MCGRAW-HILL EDUCATION SERIES IN FINANCE, INSURANCE, AND REAL ESTATE
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s e v e n t h e d i t i o n
Financial Markets and Institutions Anthony Saunders
Stern School of Business New York University
Marcia Millon Cornett Bentley University
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FINANCIAL MARKETS AND INSTITUTIONS, SEVENTH EDITION
Published by McGraw-Hill Education, 2 Penn Plaza, New York, NY 10121. Copyright © 2019 by McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. Printed in the United States of America. Previous editions © 2015, 2012, and 2009. No part of this publication may be reproduced or distributed in any form or by any means, or stored in a database or retrieval system, without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education, including, but not limited to, in any network or other electronic storage or transmission, or broadcast for distance learning.
Some ancillaries, including electronic and print components, may not be available to customers outside the United States.
This book is printed on acid-free paper.
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ISBN 978-1-259-91971-8 MHID 1-259-91971-4
Brand Manager: Charles Synovec Product Developer: Noelle Bathurst Marketing Manager: Trina Maurer Content Project Managers: Heather Ervolino; Evan Roberts Buyer: Sandy Ludovissy Design: Matt Diamond Content Licensing Specialist: Beth Thole Cover Image: © Shutterstock / Rudy Balasko Compositor: SPi Global Printer: LSC Communications
All credits appearing on page or at the end of the book are considered to be an extension of the copyright page.
Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data
Names: Saunders, Anthony, 1949- author. | Cornett, Marcia Millon, author. Title: Financial markets and institutions / Anthony Saunders, Stern School of Business, New York University, Marcia Millon Cornett, Bentley University. Description: Seventh edition. | New York, NY : McGraw-Hill Education, [2019] Identifiers: LCCN 2017031881 | ISBN 9781259919718 (alk. paper) Subjects: LCSH: Securities—United States. | Stock exchanges—United States. | Financial institutions—United States. | Rate of return—United States. | Interest rates—United States. Classification: LCC HG4910 .S28 2019 | DDC 332—dc23 LC record available at https://lccn.loc.gov/2017031881
The Internet addresses listed in the text were accurate at the time of publication. The inclusion of a website does not indicate an endorsement by the authors or McGraw-Hill Education, and McGraw-Hill Education does not guarantee the accuracy of the information presented at these sites.
mheducation.com/highered
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To Ingo Walter: a mentor, coauthor, and friend. —TONY SAUNDERS
To my parents, Tom and Sue. —MARCIA MILLON CORNETT
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ABOUT THE AUTHORS
Anthony Saunders
Anthony Saunders is the John M. Schiff Professor of Finance
and former chair of the Department of Finance at the Stern
School of Business at New York University. Professor Saun-
ders received his PhD from the London School of Eco-
nomics and has taught both
undergraduate- and graduate-
level courses at NYU since
1978. Throughout his aca-
demic career, his teaching
and research have specialized
in financial institutions and
international banking. He has
served as a visiting professor all over the world, including
INSEAD, the Stockholm School of Economics, and the Uni-
versity of Melbourne.
Professor Saunders holds or has held positions on the
Board of Academic Consultants of the Federal Reserve
Board of Governors as well as the Council of Research
Advisors for the Federal National Mortgage Association. In
addition, Dr. Saunders has acted as a visiting scholar at the
Comptroller of the Currency and at the International Mon-
etary Fund. He is editor of the Journal of Financial Mar-
kets, Instruments and Institutions, as well as the associate
editor of a number of other journals. His research has been
published in all of the major finance and banking journals
and in several books. He has just published a new edition
of his textbook, with Dr. Marcia Millon Cornett, Financial
Institutions Management: A Risk Management Approach,
for McGraw-Hill/Irwin (ninth edition) as well as a third edi-
tion of his book on credit risk measurement for John Wiley
& Sons. Professor Saunders was ranked the most prolific
author out of more than 5,800 who have published in the
seven leading finance academic journals from 1959 to 2008
(“Most Prolific Authors in the Financial Literature, 1959–
2008,” Jean Heck and Philip Cooley).
Marcia Millon Cornett
Marcia Millon Cornett is the Robert A. and Julia E. Dorn
Professor of Finance at Bentley University. She received her
BS degree in economics from Knox College in Galesburg,
Illinois, and her MBA and PhD degrees in finance from
Indiana University in Bloomington, Indiana. Dr. Cornett has
written and published several articles in the areas of bank
performance, bank regulation, corporate finance, and invest-
ments. Articles authored by Dr. Cornett have appeared in
such academic journals as the Journal of Finance, the Jour-
nal of Money, Credit, and Banking, the Journal of Finan-
cial Economics, Financial Management, and the Journal
of Banking and Finance. She was recently ranked the 124th
most published out of more than 17,600 authors and the
number five female author in finance literature over the last
50 years. Along with Anthony Saunders, Dr. Cornett has
recently completed work on the ninth edition of Financial
Institutions Management
( M c G r a w - H i l l / I r w i n ) .
With Troy A. Adair Jr.
(Harvard University) and
John Nofsinger (University
of Alaska, Anchorage), she
has also recently completed
work on the fourth edition
of Finance: Applications and Theory and the third edition
of M: Finance (McGraw-Hill/Irwin). Professor Cornett
serves as an associate editor for the Journal of Banking
and Finance, the Journal of Financial Services Research,
Review of Financial Economics, Financial Review, and
Multi-national Finance Journal. Dr. Cornett has served as
a member of the Board of Directors, the Executive Commit-
tee, and the Finance Committee of the SIU Credit Union.
She has also taught at Southern Illinois University at Car-
bondale, the University of Colorado, Boston College, South-
ern Methodist University, and Boston University.
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PREFACE
he last 30 years have been dramatic for the financial services industry. In the 1990s and 2000s, boundaries between the traditional industry sectors, such as commercial banking and investment banking, broke down and competi- tion became increasingly global in nature. Many forces contributed to this breakdown in interindustry and intercountry barriers, including financial innovation, technology, taxation, and regulation. Then in 2008–2009, the
financial services industry experienced the worst financial crisis since the Great Depres- sion. Even into the mid-2010s, the U.S. and world economies have not recovered from this crisis. It is in this context that this book is written.
As the economic and competitive environments change, attention to profit and, more than ever, risk become increasingly important. This book offers a unique analysis of the risks faced by investors and savers interacting through both financial institutions and financial mar- kets, as well as strategies that can be adopted for controlling and better managing these risks. Special emphasis is also put on new areas of operations in financial markets and institutions such as asset securitization, off-balance-sheet activities, and globalization of financial services.
While maintaining a risk measurement and management framework, Financial Markets and Institutions provides a broad application of this important perspective. This book recognizes that domestic and foreign financial markets are becoming increasingly integrated and that financial intermediaries are evolving toward a single financial services industry. The analytical rigor is mathematically accessible to all levels of students, under- graduate and graduate, and is balanced by a comprehensive discussion of the unique envi- ronment within which financial markets and institutions operate. Important practical tools such as how to issue and trade financial securities and how to analyze financial statements and loan applications will arm students with the skills necessary to understand and man- age financial market and institution risks in this dynamic environment. While descriptive concepts so important to financial management (financial market securities, regulation, industry trends, industry characteristics, etc.) are included in the book, ample analytical techniques are also included as practical tools to help students understand the operation of modern financial markets and institutions.
T
INTENDED AUDIENCE Financial Markets and Institutions is aimed at the first course in financial markets and institutions at both the undergraduate and MBA levels. While topics covered in this book are found in more advanced textbooks on financial markets and institutions, the explana- tions and illustrations are aimed at those with little or no practical or academic experience beyond the introductory-level finance courses. In most chapters, the main relationships are presented by figures, graphs, and simple examples. The more complicated details and tech- nical problems related to in-chapter discussion are provided in appendixes to the chapters (available through McGraw-Hill Connect Finance or your course instructor).
ORGANIZATION Since our focus is on return and risk and the sources of that return and risk in domestic and foreign financial markets and institutions, this book relates ways in which a modern finan- cial manager, saver, and investor can expand return with a managed level of risk to achieve the best, or most favorable, return–risk outcome.
Part 1 provides an introduction to the text and an overview of financial markets and institutions. Chapter 1 defines and introduces the various domestic and foreign financial markets and describes the special functions of FIs. This chapter also takes an analytical look at how financial markets and institutions benefit today’s economy. In Chapter 2, we provide an in-depth look at interest rates. We first look at factors that determine interest rate levels,
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as well as their past, present, and expected future movements. We then review the concept of time value of money. Chapter 3 then applies these interest rates to security valuation. In Chapter 4, we describe the Federal Reserve System and how monetary policy implemented by the Federal Reserve affects interest rates and, ultimately, the overall economy.
Part 2 of the text presents an overview of the various securities markets. We describe each securities market, its participants, the securities traded in each, the trading process, and how changes in interest rates, inflation, and foreign exchange rates impact a financial manager’s decisions to hedge risk. These chapters cover the money markets (Chapter 5), bond markets (Chapter 6), mortgage markets (Chapter 7), stock markets (Chapter 8), for- eign exchange markets (Chapter 9), and derivative securities markets (Chapter 10).
Part 3 of the text summarizes the operations of commercial banks. Chapter 11 describes the key characteristics and recent trends in the commercial banking sector. Chapter 12 describes the financial statements of a typical commercial bank and the ratios used to ana- lyze those statements. This chapter also analyzes actual financial statements for representative commercial banks. Chapter 13 provides a comprehensive look at the regulations under which these financial institutions operate and, particularly, the effect of recent changes in regulation.
Part 4 of the text provides an overview describing the key characteristics and regula- tory features of the other major sectors of the U.S. financial services industry. We discuss other lending institutions (savings institutions, credit unions, and finance companies) in Chapter 14, insurance companies in Chapter 15, securities firms and investment banks in Chapter 16, investment companies in Chapter 17, and pension funds in Chapter 18.
Part 5 concludes the text by examining the risks facing a modern FI and FI manag- ers and the various strategies for managing these risks. In Chapter 19, we preview the risk measurement and management chapters in this section with an overview of the risks facing a modern FI. We divide the chapters on risk measurement and management along two lines: measuring and managing risks on the balance sheet, and managing risks off the balance sheet. In Chapter 20, we begin the on-balance-sheet risk measurement and management section by looking at credit risk on individual loans and bonds and how these risks adversely impact an FI’s profits and value. The chapter also discusses the lending process, including loans made to households and small, medium-size, and large corpora- tions. Chapter 21 covers liquidity risk in financial institutions. This chapter includes a detailed analysis of the ways in which FIs can insulate themselves from liquidity risk and the key role deposit insurance and other guarantee schemes play in reducing liquidity risk.
In Chapter 22, we investigate the net interest margin as a source of profitability and risk, with a focus on the effects of interest rate risk and the mismatching of asset and liabil- ity maturities on FI risk exposure. At the core of FI risk insulation is the size and adequacy of the owner’s capital stake, which is also a focus of this chapter.
The management of risk off the balance sheet is examined in Chapter 23. The chapter highlights various new markets and instruments that have emerged to allow FIs to bet- ter manage three important types of risk: interest rate risk, foreign exchange risk, and credit risk. These markets and instruments and their strategic use by FIs include forwards, futures, options, and swaps.
Finally, Chapter 24 explores ways of removing credit risk from the loan portfolio through asset sales and securitization.
NEW FEATURES
· Tables and figures in all chapters have been revised to include the most recently avail- able data.
· Revised “After the Crisis” boxes highlighting significant events related to the financial crisis have been added to chapters throughout the book.
· Updates on the major changes proposed for the regulation of financial institutions are included where appropriate throughout the book.
· Discussion of how financial markets and institutions continue to recover from the financial crisis has been added throughout the book. Virtually every chapter includes
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new material detailing how the financial crisis affected risk management in financial institutions.
· Several chapters include a discussion of Brexit as its affects the risk and return for investors in financial markets and financial institutions.
· Several chapters include a discussion of the impact of initial interest rate increases by the Federal Reserve.
· Several chapters include a discussion of the impact of China’s economic policies and economic slowdown on financial markets.
· Chapter 1 includes a new section on enterprise risk management. The chapter also pro- vides an update on the implementation of the Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protec- tion Act enacted as a result of the financial crisis.
· Chapter 4 provides an update on the Federal Reserve’s actions intended to strengthen the U.S. economy, including the interest rate increases instituted by the Fed.
