Hypotheses Testing about Proportions
Hypotheses for 1 proportion test
For 1 Proportion, the hypotheses are:
Null hypothesis
H0: ρ = ρ0 The population proportion (ρ) equals the hypothesized
proportion (ρ0).
Alternative hypothesis
Choose one:
H1: ρ ≠ ρ0 The population proportion (ρ) differs from the
hypothesized proportion (ρ0).
H1: ρ > ρ0 The population proportion (ρ) is greater than the
hypothesized proportion (ρ0).
H1: ρ < ρ0 The population proportion (ρ) is less than the
hypothesized proportion (ρ0).
Methods that Minitab uses to calculate 1 proportion test
Minitab's 1 Proportion test uses the binomial distribution (also known as the exact method)
by default for calculating the hypothesis test and confidence interval. You can choose to
use a normal approximation by clicking Options, and choosing Normal approximation in
the dropdown beside Method. Most textbooks use the normal approximation method
because it is easy to calculate manually. However, the exact method is more accurate and
powerful than the normal approximation method.
With the normal approximation, it is possible to get different conclusions between the p-
value and the confidence interval. This is because this method uses the hypothesized
probability (ρ0) in the calculation of the test statistic and the observed probability in the
calculation of the confidence interval. This could cause a difference between the
conclusions, especially with larger values of Z which would indicate a large difference
between ρ0 and the population proportion.
Example 1: Suppose that there are 272 successes out of 800 trials. Test whether this sample
proportion is different from 0.37 at 10% significance level. Perform both exact test and
using normal approximation. Is there difference in conclusions? Perform the same test by
hand using normal approximation. Perform the same test using StatKey. Report p-value for
the last two tests.
Quiz question 1: Test whether the same number of successes out of the same number of
trials as in example 1 is greater than 0.37 at 10% significance level. Perform both exact test
and using normal approximation. Is there difference in conclusions? Perform the same test
by hand using normal approximation. Perform the same test using StatKey. Report p-value
for the last two tests.
You do not need to enter any data into the data file. After choosing ‘One Sample
Proportion’ in the field on the top choose ‘Summarized data’ and enter appropriate
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numbers into other fields. Be careful with the choice of the alternative hypothesis and
significance level.
Hypotheses for 2 proportions test
For 2 Proportions, the hypotheses are:
Null hypothesis
H0: ρ1- ρ2 = d0 The difference between the population proportions (ρ1-
ρ2) equals the hypothesized difference (d0).
Alternative hypothesis
Choose one:
H1: ρ1- ρ2 ≠ d0 The difference between the population proportions (ρ1-
ρ2) does not equal the hypothesized difference (d0).
H1: ρ1- ρ2 > d0 The difference between the population proportions (ρ1-
ρ2) is greater than the hypothesized difference (d0).
H1: ρ1- ρ2 < d0 The difference between the population proportions (ρ1-
ρ2) is less than the hypothesized difference (d0).
Methods that Minitab uses to calculate 2 proportions test
Minitab's 2 Proportions test uses a normal approximation by default for calculating the
hypothesis test and confidence interval. The normal approximation can be used to
approximate the difference between two binomial random variables provided the sample
sizes are large and proportions are not too close to 0% or 100%. In addition, when you
specify a test difference of zero in the Options sub-dialog box, Minitab does Fisher's exact
test, which is exact for all sample sizes and proportions. Fisher's exact test is based on the
hypergeometric distribution.
The normal approximation may be inaccurate for small numbers of events or nonevents. If
the number of events or nonevents in either sample is less than five, Minitab displays a
note. Fisher's exact test is accurate for all sample sizes and proportions.
Example 2: In clinical trials of a new allergy medicine, 3774 adult allergy patients were
randomly divided into 2 groups. The patients in group 1 (experimental group) received a
dose of the new medicine while patients in group 2 (control group) received a placebo. Of
the 2013 patients in the experimental group, 547 reported headaches as a side effect. Of the
1671 patients in the control group, 368 reported headaches as a side effect. Is there
significant evidence to conclude that the proportion of the new medicine users that
experienced headaches as a side effect is greater than the proportion in the control group at
the 5% significance level? Perform the same test by hand. Perform the same test using
StatKey. Report p-value for the last two tests.
Quiz question 2: Labor Day was created by the U.S. labor movement over 100 years ago. It
was subsequently adopted by most states as an official holiday. In a Gallup Poll, 1003
randomly selected adults were asked whether they approve of labor unions; 65% said yes.
a. In 1936, about 72% of Americans approved of labor unions. At the 5% significance
level, do the data provide sufficient evidence (at 5% significance level) to conclude that the
percentage of Americans who approve of labor unions now has decreased since 1936?
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Perform the same test by hand. Perform the same test using StatKey. Report p-value for the
last two tests.
b. In 1963, roughly 67% of Americans approved of labor unions. At the 5% significance
level, do the data provide sufficient evidence (at 5% significance level) to conclude that the
percentage of Americans who approve of labor unions now has decreased since 1963?
Perform the same test by hand. Perform the same test using StatKey. Report p-value for the
last two tests.