Outline
Two frameworks for decision making
K-T methodology
Decision making process by Lau (2011)
Useful tools to assist the analysis:
SWOTs analysis
The Benjamin Franklin method
Risk analysis framework
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Kepner-Tregoe Methodology
It is also referred to as the Kepner-Tregoe Matrix, KT Method, and PSDM (Problem Solving and Decision Making).
Developed by social scientists Charles Kepner and Benjamin Tregoe.
This model provides four distinct phases for resolving problems:
Situation Appraisal
Problem analysis
Solution analysis
Potential problem analysis
This rational process helps:
Focus on getting it right at the start
Provides a common language
Repeatable and auditable
Builds commitment
Time and performance based
Data driven
Allows effective communication
allows execution and follow-up
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The Kepner-Tregoe approach is based on the premise that the end goal of any decision is to make the "best possible" choice--not the "perfect" choice. In other words, the decision maker must accept some risk. This model thus helps evaluate and mitigate the risks of our decision. It is comprised of 4 rational process areas:
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(SOURCE: Kepner, C. H., and Tregoe, B. B., (1981) The New Rational Manager, John Martin Publishing Ltd, London pp 12 - 27)
1. Kepner-Tregoe Situation Analysis
Timing (urgency)
Trend (growth)
Impact (consequences)
To clarify and prioritize situation, Plan issue resolution
2. Kepner-Tregoe Problem Analysis
Identity
Location
Timing
Magnitude
What
Is?
What
Is Not?
Distinction
Cause of
Distinction
Kepner-Tregoe Problem Analysis
What is?
What is not?
Distinction?
Possible
Cause?
K-T Decision Analysis
(Quantitative)
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3. Kepner-Tregoe Decision Analysis
Thinking patterns for making choices:
We appreciate the fact that a choice must be made
We consider the specific factors that must be satisfied if the choice is to succeed
We decide what kind of action will best satisfy these factors