· Chapter 5 includes updates on the LIBOR scandal. · Chapter 6 discusses China’s and worldwide Treasury holdings and the potential impact
of these holdings on the U.S. economy. · Chapter 8 includes more on dark pools and Brexit’s impact on worldwide stock markets. · Excel spreadsheets containing bank financial statements and ratio calculations have
been added to Chapter 12. · Chapter 13 includes a discussion of how the Volcker Rule and Consumer Protection
Regulation have affected the operations of financial institutions. · Chapter 14 includes a discussion of new payday lending legislation · Chapter 17 includes more on new regulations for money market mutual funds. · Chapter 21 includes updates of the new international liquidity standards enacted as a
result of the financial crisis.
ACKNOWLEDGMENTS We take this opportunity to thank all of those individuals who helped us prepare this and previous editions. We want to express our appreciation to those instructors whose insight- ful comments and suggestions were invaluable to us during this revision.
Keldon Bauer Tarleton State University Jen-Chi Cheng Wichita State University Kathy English Wilmington University Andrew Fodor Ohio University–Athens Robert Goldberg Adelphi University Walt Nelson Missouri State University Abdullah Noman Nicholls State University
Ozde Oztekin Florida International University–Miami O. John Paskelian University of Houston Downtown Blaise Roncagli Cleveland State University Matthew Ross Western Michigan University–Kalamazoo Benjamin Thompson Lincoln Memorial University Ann Marie Whyte University of Central Florida–Orlando David Zalewski Providence College
We would like to thank the staff at McGraw-Hill for their help and guidance, especially Chuck Synovec, executive brand manager; Noelle Bathurst, senior product developer; Heather Ervolino, content project manager; Tobi Philips, digital product developer; Trina Maurer, senior marketing manager; and Dave O’Donnell, marketing specialist. Additional thanks to Alex Marden for his editorial assistance.
Anthony Saunders
Marcia Millon Cornett
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Confirming Pages
Chapter 4 The Federal Reserve System, Monetary Policy, and Interest Rates 97
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Federal Open Market Committee
The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) is the major monetary policy-making body of the Federal Reserve System. As alluded to earlier, the FOMC consists of the seven members of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, the president of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, and the presidents of four other Federal Reserve Banks (on a rotating basis). The chair of the Board of Governors is also the chair of the FOMC. The FOMC is required to meet at least four times each year in Washington, DC. However, eight regularly scheduled meetings have been held each year since 1980.
The main responsibilities of the FOMC are to formulate policies to promote full employment, economic growth, price stability, and a sustainable pattern of international trade. The FOMC seeks to accomplish this by setting guidelines regarding open market operations. Open market operations—the purchase and sale of U.S. government and fed- eral agency securities—is the main policy tool that the Fed uses to achieve its monetary tar- gets (although the operations themselves are normally carried out by traders at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, as discussed below). The FOMC also sets ranges for the growth of the monetary aggregates, sets the federal funds rate (see below), and directs operations of the Federal Reserve in foreign exchange markets (see Chapter 9). In addition, although reserve requirements and the discount rate are not specifically set by the FOMC, their levels are monitored and guided by the FOMC. Associated with each meeting of the FOMC is the release of the Beige Book. The Beige Book summarizes information on current economic conditions by Federal Reserve district. Information included in the Beige Book is drawn from reports from bank directors, interviews with key business leaders, economists, market experts, and other sources. Meetings of the FOMC are some of the most closely watched economic meetings in the world. As the FOMC formulates and implements monetary pol- icy, its actions affect not only the U.S. economy, but economies worldwide.
Functions Performed by Federal Reserve Banks
As part of the Federal Reserve System, Federal Reserve Banks (FRBs) perform multiple func- tions. These include assistance in the conduct of monetary policy; supervision and regulation of member banks and other large financial institutions; consumer protection; and the provision of services such as new currency issue, check clearing, wire transfer, and research services to the federal government, member banks, or the general public. We summarize these functions in Table 4–1. The In the News box in this section describes how the Federal Reserve provided extraordinary services in many of these areas in response to the recent financial crisis.
Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) The major monetary policy-making body of the Federal Reserve System.
open market operations Purchases and sales of U.S. government and fed- eral agency securities by the Federal Reserve.
TABLE 4–1 Functions Performed by the Federal Reserve Banks
Assistance in the conduct of monetary policy—Federal Reserve Bank presidents serve on the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). FRBs set and change discount rates.
Supervision and regulation—FRBs have supervisory and regulatory authority over the activities of banks and other large financial institutions located in their district.
Consumer protection and community affairs—FRBs write regulations to implement many of the major consumer protection laws and establish programs to promote community development and fair and impartial access to credit.
Government services—FRBs serve as the commercial bank for the U.S. Treasury. New currency issue—FRBs are responsible for the collection and replacement of damaged
currency from circulation. Check clearing—FRBs process, route, and transfer funds from one bank to another as checks
clear through the Federal Reserve System. Wire transfer services—FRBs and their member banks are linked electronically through the
Federal Reserve Communications System. Research services—each FRB has a staff of professional economists who gather, analyze, and
interpret economic data and developments in the banking sector in their district and economywide.
WALKTHROUGH
Chapter Features
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MAJOR DUTIES AND RESPONSIBILITIES OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM: CHAPTER OVERVIEW Central banks determine, implement, and control the monetary policy in their home countries. The Federal Reserve (the Fed) is the central bank of the United States. Founded by Congress under the Federal Reserve Act in 1913, the Fed’s original duties were to pro- vide the nation with a safer, more flexible, and more stable monetary and financial system. This was needed following a number of banking crises and panics that had occurred in the first decade of the 20th century (particularly 1907)1 and the last decades of the 19th century. As time passed, additional legislation, including the Banking Act of 1935, the Full Employment Act of 1946, and the Full Employment and Balanced Growth Act of 1978 (also called the Humphrey-Hawkins Act), revised and supplemented the original purposes and objectives of the Federal Reserve System. These objectives included economic growth
1. The Panic of 1907 was a financial crisis that hit the United States at the turn of the 20th century while the country was in the midst of an economic recession. The New York Stock Exchange index fell by 50 percent in less than a year, and a severe drop in market liquidity by banks resulted in numerous bank runs; bank, corporate, and municipal bank- ruptcies; and a near collapse of the U.S. financial system.
O U T L I N E
Major Duties and Responsibilities of the Federal Reserve System: Chapter Overview
Structure of the Federal Reserve System
Organization of the Federal Reserve System
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
Federal Open Market Committee
Functions Performed by Federal Reserve Banks
Balance Sheet of the Federal Reserve
Monetary Policy Tools
Open Market Operations
The Discount Rate
Reserve Requirements (Reserve Ratios)
The Federal Reserve, the Money Supply, and Interest Rates
Effects of Monetary Tools on Various Economic Variables
Money Supply versus Interest Rate Targeting
International Monetary Policies and Strategies
Systemwide Rescue Programs Employed during the Financial Crisis
Challenges Remain after the Crisis
The Federal Reserve System, Monetary Policy, and Interest Rates
L e a r n i n g G o a l s
4 c h a p t e r
LG 4-1 Understand the major functions of the Federal Reserve System.
LG 4-2 Identify the structure of the Federal Reserve System.
LG 4-3 Identify the monetary policy tools used by the Federal Reserve.
LG 4-4 Appreciate how monetary policy changes affect key economic variables.
LG 4-5 Understand how central banks around the world adjusted their monetary policy during the recent financial crisis.
Introduction and Overview of Financial Markets part one
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MAJOR DUTIES AND RESPONSIBILITIES OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM: CHAPTER OVERVIEW Central banks determine, implement, and control the monetary policy in their home countries. The Federal Reserve (the Fed) is the central bank of the United States. Founded by Congress under the Federal Reserve Act in 1913, the Fed’s original duties were to pro- vide the nation with a safer, more flexible, and more stable monetary and financial system. This was needed following a number of banking crises and panics that had occurred in the first decade of the 20th century (particularly 1907)1 and the last decades of the 19th century. As time passed, additional legislation, including the Banking Act of 1935, the Full Employment Act of 1946, and the Full Employment and Balanced Growth Act of 1978 (also called the Humphrey-Hawkins Act), revised and supplemented the original purposes and objectives of the Federal Reserve System. These objectives included economic growth
1. The Panic of 1907 was a financial crisis that hit the United States at the turn of the 20th century while the country was in the midst of an economic recession. The New York Stock Exchange index fell by 50 percent in less than a year, and a severe drop in market liquidity by banks resulted in numerous bank runs; bank, corporate, and municipal bank- ruptcies; and a near collapse of the U.S. financial system.
O U T L I N E
Major Duties and Responsibilities of the Federal Reserve System: Chapter Overview
Structure of the Federal Reserve System
Organization of the Federal Reserve System
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
Federal Open Market Committee
Functions Performed by Federal Reserve Banks
Balance Sheet of the Federal Reserve
Monetary Policy Tools
Open Market Operations
The Discount Rate
Reserve Requirements (Reserve Ratios)
The Federal Reserve, the Money Supply, and Interest Rates
Effects of Monetary Tools on Various Economic Variables
Money Supply versus Interest Rate Targeting
International Monetary Policies and Strategies
Systemwide Rescue Programs Employed during the Financial Crisis
Challenges Remain after the Crisis
The Federal Reserve System, Monetary Policy, and Interest Rates
L e a r n i n g G o a l s
4 c h a p t e r
LG 4-1 Understand the major functions of the Federal Reserve System.
LG 4-2 Identify the structure of the Federal Reserve System.
LG 4-3 Identify the monetary policy tools used by the Federal Reserve.
LG 4-4 Appreciate how monetary policy changes affect key economic variables.
LG 4-5 Understand how central banks around the world adjusted their monetary policy during the recent financial crisis.
Introduction and Overview of Financial Markets part one
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96 Part 1 Introduction and Overview of Financial Markets
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Federal Reserve Banks operate as nonprofit organizations. They generate income pri- marily from three sources: (1) interest earned on government securities acquired in the course of Federal Reserve open market transactions (see below), (2) interest earned on reserves that banks are required to deposit at the Fed (see reserve requirements below), and (3) fees from the provision of payment and other services to member depository institutions.
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
The Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve (also called the Federal Reserve Board) is a seven-member board headquartered in Washington, DC. Each member is appointed by the president of the United States and must be confirmed by the Senate. Board mem- bers serve a nonrenewable 14-year term.4 Board members are often individuals with PhD degrees in economics and/or an extensive background in economic research and political service, particularly in the area of banking. Board members’ terms are staggered so that one term expires every other January. The president designates two members of the board to be the chair and vice chair for four-year terms. The board usually meets several times per week. As they carry out their duties, members routinely confer with officials of other gov- ernment agencies, representatives of banking industry groups, officials of central banks of other countries, members of Congress, and academics.
The primary responsibilities of the Federal Reserve Board are the formulation and con- duct of monetary policy and the supervision and regulation of banks. All seven board mem- bers sit on the Federal Open Market Committee, which makes key decisions affecting the availability of money and credit in the economy (see below). For example, the Federal Reserve Board, through the FOMC, can and usually does set money supply and interest rate targets. The Federal Reserve Board also sets bank reserve requirements (discussed in Chapter 13) and reviews and approves the discount rates (see below) set by the 12 Federal Reserve Banks.
The Federal Reserve Board also has primary responsibility for the supervision and regulation of (1) all bank holding companies (their nonbank subsidiaries and their foreign subsidiaries), (2) state-chartered banks that are members of the Federal Reserve System (state-chartered member banks), and (3) Edge Act and agreement corporations (through which U.S. banks conduct foreign operations).5 The Fed also shares supervisory and regu- latory responsibilities with state and other federal supervisors (e.g., the OCC, the FDIC), including overseeing both the operations of foreign banking organizations in the United States and the establishment, examination, and termination of branches, commercial lend- ing subsidiaries, and representative offices of foreign banks in the United States. The board approves member bank mergers and acquisitions and specifies permissible nonbank activities of bank holding companies. The board is also responsible for the development and administration of regulations governing the fair provision of consumer credit (e.g., the Truth in Lending Act, the Equal Credit Opportunity Act). Finally, the Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act of 2010 provided unprecedented powers to the Federal Reserve, putting it in charge of monitoring any of the country’s biggest financial firms— those considered critical to the health of the financial system as a whole.
The chair of the Federal Reserve Board, currently Janet Yellen, often advises the pres- ident of the United States on economic policy and serves as the spokesperson for the Fed- eral Reserve System in Congress and to the public. All board members share the duties of conferring with officials of other government agencies, representatives of banking indus- try groups, officials of the central banks of other countries, and members of Congress.
4. The length of the term is intended to limit the president’s control over the Fed and thus to reduce political pressure on board members; the nonrenewable nature of an appointment prevents any incentives for governors to take actions that may not be in the best interests of the economy yet may improve their chances of being reappointed.
5. An Edge Act corporation is a subsidiary of a federally chartered domestic bank holding company that generally spe- cializes in financing international transactions. An agreement corporation operates like an Edge Act but is a subsidiary of a state-chartered domestic bank. Created by the Edge Act of 1919, Edge Act corporations are exempt from certain U.S. bank regulations, thus allowing U.S. banks to compete against foreign banks on an even level. For example, Edge Act corporations are exempt from prohibitions on investing in equities of foreign corporations. Ordinarily, U.S. banks are not allowed to undertake such investments.
www.occ.treas.gov
www.fdic.gov
The following special features have been integrated throughout the text to encourage student interaction and to aid students in absorbing and retaining the material
CHAPTER-OPENING OUTLINES
These outlines offer students a snapshot view of what they can expect to learn from each chapter’s discussion.
LEARNING GOALS
Learning goals (LGs) appear at the beginning of each chapter to provide a quick introduction to the key chapter material. These goals are also integrated with the end-of-chapter questions and problems, which allows instructors to easily emphasize the learning goal(s) as they choose.
BOLD KEY TERMS AND A MARGINAL GLOSSARY
The main terms and concepts are emphasized throughout the chapter by bold key terms called out in the text and defined in the margins
PERTINENT WEB ADDRESSES
Website addresses are referenced in the margins throughout each chapter, providing additional resources to aid in the learning process.
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In the first half of 2007, as the extent of declining home prices became apparent, banks and other financial market participants started to reas- sess the value of mortgages and mortgage-backed securities that they owned, especially those in the subprime segment of the housing market. The autumn of 2007 saw increasing strains in a number of market segments, including asset- backed commercial paper, and banks also began to exhibit a reluctance to lend to one another for terms much longer than overnight. This reluctance was reflected in a dramatic rise in the London Interbank Offered Rate (LIBOR) at most maturities greater than over- night. LIBOR is a measure of the rates at which international banks make dollar loans to one another. Since that initial disruption, financial markets have remained in a state of high vola- tility, with many interest rate spreads at historically high levels.
In response to this turbulence, the Fed and the federal govern- ment have taken a series of dramatic steps. As 2007 came to a close, the Federal Reserve Board announced the creation of a Term Auction Facil- ity (TAF), in which fixed amounts of term funds are auctioned to deposi- tory institutions against any collateral eligible for discount window loans. So while the TAF substituted an auc- tion mechanism for the usual fixed interest rate, this facility can be seen essentially as an extension of more conventional discount window lend- ing. In March 2008, the New York Fed provided term financing to facilitate the purchase of Bear Stearns by J.P. Morgan Chase through the creation of a facility that took a set of risky assets
The Financial Crisis: Toward an Explanation and Policy Response
I N T H E N E W S
off the company’s balance sheet. That month, the board also announced the creation of the Term Securities Lending Facility (TSLF), swapping Treasury securities on its balance sheet for less liquid private securities held in the private sector, and the Primary Dealer Credit Facility (PDCF). These actions, particularly the latter, represented a significant expansion of the federal financial safety net by making available a greater amount of central bank credit, at prices unavail- able in the market, to institutions (the primary dealers) beyond those banks that typically borrow at the discount window. . . .
In the fall of 2008, financial mar- kets worldwide experienced another round of heightened volatility and his- toric changes: Lehman Brothers filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protec- tion; investment banking companies Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley successfully submitted applications to become bank holding companies; Bank of America purchased Merrill Lynch; Wells Fargo acquired Wachovia; PNC Financial Services Group pur- chased National City Corporation; and the American International Group received significant financial assistance from the Federal Reserve and the Treasury Department. On the policy front, the Federal Reserve announced the creation of several new lending facilities—including the Asset-Backed Commercial Paper Money Market Mutual Fund Liquidity Facility (AMLF), the Commercial Paper Funding Facility (CPFF), the Money Market Investor Funding Facility (MMIFF), and the Term Asset-Backed Securities Loan Facility (TALF), the last of which became operational in March
2009. The TALF was designed to support the issuance of asset-backed securities collateralized by student loans, auto loans, credit card loans, and loans guaranteed by the Small Business Administration, while also expanding the TAF and the TSLF. The creation of these programs resulted in a tremendous expansion of the Federal Reserve’s balance sheet. Furthermore, Congress passed the Troubled Asset Relief Program (TARP) to be administered by the Treasury Department. And in February 2009, the president signed the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act, a fiscal stimulus program of roughly $789 billion. . . .
Much of the public policy response to turmoil in financial markets over the two years took the form of expanded lending by the Fed and central banks in other countries. The extension of credit to financial institutions has long been one of the tools available to a central bank for managing the supply of money—specifically, bank reserves—to the economy. Indeed, discount window lending by the 12 Reserve Banks was the primary means for affecting the money sup- ply at the time the Fed was created. Over time, open market operations, in which the Fed buys and sells securi- ties in transactions with market partici- pants, have become the main tool for managing the money supply. Lending has become a relatively little-used tool, mainly accessed by banks with occasional unexpected flows into or out of their Fed reserve accounts late in the day. If such banks were to seek funding in the market, they would likely have to pay above- normal rates for a short-term (overnight) loan.
continued
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of 0 percent to 0.25 percent as of December 16, 2008. The rate remained at these his- torically low levels into 2010, and in June 2010 the Fed announced that the fed funds rate would remain at these levels for an “extended period.” It was not until the spring and sum- mer of 2013 that the Fed mentioned the end of these low interest rates and the tightening of monetary policy. And even then, the Fed repeatedly stated that the end of its monetary eas- ing actions would not come until the very slow economic growth picked up. It was not until December 2015 that the Fed eventually raised interest rates (for the first time in 10 years).
Open Market Operations
As mentioned earlier, open market operations are the Federal Reserves’s purchases or sales of securities in the U.S. Treasury securities market. When a targeted monetary aggregate or interest rate level is determined by the FOMC, it is forwarded to the Federal Reserve Board Trading Desk at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York (FRBNY) through a state- ment called the policy directive. The manager of the Trading Desk uses the policy direc- tive to instruct traders on the daily amount of open market purchases or sales to transact. These transactions take place on an over-the-counter market in which traders are linked to each other electronically (see Chapter 5).
To determine a day’s activity for open market operations, the staff at the FRBNY begins each day with a review of developments in the fed funds market since the previous day and a determination of the actual amount of reserves in the banking system the previ- ous day. The staff also reviews forecasts of short-term factors that may affect the supply and demand of reserves on that day. With this information, the staff decides the level of transactions needed to obtain the desired fed funds rate. The process is completed with a daily conference call to the Monetary Affairs Division at the Board of Governors and one of the four voting Reserve Bank presidents (outside of New York) to discuss the FRBNY plans for the day’s open market operations. Once a plan is approved, the Trading Desk is instructed to execute the day’s transactions.
Open market operations are particularly important because they are the primary deter- minant of changes in bank excess reserves in the banking system and thus directly impact the size of the money supply and/or the level of interest rates (e.g., the fed funds rate). When the Federal Reserve purchases securities, it pays for the securities by either writing a check on itself or directly transferring funds (by wire transfer) into the seller’s account. Either way, the Fed credits the reserve deposit account of the bank that sells it (the Fed) the securities. This transaction increases the bank’s excess reserve levels. When the Fed sells securities, it either collects checks received as payment or receives wire transfers of funds from these agents (such as banks) using funds from their accounts at the Federal Reserve Banks to purchase securities. This reduces the balance of the reserve account of a bank that purchases securities. Thus, when the Federal Reserve sells (purchases) securities in the open market, it decreases (increases) banks’ (reserve account) deposits at the Fed.
www.newyorkfed.org
Federal Reserve Board Trading Desk Unit of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York through which open market opera- tions are conducted.
policy directive Statement sent to the Fed- eral Reserve Board Trading Desk from the FOMC that specifies the daily amount of open market purchases or sales to transact.
EXAMPLE 4–1 Purchases of Securities by the Federal Reserve Suppose the FOMC instructs the FRBNY Trading Desk to purchase $500 million of Trea- sury securities. Traders at the FRBNY call primary government securities dealers of major commercial and investment banks (such as Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley),9 who provide a list of securities they have available for sale, including the denomination, matu- rity, and the price on each security. FRBNY traders seek to purchase the target number of securities (at the desired maturities and lowest possible price) until they have purchased the $500 million. The FRBNY then notifies its government bond department to receive and pay the sellers for the securities it has purchased. The securities dealer sellers (such as
9. As of June 2016, there were 23 primary securities dealers trading, on average, $0.82 trillion of securities per day.
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bank retains the loan and the risk exposure, until the loan is paid off. Rather, mortgage securitization and loan syndication allows banks to retain little or no part of the loans, and hence little or no part of the default risk on loans that they originate: bank have moved to the originate-to-distribute model of banking. Thus, as long as the borrower does not default within the first months after a loan’s issuance and the loans are sold or securitized without recourse back to the bank, the issuing bank can ignore longer term credit risk con- cerns. This decoupling of the risk from the lending activity allows the market to efficiently transfer risk across counterparties. However, it also loosens the incentives to carefully per- form each of the steps of the lending process. This loosening of incentives was an important factor leading to the global financial crisis of 2008–2009, which witnessed the after-effects of poor loan underwriting, shoddy documentation and due diligence, failure to monitor borrower activity, and fraudulent activity on the part of both lenders and borrowers. The result was a deterioration in credit quality at the same time as there was a dramatic increase in consumer and corporate leverage. Eventually, in 2006, housing prices started to fall. At the same time, the Federal Reserve started to raise interest rates as it began to fear infla- tion. Since many of the subprime mortgages that originated in the 2001–2005 period had adjustable rates, the cost of meeting mortgage commitments rose to unsustainable levels for many low-income households. The result of these events was a wave of mortgage defaults in the subprime market and foreclosures that only reinforced the downward trend in hous- ing prices. As this happened, the poor quality of the collateral and credit quality underlying subprime mortgage pools became apparent, with default rates far exceeding those appar- ently anticipated by the rating agencies who set their initial subprime mortgage securitiza- tions ratings. The financial crisis began.
Although bank regulators attempt to examine the off-balance-sheet activities of banks so as to ascertain their safety and soundness, these activities receive far less scrutiny than on-balance-sheet activities (i.e., traditional lending and deposit taking). To the extent
In January 2016, Goldman Sachs agreed to pay more than $5 billion, the largest regulatory penalty in its history. In settling with the Justice Department and a collection of other state and federal entities, Goldman resolved claims stemming from the Wall Street firm’s sale of mortgage bonds heading into the financial crisis. It joined a list of other big banks in moving past one of the biggest, and most costly, legal problems of the crisis era. The govern- ment had earlier won multibillion-dollar settlements from J.P. Morgan Chase, Bank of America, and Citi- group. Crisis-related settlements by banks, mortgage firms, brokerages and others total at least $181.1 billion.
The investigations examined how Wall Street sold bonds tied to
Goldman Reaches $5 Billion Settlement over Mortgage-Backed Securities
A F T E R T H E C R I S I S
residential mortgages, and whether banks deceived investors by misrepre- senting the quality of underlying loans. The government’s inquiry into Goldman related to mortgage-backed securities the firm packaged and sold between 2005 and 2007, when the housing market was booming and investor demand for related bonds was strong.
The latest settlement is just one of several that Goldman has paid in relation to the crisis. Goldman agreed to pay $1.2 billion in penalties to the Federal Housing Finance Agency in 2014 to settle claims that it failed to disclose the risks on mortgage bonds it sold. In 2010, the firm agreed to pay $550 million to settle a Securi- ties and Exchange Commission complaint stemming from its handling
of a complex mortgage-linked deal. In February 2015, Morgan Stanley reached a preliminary accord with the Justice Department in which the firm agreed to pay $2.6 billion. That month, Goldman said in a regulatory filing that it had been informed by U.S. officials in December 2014 that it might face a civil lawsuit stemming from the govern- ment’s mortgage-bond probe. In May, the firm said it was in talks with U.S. and state authorities to resolve those claims. In the settlement, Goldman agreed to pay to the Justice Depart- ment a $2.385 billion civil monetary penalty. Goldman must also provide $1.8 billion in consumer relief through debt forgiveness to borrowers, the construction and financing of afford- able housing, and other programs.
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INTERNATIONAL MONETARY POLICIES AND STRATEGIES Central banks guide the monetary policy in virtually all countries. For example, the European Central Bank (ECB) is the central bank for the European Union, while the Bank of England is the central bank of the United Kingdom. Like the Federal Reserve, these are independent central banks whose decisions do not need to be ratified by the government. In contrast, the People’s Bank of China, the Reserve Bank of India, and the Central Bank of Brazil are less independent in that the government imposes direct political control over the operations of these central banks. Independence of a central bank generally means that the bank is free from pressure from politicians who may attempt to enhance economic activity in the short term (e.g., around election time) at the expense of long-term economic growth. Therefore, independent central banks operate with more credibility.
Regardless of their independence, in the increasingly global economy, central banks around the world must work not only to guide the monetary policy of their individual coun- tries, but also to coordinate their efforts with those of other central banks. In this section, we look at how central banks around the world took independent as well as coordinated actions as they set their monetary policy during the financial crisis. For example, as news spread that Lehman Brothers would not survive, FIs around the world moved to disentangle trades made with Lehman. The Dow fell more than 500 points, the largest drop in over seven years. By Wednesday, September 17, 2008, tension had mounted around the world. Stock markets saw huge swings in value as investors tried to sort out who might survive (markets from Russia to Europe were forced to suspend trading as stock prices plunged).
As the U.S. government debated a rescue plan, the financial crisis continued to spread worldwide. During the last week of September and the first week of October 2008, the German government guaranteed all consumer bank deposits and arranged a bailout of Hypo Real Estate, the country’s second-largest commercial property lender. The United Kingdom nationalized mortgage lender Bradford & Bingley (the country’s eighth- largest mortgage lender) and raised deposit guarantees from $62,220 to $88,890 per account. Ireland guaranteed the deposits and debt of its six major financial institutions. Iceland rescued its third-largest bank with an $860 million purchase of 75 percent of the bank’s stock and a few days later seized the country’s entire banking system. The Netherlands, Belgium, and Luxembourg central governments together agreed to inject $16.37 billion into Fortis NV (Europe’s first ever cross-border financial services company) to keep it afloat. However, five days later this deal fell apart and the bank was split up. The Dutch government bought all assets located in the Netherlands for approximately $23 billion. The central bank in India stepped in to stop a run on the country’s second-largest bank, ICICI Bank, by promising to pump in cash. Central banks in Asia injected cash into their bank- ing systems as banks’ reluctance to lend to each other and a run on Bank of East Asia Ltd. led the Hong Kong Monetary Authority to inject liquidity into its banking system. South Korean authorities offered loans and debt guarantees to help small and midsized busi- nesses with short-term funding. Table 4–9 lists some other systemwide support programs (e.g., on October 12, Australia committed an unspecified amount of funds to guarantee the country’s bank liabilities) and bank-specific actions (e.g., on September 30, the ECB and the French government pledged $3 billion to recapitalize Dexia, one of France’s largest banks) taken by central governments during the heat of the crisis. All of these actions were a result of the spread of the U.S. financial market crisis to world financial markets.
Systemwide Rescue Programs Employed during the Financial Crisis
While the previously mentioned actions by central banks represent steps taken by individ- ual countries, they were just part of a coordinated effort by major countries to ease the monetary conditions brought about by the financial crisis and avoid a deep worldwide recession. At the heart of the efforts were 11 countries, which accounted for the bulk of the rescue programs: Australia, Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, the Netherlands, Spain, Switzerland, the United Kingdom, and the United States. The central banks in these coun- tries took substantive actions targeted at the balance sheets of financial institutions in their
LG 4-5
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by the Federal Reserve in late 2008 and 2009 was simply sitting idle in banks’ reserve accounts. Many asked why banks were choosing to hold so many reserves instead of lend- ing them out, and some claimed that banks’ lending of their excess reserves was crucial for resolving the credit crisis. In this case, the Fed’s lending policy generated a large quantity of excess reserves without changing banks’ incentives to lend to firms and households. Thus, the total level of reserves in the banking system is determined almost entirely by the actions of the central bank and is not necessarily affected by private banks’ lending decisions.
Currency Outside Banks. The second-largest liability, in terms of percentage of total liabilities and equity, of the Federal Reserve System is currency in circulation (29.7 percent of total liabilities and equity in 2016). At the top of each Federal Reserve note ($1 bill, $5 bill, $10 bill, etc.) is the seal of the Federal Reserve Bank that issued it. Federal Reserve
therefore function as money (see Chapter 1).
Assets. The major assets on the Federal Reserve’s balance sheet are Treasury and gov- ernment agency (i.e., Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac) securities, Treasury currency, and gold and foreign exchange. While interbank loans (loans to domestic banks) are quite a small portion of the Federal Reserve’s assets, they play an important role in implementing mon- etary policy (see below).
Treasury Securities. Treasury securities (54.2 percent of total assets in 2016) are the largest asset on the Fed’s balance sheet. They represent the Fed’s holdings of securities issued by the U.S. Treasury (U.S. government). The Fed’s open market operations involve the buying and selling of these securities. An increase (decrease) in Treasury securities held by the Fed leads to an increase (decrease) in the money supply.
U.S. Government Agency Securities. U.S. government agency securities are the second-largest asset account on the Fed’s balance sheet (39.2 percent of total assets in 2016). However, in 2007 this account was 0.0 percent of total assets. This account grew
as the Fed took steps to improve credit market liquidity and support the mortgage and housing markets during the financial crisis by buying mortgage-backed secu- rities (MBS) backed by Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, and Ginnie Mae. Under the MBS purchase program, the FOMC called for the purchase of up to $1.25 trillion of agency MBS. The purchase activity began on January 5, 2009, and continued through 2016. Thus, the Fed expanded its role as purchaser/guarantor of assets in the financial markets.
Gold and Foreign Exchange and Treasury Currency. The Federal Reserve holds Treasury gold certificates that are redeemable at the U.S. Treasury for gold. The Fed also holds small amounts of Treasury-issued coinage and foreign- denominated assets to assist in foreign currency transactions or currency swap agreements with the central banks of other nations.
Interbank Loans. As mentioned earlier, depository institutions in need of additional funds can borrow at the Federal Reserve’s discount window (discussed in detail below). The interest rate or discount rate charged on these loans is often lower than other interest rates in the short-term money markets (see Chapter 5). As we discuss below, in January 2003 the Fed implemented changes to its discount window lending policy that increased the cost of discount window borrowing but eased the requirements on which depository institutions can borrow. As part of this change, the discount window rate was increased so that it would be higher than the fed funds rate. As a result, (discount) interbank loans are normally a relatively small portion of the Fed’s total assets.
D O YO U U N D E R S TA N D :
1. What the main functions of Federal Reserve Banks are?
2. What the main responsibilities of the Federal Reserve Board are?
3. How the FOMC implements monetary policy?
4. What the main assets and liabilities of the Federal Reserve are?
“DO YOU UNDERSTAND” BOXES
These boxes allow students to test themselves on the main concepts presented within each major chapter section. Solutions are provided in Connect.
“IN THE NEWS” BOXES
These boxes demonstrate the application of chapter material to real current events.
INTERNATIONAL COVERAGE
An international icon appears in the margin to easily communicate where international material is being introduced.
IN-CHAPTER EXAMPLES
These examples provide numerical demonstrations of the analytical material described in many chapters.
Pedagogical Features
“AFTER THE CRISIS” BOXES
These boxes use articles pertaining to events caused or affected by the 2008–2009 financial crisis to elaborate on chapter material.
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EXCEL PROBLEMS
Excel problems are featured in selected chapters and are denoted by an icon. Spreadsheet templates are available in Connect.
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238 Part 2 Securities Markets
rate offered to you is 5.25 percent. You will make a down payment of 20 percent of the purchase price. (LG 7-4) a. Calculate your monthly payments on this mortgage. b. Construct the amortization schedule for the first six
payments. 5.
mortgage rate offered to you is 6.50 percent. You will make a down payment of 20 percent of the purchase price. (LG 7-4) a. Calculate your monthly payments on this mortgage. b. Construct the amortization schedule for the first six
payments. 6. Using a Spreadsheet to Calculate Mortgage
Payments: What is the monthly payment on a $150,000, 15-year mortgage if the mortgage rate is 5.75 percent? 6.25 percent? 7.5 percent? 9 percent? (LG 7-4)
7. Using a Spreadsheet to Calculate Mortgage Payments: What is the monthly payment on
a $150,000, 30-year mortgage if the mortgage rate is 5.75 percent? 6.25 percent? 7.5 percent? 9 percent? (LG 7-4)
8. You plan to purchase a $200,000 house using either a 30-year mortgage obtained from your local savings bank with a rate of 7.25 percent, or a 15-year mortgage with a rate of 6.50 percent. You will make a down payment of 20 per- cent of the purchase price. (LG 7-3) a. Calculate the amount of interest and, separately, prin-
cipal paid on each mortgage. What is the difference in interest paid?
b. Calculate your monthly payments on the two mortgages. What is the difference in the monthly payment on the two mortgages?
9. You plan to purchase a $240,000 house using either a 30-year mortgage obtained from your local bank with a rate of 5.75 percent, or a 15-year mortgage with a rate of 5.00 percent. You will make a down payment of 20 percent of the purchase price. (LG 7-3) a. Calculate the amount of interest and, separately, prin-
cipal paid on each mortgage. What is the difference in interest paid?
b. Calculate your monthly payments on the two mortgages. What is the difference in the monthly payment on the two mortgages?
10. You plan to purchase a house for $115,000 using a 30-year
LG 7-3) a. Your bank offers you the following two options for payment: Option 1: Mortgage rate of 9 percent and zero points. Option 2: Mortgage rate of 8.85 percent and 2 points. Which option should you choose? b. Your bank offers you the following two options for
payment: Option 1: Mortgage rate of 10.25 percent and 1 point. Option 2: Mortgage rate of 10 percent and 2.5 points. Which option should you choose?
11. You plan to purchase a house for $195,000 using a 30-year mortgage obtained from your local bank. You will make a down payment of 20 percent of the purchase price. You will not pay off the mortgage early. (LG 7-3) a. Your bank offers you the following two options for
payment: Option 1: Mortgage rate of 5.5 percent and zero points. Option 2: Mortgage rate of 5.35 percent and 1.5 points. Which option should you choose? b. Your bank offers you the following two options for
payments: Option 1: Mortgage rate of 5.35 percent and 1 point. Option 2: Mortgage rate of 5.25 percent and 2 points. Which option should you choose?
12. You plan to purchase a house for $175,000 using a 15-year mortgage obtained from your local bank. You will make a down payment of 25 percent of the purchase price. You will not pay off the mortgage early. (LG 7-3) a. Your bank offers you the following two options for
payment: Option 1: Mortgage rate of 5 percent and zero points. Option 2: Mortgage rate of 4.75 percent and 2 points. Which option should you choose? b. Your bank offers you the following two options for
payments: Option 1: Mortgage rate of 4.85 percent and 2 points. Option 2: Mortgage rate of 4.68 percent and 3 points. Which option should you choose?
13. You plan to purchase a $220,000 house using a 15-year mortgage obtained from your bank. The mortgage rate offered to you is 4.75 percent. You will make a down pay- ment of 20 percent of the purchase price. (LG 7-4) a. Calculate your monthly payments on this mortgage. b. Construct the amortization schedule for the mortgage.
How much total interest is paid on this mortgage? 14. You plan to purchase a $300,000 house using a 15-year
mortgage obtained from your bank. The mortgage rate offered to you is 4.50 percent. You will make a down pay- ment of 20 percent of the purchase price. (LG 7-4) a. Calculate your monthly payments on this mortgage. b. Construct the amortization schedule for the mortgage.
How much total interest is paid on this mortgage?
Present Value Periods
Interest Rate ⇒
The Payment Will Be
$150,000 15 × 12 5.75%/12 $1,245.62 150,000 15 × 12 6.25%/12 1,286.13 150,000 15 × 12 7.50%/12 1,390.52 150,000 15 × 12 9.00%/12 1,521.40
Present Value Periods
Interest Rate ⇒
The Payment Will Be
$150,000 30 × 12 5.75%/12 $ 875.36 150,000 30 × 12 6.25%/12 923.58 150,000 30 × 12 7.50%/12 1,048.82 150,000 30 × 12 9.00%/12 1,206.93
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Chapter 4 The Federal Reserve System, Monetary Policy, and Interest Rates 131
6. MHM Bank currently has $250 million in transaction deposits on its balance sheet. The current reserve require- ment is 10 percent, but the Federal Reserve is increasing this requirement to 12 percent. (LG 4-3) a. Show the balance sheet of the Federal Reserve and
MHM Bank if MHM Bank converts all excess reserves to loans, but borrowers return only 80 percent of these funds to MHM Bank as transaction deposits.
b. Show the balance sheet of the Federal Reserve and MHM Bank if MHM Bank converts 85 percent of its excess reserves to loans and borrowers return 90 percent of these funds to MHM Bank as transaction deposits.
7. The FOMC has instructed the FRBNY Trading Desk to purchase $500 million in U.S. Treasury securities. The Fed- eral Reserve has currently set the reserve requirement at 5 percent of transaction deposits. Assume U.S. banks with- draw all excess reserves and give out loans. (LG 4-3) a. Assume also that borrowers eventually return all of these
funds to their banks in the form of transaction deposits. What is the full effect of this purchase on bank deposits and the money supply?
b. What is the full effect of this purchase on bank deposits and the money supply if borrowers return only 95 per- cent of these funds to their banks in the form of transac- tion deposits?
8. The FOMC has instructed the FRBNY Trading Desk to purchase $750 million in U.S. Treasury securities. The Federal Reserve has currently set the reserve requirement at 10 percent of transaction deposits. Assume U.S. banks withdraw all excess reserves and give out loans. (LG 4-3) a. Assume also that borrowers eventually return all of these
funds to their banks in the form of transaction deposits.
What is the full effect of this purchase on bank deposits and the money supply?
b. What is the full effect of this purchase on bank deposits and the money supply if borrowers return only 90 percent of these funds to their banks in the form of transaction deposits?
9. Marly Bank currently has $650 million in transaction deposits on its balance sheet. The current reserve require- ment is 10 percent, but the Federal Reserve is decreasing this requirement to 9 percent. (LG 4-3) a. Show the balance sheet of the Federal Reserve and
Marly Bank if Marly Bank converts all excess reserves to loans, but borrowers return only 60 percent of these funds to National Bank as transaction deposits.
b. Show the balance sheet of the Federal Reserve and Marly Bank if Marly Bank converts 90 percent of its excess reserves to loans and borrowers return 75 percent of these funds to Marly Bank as transaction deposits.
10. Brown Bank currently has $350 million in transaction deposits on its balance sheet. The current reserve require- ment is 10 percent, but the Federal Reserve is increasing this requirement to 11 percent. (LG 4-3) a. Show the balance sheet of the Federal Reserve and
Brown Bank if Brown Bank converts all excess reserves to loans, but borrowers return only 50 percent of these funds to Brown Bank as transaction deposits.
b. Show the balance sheet of the Federal Reserve and Brown Bank if National Bank converts 75 percent of its excess reserves to loans and borrowers return 60 percent of these funds to Brown Bank as transaction deposits.
Go to the Federal Reserve Board website and find the latest information available on the prime rate, the discount rate, and the three-month T-bill rate using the following steps. Go to www.federalreserve.gov. Under “Select Statistical Releases,” click on “Selected Interest Rates.” Click on the most recent date. The data will be in this file on your computer screen. Questions
1. What are the current levels for each of these interest rates? 2. Calculate the percentage change in each of these rates since June 2016.
S E A R C H T H E S I T E
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130 Part 1 Introduction and Overview of Financial Markets
SUMMARY
This chapter described the Federal Reserve System in the United States. The Federal Reserve is the central bank charged with conducting monetary policy, supervising and regulating depository institutions, maintaining the stability of the financial system, and providing specific financial services to the U.S. government, the public, and financial institutions. We reviewed the structure under which the Fed provides these functions, the monetary policy tools it uses, and the impact of monetary policy changes on money sup- ply, credit availability, interest rates, security prices, and foreign exchange rates.
QUESTIONS 1. Describe the functions performed by Federal Reserve
Banks. (LG 4-1) 2. Define the discount rate and the discount window. (LG 4-2) 3. Describe the structure of the Board of Governors of the
Federal Reserve System. (LG 4-2) 4. What are the primary responsibilities of the Federal Reserve
Board? (LG 4-1) 5. What are the primary responsibilities of the Federal Open
Market Committee? (LG 4-2) 6. What are the major liabilities of the Federal Reserve
System? Describe each. (LG 4-2) 7. Why did reserve deposits increase to the point that this
account represented the largest liability account on the Federal Reserve’s balance sheet in the late 2000s? (LG 4-2)
8. What are the major assets of the Federal Reserve System? Describe each. (LG 4-2)
9. Why did U.S. government agency securities go from nothing to being the largest asset account on the Federal Reserve’s balance sheet in the late 2000s? (LG 4-2)
10. What are the tools used by the Federal Reserve to imple- ment monetary policy? (LG 4-3)
11. Explain how a decrease in the discount rate affects credit availability and the money supply. (LG 4-3)
12. Why does the Federal Reserve rarely use the discount rate to implement its monetary policy? (LG 4-3)
13. What changes did the Fed implement to its discount window lending policy in the early 2000s? in the late 2000s? (LG 4-3)
14. Which of the monetary tools available to the Federal Reserve is most often used? Why? (LG 4-3)
15. Describe how expansionary activities conducted by the Fed- eral Reserve impact the money supply, credit availability, interest rates, and security prices. Do the same for contrac- tionary activities. (LG 4-4)
16. Summarize the monetary policy measures taken by central banks to address the worldwide financial crisis. (LG 4-5)
PROBLEMS 1. Suppose the Federal Reserve instructs the Trading Desk
to purchase $1 billion of securities. Show the result of this transaction on the balance sheets of the Federal Reserve System and commercial banks. (LG 4-3)
2. Suppose the Federal Reserve instructs the Trading Desk to sell $850 million of securities. Show the result of this trans- action on the balance sheets of the Federal Reserve System and commercial banks. (LG 4-3)
3. Bank Three currently has $600 million in transaction depos- its on its balance sheet. The Federal Reserve has currently set the reserve requirement at 10 percent of transaction deposits. (LG 4-3) a. If the Federal Reserve decreases the reserve requirement
to 8 percent, show the balance sheet of Bank Three and the Federal Reserve System just before and after the full effect of the reserve requirement change. Assume Bank Three withdraws all excess reserves and gives out loans and that borrowers eventually return all of these funds to Bank Three in the form of transaction deposits.
b. Redo part (a) using a 12 percent reserve requirement.
4. BSW Bank currently has $150 million in transaction depos- its on its balance sheet. The Federal Reserve has currently
set the reserve requirement at 10 percent of transaction deposits. (LG 4-3) a. If the Federal Reserve decreases the reserve require-
ment to 6 percent, show the balance sheet of BSW and the Federal Reserve System just before and after the full effect of the reserve requirement change. Assume BSW withdraws all excess reserves and gives out loans and that borrowers eventually return all of these funds to BSW in the form of transaction deposits.
b. Redo part (a) using a 14 percent reserve requirement. 5. National Bank currently has $500 million in transaction
deposits on its balance sheet. The current reserve require- ment is 10 percent, but the Federal Reserve is decreasing this requirement to 8 percent. (LG 4-3) a. Show the balance sheet of the Federal Reserve and
National Bank if National Bank converts all excess reserves to loans, but borrowers return only 50 percent of these funds to National Bank as transaction deposits.
b. Show the balance sheet of the Federal Reserve and National Bank if National Bank converts 75 percent of its excess reserves to loans and borrowers return 60 percent of these funds to National Bank as transaction deposits.
WALKTHROUGH
End-of-Chapter Features
END-OF-CHAPTER QUESTIONS AND PROBLEMS
The questions and problems in the end- of-chapter material appear in separate sections, allowing instructors to choose whether they prefer students to engage in quantitative or qualitative analysis of the material. Selected problems are assignable online in Connect.
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Featured among the end- of-chapter material in most chapters, these Internet exercises weave the web, real data, and practical applications with concepts found in the book.
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· Instructor’s Manual Prepared by Tim Manuel, University of Montana, the Instructor’s Manual includes detailed chapter contents and outline, additional examples for use in the classroom, and extensive teaching notes.
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SUPPLEMENTS
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part 4 OTHER FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS 454
14. Other Lending Institutions: Savings Institutions, Credit Unions, and Finance Companies 454
15. Insurance Companies 480
16. Securities Firms and Investment Banks 506
17. Investment Companies 531
18. Pension Funds 564
part 5 RISK MANAGEMENT IN FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS 585
19. Types of Risks Incurred by Financial Institutions 585
20. Managing Credit Risk on the Balance Sheet 604
21. Managing Liquidity Risk on the Balance Sheet 632
22. Managing Interest Rate Risk and Insolvency Risk on the Balance Sheet 655
23. Managing Risk off the Balance Sheet with Derivative Securities 683
24. Managing Risk off the Balance Sheet with Loan Sales and Securitization 712
References 739
Index 741
Preface vii
part 1 INTRODUCTION AND OVERVIEW OF FINANCIAL MARKETS 1
1. Introduction 1
2. Determinants of Interest Rates 26
3. Interest Rates and Security Valuation 58
4. The Federal Reserve System, Monetary Policy, and Interest Rates 93
part 2 SECURITIES MARKETS 132 5. Money Markets 132
6. Bond Markets 169
7. Mortgage Markets 208
8. Stock Markets 240
9. Foreign Exchange Markets 282
10. Derivative Securities Markets 311
part 3 COMMERCIAL BANKS 353 11. Commercial Banks: Industry
Overview 353
12. Commercial Banks’ Financial Statements and Analysis 380
13. Regulation of Commercial Banks 413
CONTENTS IN BRIEF
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Term Structure of Interest Rates 42 Unbiased Expectations Theory 42
Liquidity Premium Theory 44
Market Segmentation Theory 46
Forecasting Interest Rates 48
Time Value of Money and Interest Rates 49 Time Value of Money 49
Lump Sum Valuation 50
Annuity Valuation 52
3 Interest Rates and Security Valuation 58 Interest Rates as a Determinant of Financial Security Values: Chapter Overview 58
Various Interest Rate Measures 59 Coupon Rate 59
Required Rate of Return 59
Expected Rate of Return 60
Required versus Expected Rates of Return: The
Role of Efficient Markets 61
Realized Rate of Return 62
Bond Valuation 63 Bond Valuation Formula Used to Calculate Fair
Present Values 63
Bond Valuation Formula Used to Calculate
Yield to Maturity 65
Equity Valuation 66 Zero Growth in Dividends 68
Constant Growth in Dividends 69
Supernormal (or Nonconstant) Growth in
Dividends 70
Impact of Interest Rate Changes on Security Values 71
Impact of Maturity on Security Values 72 Maturity and Security Prices 73
Maturity and Security Price Sensitivity to
Changes in Interest Rates 73
Impact of Coupon Rates on Security Values 74 Coupon Rate and Security Price 75
Coupon Rate and Security Price Sensitivity to
Changes in Interest Rates 75
Duration 76 A Simple Illustration of Duration 76
A General Formula for Duration 78
Features of Duration 82
Economic Meaning of Duration 83
Large Interest Rate Changes and Duration 85
Appendix 3A: Duration and Immunization 92
Appendix 3B: More on Convexity 92
Preface vii
part 1 INTRODUCTION AND OVERVIEW OF FINANCIAL MARKETS 1
1 Introduction 1 Why Study Financial Markets and Institutions? Chapter Overview 1
Overview of Financial Markets 3 Primary Markets versus Secondary Markets 4
Money Markets versus Capital Markets 6
Foreign Exchange Markets 9
Derivative Security Markets 9
Financial Market Regulation 10
Overview of Financial Institutions 11 Unique Economic Functions Performed by
Financial Institutions 12
Additional Benefits FIs Provide to Suppliers of
Funds 14
Economic Functions FIs Provide
to the Financial System as a
Whole 15
Risks Incurred by Financial Institutions 16
Regulation of Financial Institutions 16
Trends in the United States 17
Globalization of Financial Markets and Institutions 21
Appendix 1A: The Financial Crisis: The Failure of Financial Institutions’ Specialness 25
2 Determinants of Interest Rates 26 Interest Rate Fundamentals: Chapter Overview 26
Loanable Funds Theory 27 Supply of Loanable Funds 28
Demand for Loanable Funds 29
Equilibrium Interest Rate 30
Factors That Cause the Supply and Demand
Curves for Loanable Funds to Shift 31
Movement Of Interest Rates Over Time 35
Determinants of Interest Rates for Individual Securities 36
Inflation 36
Real Risk-Free Rates 36
Default or Credit Risk 38
Liquidity Risk 40
Special Provisions or Covenants 40
Term to Maturity 40
CONTENTS
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Other Financial Institutions 158
Individuals 158
International Aspects of Money Markets 158 Euro Money Markets 160
Appendix 5A: Single versus Discriminating Price Treasury Auctions 168
Appendix 5B: Creation of a Banker’s Acceptance 168
6 Bond Markets 169 Definition of Bond Markets: Chapter Overview 169
Bond Market Securities 170 Treasury Notes and Bonds 170
Municipal Bonds 181
Corporate Bonds 187
Bond Ratings and Interest Rate Spreads 193
Bond Market Indexes 196
Bond Market Participants 197
Comparison of Bond Market Securities 198
International Aspects of Bond Markets 198 Eurobonds, Foreign Bonds, and Sovereign
Bonds 201
7 Mortgage Markets 208 Mortgages and Mortgage-Backed Securities: Chapter Overview 208
Primary Mortgage Market 210 Mortgage Characteristics 211
Mortgage Amortization 216
Other Types of Mortgages 221
Secondary Mortgage Markets 223 History and Background of Secondary Mortgage
Markets 224
Mortgage Sales 225
Mortgage-Backed Securities 225
Participants in the Mortgage Markets 233
International Trends in Securitization 234
Appendix 7A: Amortization Schedules for 30-Year Mortgage in Example 7–2 and No-Points versus Points Mortgages in Example 7–4 239
8 Stock Markets 240 The Stock Markets: Chapter Overview 240
Stock Market Securities 242 Common Stock 242
Preferred Stock 245
Primary and Secondary Stock Markets 247 Primary Stock Markets 247
Secondary Stock Markets 252
Stock Market Indexes 262
4 The Federal Reserve System, Monetary Policy, and Interest Rates 93 Major Duties and Responsibilities of the Federal Reserve System: Chapter Overview 93
Structure of the Federal Reserve System 94 Organization of the Federal Reserve System 94
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve
System 96
Federal Open Market Committee 97
Functions Performed by Federal Reserve
Banks 97
Balance Sheet of the Federal Reserve 102
Monetary Policy Tools 105 Open Market Operations 108
The Discount Rate 110
Reserve Requirements (Reserve Ratios) 113
The Federal Reserve, the Money Supply, and Interest Rates 116
Effects of Monetary Tools on Various Economic
Variables 117
Money Supply versus Interest Rate
Targeting 118
International Monetary Policies and Strategies 123
Systemwide Rescue Programs Employed during
the Financial Crisis 123
Challenges Remain after the Crisis 128
part 2 SECURITIES MARKETS 132 5 Money Markets 132
Definition of Money Markets: Chapter Overview 132
Money Markets 133
Yields on Money Market Securities 133 Bond Equivalent Yields 134
Effective Annual Return 134
Discount Yields 134
Single-Payment Yields 135
Money Market Securities 136 Treasury Bills 138
Federal Funds 144
Repurchase Agreements 145
Commercial Paper 148
Negotiable Certificates of Deposit 153
Banker’s Acceptances 154
Comparison of Money Market Securities 155
Money Market Participants 155 The U.S. Treasury 156
The Federal Reserve 156
Commercial Banks 156
Money Market Mutual Funds 157
Brokers and Dealers 157
Corporations 158
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part 3 COMMERCIAL BANKS 353 11 Commercial Banks: Industry
Overview 353 Commercial Banks as a Sector of the Financial Institutions Industry: Chapter Overview 353
Definition of a Commercial Bank 355
Balance Sheets and Recent Trends 355 Assets 355
Liabilities 358
Equity 359
Off-Balance-Sheet Activities 359
Other Fee-Generating Activities 363
Size, Structure, and Composition of the Industry 364
Bank Size and Concentration 365
Bank Size and Activities 367
Industry Performance 368
Regulators 371 Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation 371
Office of the Comptroller of the
Currency 372
Federal Reserve System 373
State Authorities 373
Global Issues 373 Advantages and Disadvantages of International
Expansion 373
Global Banking Performance 375
12 Commercial Banks’ Financial Statements and Analysis 380 Why Evaluate the Performance of Commercial Banks? Chapter Overview 380
Financial Statements of Commercial Banks 382
Balance Sheet Structure 383
Off-Balance-Sheet Assets and Liabilities 389
Other Fee-Generating Activities 392
Income Statement 393
Direct Relationship between the Income
Statement and the Balance Sheet 397
Financial Statement Analysis Using a Return on Equity Framework 398
Return on Equity and Its Components 399
Return on Assets and Its Components 401
Other Ratios 406
Impact of Market Niche and Bank Size on Financial Statement Analysis 407
Impact of a Bank’s Market Niche 407
Impact of Size on Financial Statement
Analysis 407
Stock Market Participants 266
Other Issues Pertaining to Stock Markets 268 Economic Indicators 268
Market Efficiency 269
Stock Market Regulations 272
International Aspects of Stock Markets 274
Appendix 8A: The Capital Asset Pricing Model 281
Appendix 8B: Event Study Tests 281
9 Foreign Exchange Markets 282 Foreign Exchange Markets and Risk: Chapter Overview 282
Background and History of Foreign Exchange Markets 283
Foreign Exchange Rates and Transactions 288 Foreign Exchange Rates 288
Foreign Exchange Transactions 288
Return and Risk of Foreign Exchange
Transactions 293
Role of Financial Institutions in Foreign
Exchange Transactions 299
Interaction of Interest Rates, Inflation, and Exchange Rates 302
Purchasing Power Parity 303
Interest Rate Parity 305
Appendix 9A: Balance of Payment Accounts 310
10 Derivative Securities Markets 311 Derivative Securities: Chapter Overview 311
Forwards and Futures 313 Spot Markets 313
Forward Markets 314
Futures Markets 316
Options 323 Call Options 323
Put Options 325
Option Values 327
Option Markets 329
Regulation of Futures and Options Markets 335
Swaps 336 Interest Rate Swaps 337
Currency Swaps 341
Credit Swaps 342
Swap Markets 343
Caps, Floors, and Collars 345
International Aspects of Derivative Securities Markets 347
Appendix 10A: Black–Scholes Option Pricing Model 352
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Size, Structure, and Composition of the
Industry 455
Balance Sheets and Recent Trends 457
Regulators 459
Savings Institution Recent Performance 460
Credit Unions 461 Size, Structure, and Composition of the
Industry 462
Balance Sheets and Recent Trends 464
Regulators 466
Industry Performance 466
Finance Companies 468 Size, Structure, and Composition of the
Industry 468
Balance Sheets and Recent Trends 469
Industry Performance 474
Regulation 475
Global Issues 476
15 Insurance Companies 480 Two Categories of Insurance Companies: Chapter Overview 480
Life Insurance Companies 481 Size, Structure, and Composition of the
Industry 481
Balance Sheets and Recent Trends 486
Regulation 489
Property–Casualty Insurance Companies 490 Size, Structure, and Composition of the
Industry 490
Balance Sheets and Recent Trends 492
Regulation 500
Global Issues 501
16 Securities Firms and Investment Banks 506 Services Offered by Securities Firms versus Investment Banks: Chapter Overview 506
Size, Structure, and Composition of the Industry 508
Securities Firm and Investment Bank Activity Areas 510
Investment Banking 510
Venture Capital 512
Market Making 514
Trading 514
Investing 515
Cash Management 516
Mergers and Acquisitions 516
Other Service Functions 516
Recent Trends and Balance Sheets 517 Recent Trends 517
Balance Sheets 520
Regulation 522 Global Issues 525
13 Regulation of Commercial Banks 413 Specialness and Regulation: Chapter Overview 413
Types of Regulations and the Regulators 414 Safety and Soundness Regulation 414
Monetary Policy Regulation 417
Credit Allocation Regulation 417
Consumer Protection Regulation 417
Investor Protection Regulation 418
Entry and Chartering Regulation 418
Regulators 419
Regulation of Product and Geographic Expansion 419
Product Segmentation in the U.S. Commercial
Banking Industry 419
Geographic Expansion in the U.S. Commercial
Banking Industry 426
Bank and Savings Institution Guarantee Funds 427
The Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation
(FDIC) 428
The Demise of the Federal Savings and Loan
Insurance Corporation (FSLIC) 429
Reform of Deposit Insurance 430
Non–U.S. Deposit Insurance Systems 431
Balance Sheet Regulations 431 Regulations on Commercial Bank
Liquidity 431
Regulations on Capital Adequacy
(Leverage) 432
Foreign versus Domestic Regulation of Commercial Banks 437
Product Diversification Activities 437
Global or International Expansion Activities 438
Appendix 13A: Calculating Deposit Insurance Premium Assessments 445
Appendix 13B: Calculating Minimum Required Reserves at U.s. Depository Institutions 450
Appendix 13C: Primary Regulators of Depository Institutions 453
Appendix 13D: Deposit Insurance Coverage for Commercial Banks in Various Countries 453
Appendix 13E: Calculating Risk-Based Capital Ratios 453
part 4 OTHER FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS 454
14 Other Lending Institutions 454 Other Lending Institutions: Chapter Overview 454
Savings Institutions 455
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Liquidity Risk 589
Interest Rate Risk 590
Market Risk 592
Off-Balance-Sheet Risk 594
Foreign Exchange Risk 596
Country or Sovereign Risk 598
Technology and Operational Risk 598
Insolvency Risk 600
Other Risks and Interaction among Risks 600
20 Managing Credit Risk on the Balance Sheet 604 Credit Risk Management: Chapter Overview 604
Credit Quality Problems 606
Credit Analysis 607 Real Estate Lending 608
Consumer (Individual) and Small-Business
Lending 611
Mid-Market Commercial and Industrial
Lending 612
Large Commercial and Industrial Lending 620
Calculating the Return on a Loan 624 Return on Assets (ROA) 624
RAROC Models 626
Appendix 20A: Loan Portfolio Risk and Management 631
21 Managing Liquidity Risk on the Balance Sheet 632 Liquidity Risk Management: Chapter Overview 632
Causes of Liquidity Risk 633
Liquidity Risk and Depository Institutions 634 Liability-Side Liquidity Risk 634
Asset-Side Liquidity Risk 637
Measuring a DI’s Liquidity Exposure 638
Liquidity Risk, Unexpected Deposit Drains, and
Bank Runs 643
Bank Runs, the Discount Window, and Deposit
Insurance 644
Liquidity Risk and Insurance Companies 647 Life Insurance Companies 647
Property–Casualty Insurance Companies 648
Guarantee Programs for Life and
Property–Casualty Insurance
Companies 649
Liquidity Risk and Investment Funds 649
Appendix 21A: Sources and Uses of Funds Statement: J.P. Morgan Chase, September 2016 654
17 Investment Companies 531 Investment Companies: Chapter Overview 531
Size, Structure, and Composition of the Mutual Fund Industry 532
Historical Trends 532
Different Types of Mutual Funds 533
Other Types of Investment Company
Funds 538
Mutual Fund Returns and Costs 539 Mutual Fund Prospectuses and Objectives 539
Investor Returns from Mutual Fund
Ownership 542
Mutual Fund Costs 544
Mutual Fund Balance Sheets and Recent Trends 547
Long-Term Funds 547
Money Market Funds 548
Mutual Fund Regulation 549
Mutual Fund Global Issues 552
Hedge Funds 552 Types of Hedge Funds 555
Fees on Hedge Funds 558
Offshore Hedge Funds 559
Regulation of Hedge Funds 560
18 Pension Funds 564 Pension Funds Defined: Chapter Overview 564
Size, Structure, and Composition of the Industry 565
Defined Benefit versus Defined Contribution
Pension Funds 565
Insured versus Noninsured Pension Funds 567
Private Pension Funds 568
Public Pension Funds 575
Financial Asset Investments and Recent Trends 576
Private Pension Funds 576
Public Pension Funds 577
Regulation 579
Global Issues 581
Appendix 18A: Calculation of Growth in IRA Value during an Individual’s Working Years 584
part 5 RISK MANAGEMENT IN FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS 585
19 Types of Risks Incurred by Financial Institutions 585 Why Financial Institutions Need to Manage Risk: Chapter Overview 585
Credit Risk 586
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Comparison of Hedging Methods 703 Writing versus Buying Options 703
Futures versus Options Hedging 705
Swaps versus Forwards, Futures, and
Options 706
Appendix 23A: Hedging with Futures Contracts 711
Appendix 23B: Hedging with Options 711
Appendix 23C: Hedging with Caps, Floors, and Collars 711
24 Managing Risk off the Balance Sheet with Loan Sales and Securitization 712 Why Financial Institutions Sell and Securitize Loans: Chapter Overview 712
Loan Sales 713 Types of Loan Sales Contracts 715
The Loan Sales Market 715
Secondary Market for Less Developed Country
Debt 718
Factors Encouraging Future Loan Sales
Growth 719
Factors Deterring Future Loan Sales
Growth 720
Loan Securitization 721 Pass-Through Security 721
Collateralized Mortgage Obligation 728
Mortgage-Backed Bond 732
Securitization of Other Assets 734
Can All Assets Be Securitized? 734
References 739
Index 741
Appendix 21B: New Liquidity Risk Measures Implemented by the Bank for International Settlements 654
22 Managing Interest Rate Risk and Insolvency Risk on the Balance Sheet 655 Interest Rate and Insolvency Risk Management: Chapter Overview 655
Interest Rate Risk Measurement and Management 656
Repricing Gap Model 656
Duration Gap Model 665
Insolvency Risk Management 673 Capital and Insolvency Risk 673
23 Managing Risk off the Balance Sheet with Derivative Securities 683 Derivative Securities used to Manage Risk: Chapter Overview 683
Forward and Futures Contracts 684 Hedging with Forward Contracts 685
Hedging with Futures Contracts 686
Options 689 Basic Features of Options 689
Actual Interest Rate Options 692
Hedging with Options 692
Caps, Floors, and Collars 693
Risks Associated with Futures, Forwards, and Options 694
Swaps 695 Hedging with Interest Rate Swaps 695
Hedging with Currency Swaps 698
Credit Swaps 699
Credit Risk Concerns with Swaps 702
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WHY STUDY FINANCIAL MARKETS AND INSTITUTIONS? CHAPTER OVERVIEW In the 1990s, financial markets in the United States boomed. As seen in Figure 1–1, the Dow Jones Industrial Index—a widely quoted index of the values of 30 large corpora- tions (see Chapter 8)—rose from a level of 2,800 in January 1990 to more than 11,000 by the end of the decade; this compares to a move from 100 at its inception in 1906 to 2,800 eighty-four years later. In the early 2000s, as a result of an economic downturn in the United States and elsewhere, this index fell back below 10,000. The index rose to over 14,000 in July 2007, but (because of an increasing mortgage market credit crunch, particularly the subprime mortgage market) fell back to below 13,000 within a month of hitting the all-time high. By 2008, problems in the subprime mortgage market esca- lated to a full-blown financial crisis and the worst recession in the United States since the Great Depression. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) fell to 6,547 in March 2009 before recovering, along with the economy, to over 11,000 in April 2010. How- ever, it took until March 5, 2013, for the DJIA to surpass its pre-crisis high of 14,164.53, closing at 14,253.77 for the day, and the DJIA rose to over 21,000 in mid-2017.
O U T L I N E
Why Study Financial Markets and Institutions? Chapter Overview
Overview of Financial Markets
Primary Markets versus Secondary Markets
Money Markets versus Capital Markets
Foreign Exchange Markets
Derivative Security Markets
Financial Market Regulation
Overview of Financial Institutions
Unique Economic Functions Performed by Financial Institutions
Additional Benefits FIs Provide to Suppliers of Funds
Economic Functions FIs Provide to the Financial System as a Whole
Risks Incurred by Financial Institutions
Regulation of Financial Institutions
Trends in the United States
Globalization of Financial Markets and Institutions
Appendix 1A: The Financial Crisis: The Failure of Financial Institutions’ Specialness (available through Connect or your course instructor)
Introduction
Introduction and Overview of Financial Markets
L e a r n i n g G o a l s
LG 1-1 Differentiate between primary and secondary markets.
LG 1-2 Differentiate between money and capital markets.
LG 1-3 Understand what foreign exchange markets are.
LG 1-4 Understand what derivative security markets are.
LG 1-5 Distinguish between the different types of financial institutions.
LG 1-6 Know the services financial institutions perform.
LG 1-7 Know the risks financial institutions face.
LG 1-8 Appreciate why financial institutions are regulated.
LG 1-9 Recognize that financial markets are becoming increasingly global.
1 c h a p t e r
part one
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2 Part 1 Introduction and Overview of Financial Markets
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During the financial crisis of 2008–2009, market swings seen in the United States quickly spread worldwide. Stock markets saw huge swings in value as investors tried to sort out who might survive and who would not (and markets from Russia to Europe were forced to suspend trading as stock prices plunged). As U.S. markets recovered in 2010–2013 and, as mentioned earlier, surpassed their pre-crisis highs, European stock markets struggled as Greece battled with a severe debt crisis that eventually spread to other European nations with fiscal problems, such as Portugal, Spain, and Italy. Even the growth in the robust Chinese economy slowed to 6.7 percent in 2016, the lowest level in seven years.
World markets were rocked again in June 2016 when the people of the United Kingdom voted to leave the European Union (EU) after 43 years (dubbed “Brexit”). The shock from the UK’s surprise vote to leave the EU swept across global markets, triggering steep drops in stock markets and the British pound and a flight into safe assets such as U.S. bonds and gold. The pound fell more than 11 percent to its lowest point since 1985. The DJIA dropped 610.32 points, or 3.4 percent. The Stoxx Europe 600 index fell 7 percent, its steepest drop since 2008, while Japan’s Nikkei Stock Average declined 7.9 percent. Bonds also sold off sharply, pushing UK government borrowing costs sharply higher, as traders and investors grappled with the market implications of Brexit. The UK had its credit rating outlook cut to “negative” by the ratings agency Moody’s.
The UK’s vote to leave the European Union shook the region, precipitating an imme- diate political crisis in Britain and shifting the path of a European project created to bind a continent torn by World War II. Prime Minister David Cameron, who had led the campaign to stay inside the 28-nation bloc, announced he would step down, setting off a leadership contest among Conservatives. Britain’s decision, one of the most momentous by a Western country in the past 50 years, reverses the course of expansion for the EU. It had grown over decades to include most of Europe, absorbing former dictatorships in Greece, Spain, and Portugal, and the countries of the east, formerly under Soviet domination. The UK would be the first member nation to leave, a step some leaders warned beforehand would diminish the global influence of the UK and the EU and risk setting in motion the European bloc’s eventual disintegration. The vote also raised questions about whether the UK itself would split. After a large majority of Scottish citizens voted to remain a part of the EU, Scotland’s First Minister said the Scottish National Party would seek to hold a new referendum on the country’s exit from the EU.
Figure 1–1 The Dow Jones Industrial Average, 1989–2016
Index Value DJIA Index Value
16,000 17,000 18,000 19,000
15,000 14,000 13,000 12,000 11,000 10,000
9,000 8,000 7,000 6,000 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000
0
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Originally the banking industry operated as a full-service industry, performing directly or indirectly all financial services (commercial banking, investment banking, stock invest- ing, insurance provision, etc.). In the early 1930s, the economic and industrial collapse resulted in the separation of some of these activities. In the 1970s and 1980s new, rela- tively unregulated financial services industries sprang up (e.g., mutual funds, brokerage funds) that separated the financial service functions even further.
The last 30 years, however, have seen a reversal of these trends. In the 1990s and 2000s, regulatory barriers, technology, and financial innovation changes were such that a full set of financial services could again be offered by a single financial services firm under the umbrella of a financial services holding company. For example, J.P. Morgan Chase & Co. operates a commercial bank (J.P. Morgan Chase Bank), an investment bank (J. P. Morgan Securities, which also sells mutual funds), and an insurance company (J. P. Morgan Insurance Agency). Not only did the boundaries between traditional industry sectors change, but competition became global in nature as well. For example, J.P. Morgan Chase is the world’s seventh-largest bank holding company, operating in 60 countries.
The financial crisis produced another reshaping of all financial institution (FI) sectors and the end of many major FIs (e.g., Bear Stearns and Lehman Brothers), with the two most prominent investment banks in the world, Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley, converting to bank holding company status. Indeed, as of 2010, all the major U.S. investment banks had either failed, been acquired by a commercial bank, or become bank holding compa- nies. Further, legislation enacted as a result of the financial crisis represents an attempt to again separate FI activities. For example, the “Volcker Rule” provision of the Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act prohibits bank holding companies from engaging in proprietary trading and limits their investments in hedge funds, private equity, and related vehicles. Despite these most recent changes, many FIs operate in more than one FI sector.
As economic and competitive environments change, attention to profit and, more than ever, risk becomes increasingly important. This book provides a detailed overview and analysis of the financial system in which financial managers and individual investors operate. Making investment and financing decisions requires managers and individuals to understand the flow of funds throughout the economy as well as the operation and struc- ture of domestic and international financial markets. In particular, this book offers a unique analysis of the risks faced by investors and savers, as well as strategies that can be adopted for controlling and managing these risks. Newer areas of operations such as asset securi- tization, derivative securities, and internationalization of financial services also receive special emphasis. Further, as the United States and the world continue to recover from the collapse of the financial markets, this book highlights and discusses the impact of this crisis on the various financial markets and the financial institutions that operate in them.
This introductory chapter provides an overview of the structure and operations of various financial markets and financial institutions. Financial markets are differentiated by the characteristics (such as maturity) of the financial instruments or securities that are exchanged. Moreover, each financial market, in turn, depends in part or in whole on finan- cial institutions. Indeed, FIs play a special role in the functioning of financial markets. In particular, FIs often provide the least costly and most efficient way to channel funds to and from financial markets. As part of this discussion, we briefly examine how changes in the way FIs deliver services played a major part in the events leading up to the severe financial crisis of the late 2000s. A more detailed discussion of the causes of, the major events dur- ing, and the regulatory and industry changes resulting from the financial crisis is provided in Appendix 1A to the chapter (available through Connect or your course instructor).
OVERVIEW OF FINANCIAL MARKETS Financial markets are structures through which funds flow. Table 1–1 summarizes the financial markets discussed in this section. Financial markets can be distinguished along two major dimensions: (1) primary versus secondary markets and (2) money versus capital markets. The next sections discuss each of these dimensions.
financial markets The arenas through which funds flow.
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Primary Markets versus Secondary Markets
Primary Markets. Primary markets are markets in which users of funds (e.g., corpora- tions) raise funds through new issues of financial instruments, such as stocks and bonds. Table 1–2 lists data on primary market sales of securities from 2000 through 2016. Note the impact the financial crisis had on primary market sales by firms. New issues fell to $1,068.0 billion in 2008, during the worst of the crisis, from $2,389.1 billion in 2007, pre- crisis. As of 2015, primary market sales had still not recovered as only $1,843.2 billion new securities were issued for the year.
Fund users have new projects or expanded production needs, but do not have sufficient internally generated funds (such as retained earnings) to support these needs. Thus, the fund users issue securities in the external primary markets to raise additional funds. New issues of financial instruments are sold to the initial suppliers of funds (e.g., households) in exchange for funds (money) that the issuer or user of funds needs.1 Most primary mar- ket transactions in the United States are arranged through financial institutions called investment banks—for example, Morgan Stanley or Bank of America Merrill Lynch—that serve as intermediaries between the issuing corporations (fund users) and investors (fund suppliers). For these public offerings, the investment bank provides the securities issuer (the funds user) with advice on the securities issue (such as the offer price and number of securities to issue) and attracts the initial public purchasers of the securities for the funds user. By issuing primary market securities with the help of an investment bank, the funds user saves the risk and cost of creating a market for its securities on its own (see the fol- lowing discussion). Figure 1–2 illustrates a time line for the primary market exchange of funds for a new issue of corporate bonds or equity. We discuss this process in detail in Chapters 6 and 8.
Primary market financial instruments include issues of equity by firms initially going public (e.g., allowing their equity—shares—to be publicly traded on stock markets for the first time). These first-time issues are usually referred to as initial public offerings (IPOs). For example, on June 16, 2015, Fitbit announced a $732 million IPO of its common stock.
LG 1-1
primary markets Markets in which corpora- tions raise funds through new issues of securities.
1. We discuss the users and suppliers of funds in more detail in Chapter 2.
initial public offering (IPO) The first public issue of a financial instrument by a firm.
TABLE 1–1 Types of Financial Markets
Primary markets—markets in which corporations raise funds through new issues of securities. Secondary markets—markets that trade financial instruments once they are issued. Money markets—markets that trade debt securities or instruments with maturities of less than
one year. Capital markets—markets that trade debt and equity instruments with maturities of more than
one year. Foreign exchange markets—markets in which cash flows from the sale of products or assets
denominated in a foreign currency are transacted. Derivative markets—markets in which derivative securities trade.
Security Type 2000 2005 2007 2008 2010 2012 2015 2016*
All issues $1,256.7 $2,439.0 $2,389.1 $1,068.0 $1,024.7 $1,401.0 $1,843.2 $318.9 Bonds 944.8 2,323.7 2,220.3 861.2 893.7 1,242.5 1,611.3 285.3 Stocks 311.9 115.3 168.8 206.8 131.0 129.5 174.0 33.2 Private placements 196.5 24.6 20.1 16.2 22.2 21.4 28.8 n.a.† IPOs 97.0 36.7 46.3 26.4 37.0 40.9 29.1 0.4
*Through first quarter. †n.a. = not applicable.
TABLE 1–2 Primary Market Sales of Securities (in billions of dollars)
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The company’s stock was underwritten by several investment banks, including Morgan Stanley, Deutsche Bank, and Bank of America Merrill Lynch. Primary market securities also include the issue of additional equity or debt instruments of an already publicly traded firm. For example, on January 28, 2016, Molson Coors Brewing Company announced the sale of an additional 29.88 million shares of common stock underwritten by investment banks such as UBS, Bank of America Merrill Lynch, and Citigroup.
Secondary Markets. Once financial instruments such as stocks are issued in primary markets, they are then traded—that is, rebought and resold—in secondary markets. For example, on April 12, 2016, 9.7 million shares of ExxonMobil were traded in the secondary stock market. Buyers of secondary market securities are economic agents (consumers, businesses, and governments) with excess funds. Sellers of secondary mar- ket financial instruments are economic agents in need of funds. Secondary markets pro- vide a centralized marketplace where economic agents know they can transact quickly and efficiently.
These markets therefore save economic agents the search and other costs of seeking buyers or sellers on their own. Figure 1–2 illustrates a secondary market transfer of funds. When an economic agent buys a financial instrument in a secondary market, funds are exchanged, usually with the help of a securities broker such as Charles Schwab acting as an intermediary between the buyer and the seller of the instrument (see Chapter 8). The original issuer of the instrument (user of funds) is not involved in this transfer. The New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) and the National Association of Securities Dealers Auto- mated Quotation (NASDAQ) system are two well-known examples of secondary markets for trading stocks. We discuss the details of each of these markets in Chapter 8.
In addition to stocks and bonds, secondary markets also exist for financial instruments backed by mortgages and other assets (see Chapter 7), foreign exchange (see Chapter 9), and futures and options (i.e., derivative securities—financial securities whose payoffs
secondary market A market that trades finan- cial instruments once they are issued.
derivative security A financial security whose payoffs are linked to other, previously issued securi- ties or indices.
Figure 1–2 Primary and Secondary Market Transfer of Funds Time Line
Users of Funds (Corporations
issuing debt/equity instruments)
Underwriting with Investment Bank
Primary Markets
(Where new issues of financial instruments are o�ered for sale)
Secondary Markets
(Where financial instruments, once issued, are traded)
Financial instruments flow
Funds flow
Initial Suppliers of Funds
(Investors)
Economic Agents (Investors) Wanting to Sell Securities
Financial Markets Economic Agents
(Investors) Wanting to Buy Securities
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are linked to other, previously issued [or underlying] primary securities or indexes of pri- mary securities) (see Chapter 10). As we will see in Chapter 10, derivative securities have existed for centuries, but the growth in derivative securities markets occurred mainly in the 1980s through 2000s. As major markets, therefore, derivative securities markets are among the newest of the financial security markets.
Secondary markets offer benefits to both investors (suppliers of funds) and issuing corporations (users of funds). For investors, secondary markets provide the opportunity to trade securities at their market values quickly as well as to purchase securities with vary- ing risk-return characteristics (see Chapter 2). Corporate security issuers are not directly involved in the transfer of funds or instruments in the secondary market. However, the issuer does obtain information about the current market value of its financial instruments, and thus the value of the corporation as perceived by investors such as its stockholders, through tracking the prices at which its financial instruments are being traded on second- ary markets. This price information allows issuers to evaluate how well they are using the funds generated from the financial instruments they have already issued and provides information on how well any subsequent offerings of debt or equity might do in terms of raising additional money (and at what cost).
Secondary markets offer buyers and sellers liquidity—the ability to turn an asset into cash quickly at its fair market value—as well as information about the prices or the value of their investments. Increased liquidity makes it more desirable and easier for the issuing firm to sell a security initially in the primary market. Further, the existence of centralized markets for buying and selling financial instruments allows investors to trade these instru- ments at low transaction costs.
Money Markets versus Capital Markets
Money Markets. Money markets are markets that trade debt securities or instruments with maturities of one year or less (see Figure 1–3). In the money markets, economic agents with short-term excess supplies of funds can lend funds (i.e., buy money mar- ket instruments) to economic agents who have short-term needs or shortages of funds (i.e., they sell money market instruments). The short-term nature of these instruments means that fluctuations in their prices in the secondary markets in which they trade are usually quite small (see Chapters 3 and 22 on interest rate risk). In the United States, money markets do not operate in a specific location—rather, transactions occur via tele- phones, wire transfers, and computer trading. Thus, most U.S. money markets are said to be over-the-counter (OTC) markets.
Money Market Instruments. A variety of money market securities are issued by corporations and government units to obtain short-term funds. These securities include Treasury bills, federal funds, repurchase agreements, commercial paper, negotiable certificates of deposit, and banker’s acceptances. Table 1–3 lists and defines the major money market securities. Figure 1–4 shows outstanding amounts of money market instruments in the United States in 1990, 2000, 2010, and 2016. Notice that in 2016 federal funds and repurchase agreements, followed by negotiable CDs, Treasury bills, and commercial paper, had the largest amounts outstanding. Money market instru- ments and the operation of the money markets are described and discussed in detail in Chapter 5.
liquidity The ease with which an asset can be converted into cash quickly and at fair market value.
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money markets Markets that trade debt securities or instruments with maturities of one year or less.
over-the-counter (OTC) markets Markets that do not operate in a specific fixed location—rather, transactions occur via tele- phones, wire transfers, and computer trading.
Figure 1–3 Money versus Capital Market Maturities
Money Market Securities
1 year to maturity
0 30 years to maturity
No specified maturity
Notes and Bonds
Capital Market Securities
Stocks (Equities) Maturity
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MONEY MARKET INSTRUMENTS
Treasury bills—short-term obligations issued by the U.S. government. Federal funds—short-term funds transferred between financial institutions usually for no more
than one day. Repurchase agreements—agreements involving the sale of securities by one party to another with a
promise by the seller to repurchase the same securities from the buyer at a specified date and price. Commercial paper—short-term unsecured promissory notes issued by a company to raise
short-term cash. Negotiable certificates of deposit—bank-issued time deposits that specify an interest rate and
maturity date and are negotiable (i.e., can be sold by the holder to another party). Banker’s acceptances—time drafts payable to a seller of goods, with payment guaranteed by
a bank.
CAPITAL MARKET INSTRUMENTS
Corporate stock—the fundamental ownership claim in a public corporation. Mortgages—loans to individuals or businesses to purchase a home, land, or other real property. Corporate bonds—long-term bonds issued by corporations. Treasury bonds—long-term bonds issued by the U.S. government. State and local government bonds—long-term bonds issued by state and local governments. U.S. government agency bonds—long-term bonds collateralized by a pool of assets and issued
by agencies of the U.S. government. Bank and consumer loans—loans to commercial banks and individuals.
TABLE 1–3 Money and Capital Market Instruments
Sources: Federal Reserve Board, “Financial Accounts of the United States,” Statistical Releases, Washington, DC, various issues. www .federalreserve.gov
Figure 1–4 Money Market Instruments Outstanding
1990 $2.06 trillion outstanding
2000 $4.51 trillion outstanding
2016 $7.97 trillion outstanding
Federal funds and repurchase agreements Commercial paper U.S. Treasury bills Negotiable CDs Banker’s acceptances
18.1%
25.7% 26.5%
2.6%
35.6% 26.5%
14.4%
23.3%0.2%
0.0%
27.1%
45.8%
11.8%
23.4% 19.0%
2010 $6.5 trillion outstanding
0.0%
16.7%
25.6%
28.6%
29.1%
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Capital Markets. Capital markets are markets that trade equity (stocks) and debt (bonds) instruments with maturities of more than one year (see Figure 1–3). The major suppliers of capital market securities (or users of funds) are corporations and govern- ments. Households are the major suppliers of funds for these securities. Given their longer maturity, these instruments experience wider price fluctuations in the second- ary markets in which they trade than do money market instruments. For example, all else constant, long-term maturity debt instruments experience wider price fluctuations for a given change in interest rates than short-term maturity debt instruments (see Chapter 3).
Capital Market Instruments. Table 1–3 lists and defines the major capital market secu- rities. Figure 1–5 shows their outstanding amounts by dollar market value. Notice that in 2000, 2010, and 2016, corporate stocks or equities represent the largest capital market instrument, followed by mortgages and corporate bonds. The relative size of the market value of capital market instruments outstanding depends on two factors: the number of
capital markets Markets that trade debt (bonds) and equity (stocks) instruments with maturities of more than one year.
Figure 1–5 Capital Market Instruments Outstanding
1990 $14.93 trillion outstanding
2000 $40.6 trillion outstanding
20.9%
31.3%
16.8% 9.0%
11.4%
4.2%
6.4%
2010 $67.9 trillion outstanding
15.3%
49.6%
13.0%
15.1%
9.0%
4.1%
3.9%
2016 $90.2 trillion outstanding
Corporate stocks Mortgages Corporate bonds
State and local government bonds U.S. government agency bonds Consumer loans
Treasury securities
25.5% 23.6%
11.4%
11.1%
10.9% 9.6%
7.9%
3.7%
5.7%
16.8%
43.4%
12.1%
7.7%
10.6%
Sources: Federal Reserve Board, “Financial Accounts of the United States,” Statistical Releases, Washington, DC, various issues. www.federalreserve.gov
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securities issued and their market prices.2 One reason for the sharp increase in the value of equities outstanding is the bull market in stock prices in the 1990s. Stock values fell in the early 2000s as the U.S. economy experienced a downturn—partly because of 9/11 and partly because interest rates began to rise—and stock prices fell. Stock prices in most sec- tors subsequently recovered and, by 2007, even surpassed their 1999 levels. Stock prices fell precipitously during the financial crisis of 2008–2009. As of mid-March 2009, the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) had fallen 53.8 percent in value in less than 1½ years, larger than the decline during the market crash of 1929 when it fell 49 percent. How- ever, stock prices recovered, along with the economy, in the last half of 2009, rising 71.1 percent between March 2009 and April 2010. Capital market instruments and their opera- tions are discussed in detail in Chapters 6, 7, and 8.
Foreign Exchange Markets
In addition to understanding the operations of domestic financial markets, a financial man- ager must also understand the operations of foreign exchange markets and foreign capi- tal markets. Today’s U.S.-based companies operate globally. It is therefore essential that financial managers understand how events and movements in financial markets in other countries affect the profitability and performance of their own companies. For example, in 2015 a strengthening dollar reduced profits for internationally active firms. IBM experi- enced a drop in its 2015 earnings per share of $1.10 due to foreign exchange trends. Coca- Cola, which gets the majority of its sales from outside the United States, saw 2015 revenues decrease by 5.1 percent as the U.S. dollar strengthened relative to foreign currencies.
Cash flows from the sale of securities (or other assets) denominated in a for- eign currency expose U.S. corporations and investors to risk regarding the value at which foreign currency cash flows can be converted into U.S. dollars. For example, the actual amount of U.S. dollars received on a foreign investment depends on the exchange rate between the U.S. dollar and the foreign currency when the nondollar cash flow is converted into U.S. dollars. If a foreign currency depreciates (declines in value) relative to the U.S. dollar over the investment period (i.e., the period between the time a foreign investment is made and the time it is terminated), the dollar value of cash flows received will fall. If the foreign currency appreciates, or rises in value, relative to the U.S. dollar, the dollar value of cash flows received on the foreign investment will increase.
While foreign currency exchange rates are often flexible—they vary day to day with demand for and supply of a foreign currency for dollars—central govern- ments sometimes intervene in foreign exchange markets directly or affect foreign exchange rates indirectly by altering interest rates. We discuss the motivation and effects of these interventions in Chapters 4 and 9. The sensitivity of the value of cash flows on foreign investments to changes in the foreign currency’s price in terms of dollars is referred to as foreign exchange risk and is discussed in more
detail in Chapter 9. Techniques for managing, or “hedging,” foreign exchange risk, such as using derivative securities like foreign exchange (FX) futures, options, and swaps, are discussed in Chapter 23.